Global Macro Service > Research Briefings > China

Upside to Q4 y/y growth, but expect sequential slowdown

Our China growth tracker suggest that the economy grew 6.6% y/y in October. While this points to an upside to risk our Q4 GDP forecast, monthly y/y growth for the rest of Q4 should ease somewhat from this fast pace. Indeed, we expect sequential GDP growth to slow in Q4 and H1 of 2021.

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