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Webinar
Canada Outlook Webinar: Trump’s Trade War will Plunge Canada into Recession

with Michael Davenport and Tony Stillo | Online | May 13, 2025

Trump’s tariffs are undermining the long-established international trading framework and sparking a global trade war that nobody will win. This webinar will explore how the trade war will plunge Canada into a recession, and how targeted tariffs will affect prospects for key sectors of the economy.

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Webinar
Heightened tensions – Quantifying the impact of higher tariffs, crisis in the Middle East, and other global scenarios

with Jamie Thompson, Ronan Hegarty and Adam Onoszko | Online | March 18, 2025

What would a period of heightened global tensions mean for the global economy? This webinar explores the potential fall-out from trade war and a period of energy market disruption. We also highlight other key risks quantified in our Q1 2025 Global Scenarios Service, including the potential for a market correction, and review the evidence from our very latest Global Risk Survey.

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Webinar
Eurozone: tariff threat weighs on the outlook

with Mateusz Urban | Online | March 5, 2025

The eurozone economy remains stuck in a low gear and we have recently cut our growth forecasts as a result of our expectation of US tariffs on European imports being imposed over the coming months. While we still think the Eurozone economy is more likely to continue to grow at weak pace rather than fall into recession, the list of risk factors – ranging from more cautious households and firms to a full-blown trade war – remains long. In this webinar, we will discuss both the recent changes to our baseline and the risks around it, as well as their consequences for the fiscal and monetary policy outlook.

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Webinar
Will a trade war derail the construction industry?

Online |

The spectre of a trade war following President Trump's return to the White House threatens to derail the anticipated rebound in Global Construction Activity. The move towards net zero and an ongoing backlog of construction work continue to provide strong tailwinds, but is this enough to offset the Chinese Real Estate downturn and the impact of tariffs? In this webinar Dr Nicholas Fearnley will take stock of the global construction market, discuss how the outlook as evolved, and identify the key risks, themes and opportunities in the years ahead.

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