Global Macro Service > Research Briefings > United States

Top 10 calls for 2019: Finding a soft-landing zone

While resilience was the key theme for the economy in 2018, the search for a soft-landing zone will be the theme for 2019. Strong fundamentals and lingering fiscal stimulus should make this the longest expansion on record by mid-2019. B, but growing headwinds from higher input and borrowing costs, increased trade protectionism and slower global growth will bring GDP growth down from 3% currently to 2% by the end of next year. Yet despite the slowdown, the US will remain the fastest-growing G7 economy next year.

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