Global Macro Service > Research Briefings > Mexico

Only promises: candidates unlikely to deliver faster growth

The 1 July presidential election may be one of the most pivotal in Mexico’s history. Left-wing candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) is expected to win – if elected, he’d be the first president from neither of the country’s two main political parties. Yet the 25% share of undecided voters means one of the two centre-right candidates, the PAN’s Ricardo Anaya and José Antonio Meade of the PRI party, could win. With all three promising to raise growth above 3% over the next six years, we think none of them will be able to do so.

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