Global Macro Service > Research Briefings > Global
When interpreting estimates of the economic impact of trade wars, the devil is in the detail. Our review of more than 30 institutions’ trade war projections finds huge variation – much of which can be explained by differences in assumptions rather than differences in models’ structures or specifications. Relative to estimates based on extreme financial or tariff assumptions, our main trade war scenario results are moderate and comparable with the IMF’s latest analysis.
To read the full briefing please
If you are not a subscriber, request a free trial of our Global Macro Service by filling out the form below