Research Briefing
Although February saw GDP make only a modest advance in exiting a Covidshaped hole, the month’s 0.4% m/m rise in...
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Research Briefing
Although February saw GDP make only a modest advance in exiting a Covidshaped hole, the month’s 0.4% m/m rise in...
Research Briefing
We have revised up our forecasts for eurozone private consumption, and now envisage spending increasing 3.1% in 2021 and by...
Research Briefing
CPI inflation rates will remain volatile in 2021, with both headline and coremeasures set to spike to the top of...
Research Briefing
Lockdown measures likely caused the economy to contract by 1.5% in Q1, but we see growth recovering strongly throughout the...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker rose 0.8ppts to 89.1 in the week ended April 2, the sixth straight rise. Another week...
Research Briefing
The global travel recovery has remained elusive so far. Vaccination is underway in 150 countries and will play a vital...
Research Briefing
The GCC provides an interesting case study of how the vaccine programmesimpact upon the response of countries to rising new...
Research Briefing
Could fiscal stimulus lead to economic overheating? Our assessment suggests that while that’s a risk, it’s not a foregone conclusion,...
Research Briefing
China is a significant net creditor to the rest of the world. At the end of 2020, its foreign assets...
Research Briefing
While many commentators have been calling for a US dollar collapse, we believe the greenback will have a lot of...
Research Briefing
Vietnam’s transformation into a global manufacturing hub over the past decade helped it outperform most economies in 2020 and further...
Research Briefing
The labour market recovery has outpaced expectations since the initial COVID19 shock. While the removal of JobKeeper is likely to...
Research Briefing
PMIs for March remained in positive territory across the GCC but showed nonoil growth at a varying pace in the...
Research Briefing
CPI inflation is set to rise well above the Bank of Canada’s 2% target this spring and will likely surpass...
Research Briefing
After attacks on Palma in northern Mozambique in which dozens of civilians, including a South African and a Briton, lost...
Research Briefing
With the government confirming that non-essential retailers and outdoor hospitality will reopen in England on Monday, our forecast of a...
Research Briefing
The coronavirus resurgence in India is raising concerns that the recovery could be derailed. With state governments reluctant to reintroduce...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker rose 1.3ppts to 88.1 in the week ended March 26 on gains across most of the...
Research Briefing
Our Oxford Economics Normality Tracker improved in March, reflecting a fall in Covid cases, thanks to the January lockdown.This has...
Research Briefing
Our recovery tracker indicator has continued to improve through 2021 after a seasonal dip in January. The tracker has reached...