Global Macro Service > Research Briefings > Italy

A “dolce vita” revival is still too early to call

According to our analysis, reforms planned by Italy’s new Prime Minister Mario Draghi could reverse some of the lacklustre growth and debt sustainability problems that have plagued the economy for years. But as detailed proposals have yet to be revealed, let alone put into action, and Draghi’s reformist agenda will inevitably face stronger political opposition in the future, we maintain a wait-and-see approach. As such, we do not plan to adjust our baseline forecast for Italy immediately.

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