In the media | 14 Aug 2024
SFC: Japan’s recovery – Natural Disasters, Market Turmoil, and Policy Challenges
The recent turbulence in global markets has raised some serious questions, especially with Japanese stocks seeing their biggest drop since 1987, and the VIX index, a key measure of market volatility, has hit its highest level since the COVID-19 pandemic. What’s driving this sharp shift in market sentiment? Was this just an isolated incident, or could it signal the start of a broader downturn? And more importantly, where does the Japanese economy go from here? Shigeto Nagai, former Bank of Japan official, and Head of Japan Economics at Oxford Economics, gave his insights in this interview with SFC Markets and Finance.
Watch the full interview HERE.
To download our latest reports, please check out Resource Hub – Oxford Economics.
Tags:
You may be interested in
Post
Japan’s rising labour turnover will raise productivity, but only slowly
Labour turnover is quickly rising among full-time workers in Japan, where long-term employment has been prevailing. Although a serious labour shortage and a sharp rise in labour turnover will provide a great opportunity and incentive for productivity improvement, we this this will occur only gradually.
Find Out MorePost
Japan’s political calendar and yen will delay a rate hike to December
The Bank of Japan maintained its policy rate at 0.25% during Friday's meeting. Although we still expect an additional rate hike this year, we now expect that it will take place in December rather than October, given the updated political calendar and the recent yen strength.
Find Out MorePost
Japan’s BoJ is now likely to front-load policy normalisation
We now expect the Bank of Japan will implement an additional rate hike this year, possibly in October, given the hawkish forward guidance at the July meeting. We previously projected the central bank would wait until next spring to hike again. Thereafter, we expect the BoJ to become more cautious and raise rates only once per year in 2025 and 2026 to reach a terminal rate of 1%.
Find Out More