Oxford Economics seeks an experienced Economist as part of our expanding Macroeconomic Modelling and Scenarios team. The position will be based in our Oxford or London office.
The team is responsible for developing bespoke scenarios for a variety of purposes such as strategic planning or stress testing. The team also leads on the company’s research around the macroeconomic impacts from climate change, and supports financial sector clients with bespoke asset return forecasts and bespoke models to inform their asset allocation strategies. Most of the team’s projects involve working with the Oxford Economics Global Economic Model (GEM), the most widely used commercial large-scale macroeconomic model in the world.
What does the team do?
The team is responsible for:
- The Global Scenario Service (GSS) which uses scenario analysis to explore the implications of key risks to the world economy such as the cost of living crisis or a sell-off in asset prices;
- The Global Climate Service (GCS) which includes producing regular briefings on climate-related issues and developing long-term climate scenarios covering a wide range of potential climate risks facing the world today;
- Developing bespoke scenarios for a variety of purposes such as strategic or business planning, regulatory stress tests and to inform portfolio allocation decisions;
- Conducting cutting edge research on the economic impacts from climate change, writing bespoke economic outlook reports for our clients and supporting financial sector clients with their asset allocation strategies;
- Generating statistical scenarios designed for IFRS 9 and CECL accounting standards; and
- Improving the properties of the Global Economic Model, with recent additions including climate policy levers and updated government bond yield equations.
The key responsibilities within this role are as follows:
An Economist in the Macroeconomic Modelling and Scenarios team will take on a range of tasks that include:
- Working with the Oxford Economics Global Economic Model, the most widely used commercial large-scale macroeconomic model in the world, to produce regulatory stress tests and economic scenarios for a variety of end-uses.
- Writing up scenarios under one of our subscription services (e.g. GCS) or for consultancy projects.
- Developing bespoke models and forecasts for our clients, to support with their business planning or asset allocation decisions.
- Conducting macroeconomic research and supporting with the team’s ongoing research output.
- Giving overview presentations to prospects about the Global Model, the team’s subscription-based products and our wider scenarios and modelling capabilities. The team is also leading on the delivery of advanced training sessions on the Global Model to our existing client base.
- Contributing and implementing ideas that will improve the Global Model.
- Managing client queries regarding the Global Model and our scenario analysis.
- 2+ years of work experience as an economist or a related field.
- A strong education in Economics to at least an undergraduate level. A postgraduate degree in Economics is highly desirable.
- Ability to demonstrate a good understanding of current economic and policy challenges facing the global economy.
- Excellent analytical and quantitative skills.
- Excellent written and verbal communication, with the ability to explain economic concepts to a diverse audience, including non-specialists.
- Ability to work effectively in teams across different offices and to tight deadlines.
- Previous experience in using applied macroeconomic models for forecasting and/or scenario analysis would be advantageous.
- Knowledge of statistical modelling software (such as Eviews, Python, R and/or Stata) is desirable.
About Oxford Economics
Oxford Economics was founded in 1981 as a commercial venture with Oxford University’s business college to provide economic forecasting and modelling to UK companies and financial institutions expanding abroad. Since then, we have become one of the world’s foremost independent global advisory firms, providing reports, forecasts and analytical tools on more than 200 countries, 250 industrial sectors, and 7,000 cities and regions. Our best-of-class global economic and industry models and analytical tools give us an unparalleled ability to forecast external market trends and assess their economic, social and business impact.
Headquartered in Oxford, England, with regional centres in London, New York, and Singapore, Oxford Economics has offices across the globe in Belfast, Boston, Cape Town, Chicago, Dubai, Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Houston, Johannesburg, Los Angeles, Melbourne, Mexico City, Milan, Paris, Philadelphia, Sydney, Tokyo, and Toronto. We employ 500 full-time staff, including more than 300 professional economists, industry experts and business editors—one of the largest teams of macroeconomists and thought leadership specialists. Our global team is highly skilled in a full range of research techniques and thought leadership capabilities, from econometric modelling, scenario framing, and economic impact analysis to market surveys, case studies, expert panels, and web analytics.
We look forward to welcoming you to the Oxford Economics family.
Oxford Economics is an equal opportunity employer that is committed to diversity and inclusion in the workplace. We prohibit discrimination and harassment of any kind based on race, color, sex, religion, sexual orientation, national origin, disability, genetic information, pregnancy, or any other protected characteristic as outlined by governmental or local laws.Apply now