Events and Webinars

We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
Where real estate investors should look for shelter from high inflation

with Christopher Babatope and Mark Unsworth | Online | May 4, 2022

With US headline inflation hitting its highest level since December 1981 in April and the Federal Reserve entering a front-loaded tightening cycle, there is plenty for real estate investors to consider. At the national level we still expect 2022 returns to be above historical averages but the picture among sectors and cities is mixed. We examine where investors can find the best shelter from the impact of higher inflation across the US and how real estate compares to other asset classes.

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Webinar
War in Ukraine presents new headwinds for the Nordics

with Daniel Kral, Rory Fennessy and Lawrence Harper-Scott | Online | April 29, 2022

In this webinar, we will discuss the channels through which Russia’s invasion of Ukraine impacts the Nordic economies. Specifically, its impact on energy prices and inflation, Nordic dependence on Russia’s fossil fuels, and trade and industry links.

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Webinar
Canada Economic Outlook: New Headwinds Emerge

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | April 27, 2022

The Canadian economy weathered Omicron better than expected, but new headwinds have emerged that will boost inflation and slow growth. The economic impact on Canada of Russia's invasion of Ukraine should be limited due to few direct trade and financial ties. Rather the fallout for Canada will be primarily via higher global energy and food prices, weaker external demand, and supply disruptions. Domestically, we now expect a correction in Canadian house prices will get underway by autumn, triggered by record unaffordability, rising interest rates, and new policies to tax house-flippers and non-resident-owned vacant homes.

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Webinar
Food price inflation could hit Africa the hardest

with Jacques Nel and Petro van Eck | Online | April 26, 2022

Food accounts for a large share of the consumer price basket in a number of African countries. This means that the impact of surging global food prices will be marked. Higher food prices will filter through to consumers and undermine purchasing power. But the impact will extend far beyond headline CPI: calls for subsidies will either be heeded, putting pressure on the fiscus, or disregarded, resulting in social discontent. In this webinar we look at which African countries look set to be hit the hardest and what this means for the fiscus, monetary policy, and political stability.

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Webinar
Which world cities will see the strongest employment growth to 2026, and why?

with Richard Holt and Anthony Light | Online | April 19, 2022

Following the recent publication of our latest forecasts for the world’s leading cities, and against a background of huge short-term uncertainty for the global economy, this webinar will stand back, and offer a medium-term (to 2026) view of job prospects in major cities. Have the pandemic, the inflation surge and supply shortages, and now the Russian invasion of Ukraine, changed everything? Or will cities in North America, Europe and Asia Pacific gradually return to their pre-pandemic trajectories? Which cities will be the winners, and which are the ones that are most likely to struggle?

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Webinar
US Outlook: Shifting headwinds

with Kathy Bostjancic and Lydia Boussour | Online | April 12, 2022

The US economy faces shifting headwinds - Higher inflation and greater uncertainty triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine are overshadowing current concerns about Covid. We anticipate real GDP will grow by 3.2% this year and slow to 2.0% in 2023, but risks are tilted to the downside given the intensifying inflation shock, increased supply chain stress, a more hawkish Fed, and a large fiscal drag.

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Webinar
La guerre Russie-Ukraine, quelles conséquences pour la Présidentielle et l’économie mondiale ?

with Daniela Ordonez and Pierre Delage | Online | April 8, 2022

L’élection présidentielle se profile en pleine incertitude créée par la guerre en Ukraine, et ses conséquences sur les prix des matières premières et le pouvoir d’achat. L’inflation, déjà stimulée par les problèmes de chaines de valeurs et les confinements en Chine, aura un impact sur les votes en avril dans un pays marqué par la crise des gilets jaunes. Quelle économie mondiale nous attend et quel Président pour la France, dans un contexte de ralentissement qui renforce les risques de stagflation et met les banques centrales face à un dilemme cornélien?

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Webinar
Why global demographics are not inflationary

with Ben May and Daniel Harenberg | Online | March 17, 2022

Will the ageing of societies soon cause a substantial, structural rise in inflation and interest rates, as argued prominently by economists Charles Goodhart and Manoj Pradhan? We review their argument and show that it relies on extreme or flawed assumptions that when combined produce a misleading picture. Indeed, our in-depth modelling suggest the opposite: ageing societies will keep inflation and interest rates low for decades.

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Webinar
Eurozone: As Covid concerns fade away, war in Ukraine and inflation fears take over

with Angel Talavera and Oliver Rakau | Online | March 2, 2022

As Covid fears dissipate, geopolitical tensions and inflation risks now dominate the outlook. Russian invasion of Ukraine means a longer period of high energy prices and increased volatility, which will hit the European economy and complicate things even further for the ECB as it attempts to start its process of policy normalisation.

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Webinar
Rising risk of a higher inflation ‘regime’

with Ben May and Adam Slater | Online | February 17, 2022

We outline why the risk of a shift to a higher inflation regime, featuring inflation at 4% or more in the advanced economies for several years, has increased - and what we now think the probability of that risk is. We examine factors such as monetary growth, supply shocks, the broadness of price pressures, labour market developments and inflation expectations. We also look at some cross-country differences and recent changes in central bank behaviour.

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Webinar
Has Asia’s inflation peaked?

with Priyanka Kishore and Sung-Eun Jung | Online | February 11, 2022

CPI inflation is on a uptrend in Asia, but to a lesser degree than the rest of the world. However, with producer prices continuing to increase at a strong pace, concerns of knock on impact on retail inflation have risen. In this webinar, we investigate the likelihood of PPI to CPI passthrough across Asia and what that implies for our inflation forecasts.

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Webinar
UK Outlook: How many times will the MPC hike in 2022?

with Andrew Goodwin | Online | February 10, 2022

Though the impact of Omicron looks set to be small and short-lived, the UK economy faces strong headwinds from high inflation and tighter fiscal and monetary policy. In this webinar we will consider how these headwinds will impact on the growth outlook and assess whether markets are correct in anticipating a very aggressive policy response from the BoE.

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Webinar
CEE Key Themes 2022 – In for an eventful year

with Tomas Dvorak and Mateusz Urban | Online | February 2, 2022

After emerging as an outperformer in early 2021, the Central and Eastern European region is set to face an eventful year in 2022. This year should see brisk growth as the region’s economies recover from the pandemic. We expect consumer spending to boost growth in the later part of the year, while industry now appears to have turned the corner and is set for a strong 2022. But the recovery will be uneven, with a variety of downside risks threatening to make it bumpy. In the webinar, we will discuss our outlook for the CEE region, paying particularly close attention to the downside risks: persistently high inflation driven by structural factors, political uncertainty, input shortages and slower supply chain recovery. We will also cover the outlook for monetary and fiscal policies in the CEE, focusing on the hawkish turn of the region’s central banks and the disbursement of the NGEU funds.

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