Sovereign Risk Tool

Measure and forecast the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or distress.

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Overview

Our composite sovereign risk tool provides a rigorous and transparent framework to measure the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or distress. The indicator provides significant added value over sovereign credit ratings in predicting probabilities of default and is statistically proven to be a leading indicator for credit ratings.

What do you get

Comprehensive coverage

Detailed breakdowns of key economic, industry, social and environmental indicators.

Monthly Chartbook

Highlights sovereign risk developments across the EM space and uncover valuable insights.

Spreadsheet-based analytical indicator

Allows easy comparison of sovereign risk and its drivers across countries, regions and time.

Economist support

Full client support to answer questions about our rating and forecasts.

Methodological highlights

Few tools exist to help investors, asset managers, corporates and banks to monitor and manage their diverse sovereign risks systematically. Our tool fills this gap.

Forward-looking measure

We use both established international data sources and Oxford Economics one-year-ahead forecasts for 166 countries, and present risk as a score from 1 to 10 (where 10 is high risk).

Proven track record

Developed by market leading experts and thoroughly back tested, our tool has notable success in predicting the likelihood of a sovereign default or a distress episode.

Innovative measures

To best predict sovereign risk, we include innovative measures of imbalances, such as risk-weighted public debt, which differentiates between the risk profiles of debt holders.

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Brochure

Sovereign Risk Tool

A rigorous and transparent framework to measure the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or a sovereign distress

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We are committed to protecting your right to privacy and ensuring the privacy and security of your personal information. We will not share your personal information with other individuals or organisations without your permission.

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