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Webinar
Realigning supply chains in a time of tariff uncertainty

with Alex Mackle, Martina Bozadzhieva and Ricardo Gomez Melgar | Online | April 9, 2025

In this webinar, we'll explore the outlook for how tariff uncertainty may affect corporate decisions about supply chain structures. We'll also review Oxford Economics' updated Market Compass index. The index compares manufacturing attractiveness across markets globally to inform companies pressure-testing their manufacturing location plans.

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Webinar
The outlook for commodities amid tariffs and a potential Ukraine ceasefire

with Stephen Hare, Kiran Ahmed, Samuel Bakst and Sebastien Tillett | Online | March 21, 2025

The new US administration’s policies have created significant uncertainty, increasing volatility in commodity markets. In this webinar, we explore the impact the US import tariffs and retaliatory tariffs will have on commodity markets. We will also discuss the impact of the evolving situation in the Ukraine-Russia war on commodity markets.

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Webinar
Tariffs to shake up Asia-Pacific’s industrial sectors

with Toby Whittington and Makoto Tsuchiya | Online | March 20, 2025

The industrial outlook for the Asia-Pacific region this year will be mired by tariff barriers, trade uncertainties and structural economic shifts. China is at the forefront of the Trump administration’s new tariff policies, but the impacts will be felt across the region. The realignment of trade flows as firms seek to avoid tariffs on China will create opportunities for some regional players, particularly in the high-tech sector where economies such as Taiwan and Korea have well-established high-end production know-how, while emerging economies in South East Asia are increasingly trying to move up the value chain. This webinar will explore these shifting trade relationships and how they will impact short and medium-term industry trends within APAC.

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Webinar
Heightened tensions – Quantifying the impact of higher tariffs, crisis in the Middle East, and other global scenarios

with Jamie Thompson, Ronan Hegarty and Adam Onoszko | Online | March 18, 2025

What would a period of heightened global tensions mean for the global economy? This webinar explores the potential fall-out from trade war and a period of energy market disruption. We also highlight other key risks quantified in our Q1 2025 Global Scenarios Service, including the potential for a market correction, and review the evidence from our very latest Global Risk Survey.

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Webinar
Shifting Trade Flows: The Impact of Tariffs on Global Trade

with Ben Udy | Online | March 12, 2025

The global trade landscape been evolving quickly as Trump has changed his tariff policy. In this webinar we’ll explain how the latest tariff landscape will impact global trade, the rerouting of trade we expect to occur, which countries are set to be most impacted and the outlook for Trump, tariffs and trade from here.

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Webinar
Eurozone: tariff threat weighs on the outlook

with Mateusz Urban | Online | March 5, 2025

The eurozone economy remains stuck in a low gear and we have recently cut our growth forecasts as a result of our expectation of US tariffs on European imports being imposed over the coming months. While we still think the Eurozone economy is more likely to continue to grow at weak pace rather than fall into recession, the list of risk factors – ranging from more cautious households and firms to a full-blown trade war – remains long. In this webinar, we will discuss both the recent changes to our baseline and the risks around it, as well as their consequences for the fiscal and monetary policy outlook.

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Webinar
For Asia, the Trump regime is not just about tariffs

with Arup Raha | Online | February 20, 2025

We are about a month into the Trump presidency and Asia appears to be coping quite well despite the continued looming fear of tariffs. However, the financial markets have been reacting since September of last year, with higher US bond yields and a stronger US dollar. These developments are likely to affect Asian growth prospects and also the ability of policy to respond. We draw out the implications. Plus: Could AI be China’s magic potion out of stagnation?

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Webinar
Refreshing 2025 plans: global outlook for corporates

with Alex Mackle, Marcos Casarin and Martina Bozadzhieva | Online | January 15, 2025

In this webinar, we'll share our most up-to-date expectations for the global economy in 2025 to support companies pressure-testing budgets and plans. We'll cover demand drivers, outlooks for major regions and countries, input costs, opportunity areas, and risks, including around tariffs. We'll also investigate major trends in corporate plans for next year, for both B2B and B2C firms.

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Webinar
Trump victory accelerates the changes to world trade

with Ben Udy | Online | December 19, 2024

Donald Trump's decisive victory in the US elections heralds an upheaval in the global trading system. While we don't know exactly what tariffs Trump will end up enacting, this webinar will explore our current forecasts and the potential implications for world trade"

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Webinar
Commodity key themes 2025: Another volatile year for commodity markets as Trump 2.0 looms

with Stephen Hare, Kiran Ahmed, Diego Cacciapuoti and Samuel Bakst | Online | December 16, 2024

In this webinar, we explore the key themes driving commodity markets in 2025. We expect the US will impose blanket tariffs on Chinese exports next year, and that China will retaliate, weakening economic growth and commodity demand. Trump will also likely make major energy policy announcements early next year, intending to expand US oil production and boost LNG exports. We anticipate the US dollar will strengthen next year, putting further downward pressure on commodity prices. Furthermore, China, by far the largest consumer of commodities and with a structurally slowing economy, will drag on commodity demand next year without further stimulus, while OPEC+ faces another challenging year as the group sets to unwind production cuts.

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Webinar
A new world: how Trump and GenAI will impact global industry

with Nico Palesch and Sean Metcalfe | Online | December 13, 2024

This month, we have updated our forecasts for global industry to reflect the results of the US election, which will lead to large-scale changes to fiscal, tariff and migration policy. Alongside this, we have also updated our forecasts to account for the sectoral impacts of GenAI, where the gains will be spread unevenly across sectors and skew towards the services side of the economy. In this webinar, we will take these two major themes in turn and draw out their sectoral implications. We will also identify some of the other major trends that will shape industrial activity for the year ahead.

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Webinar
The global implications of rising US tariffs

with Adam Slater and Daniel Harenberg | Online | December 9, 2024

In this webinar we take a closer look at the potential implications of further rises in US tariffs on the global economy, using evidence from the US-China trade war and explore how damaging it would be for the world economy of a further escalation

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