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Webinar
All bets are off: what next for South Africa’s Ramaphosa?

with Jee-A van der Linde and Louw Nel | Online | December 6, 2022

President Cyril Ramaphosa is considering his options after an independent judicial panel – considering the merits of an impeachment inquiry – found he had a case to answer. Calls for him to resign are multiplying but, with the ANC elective conference only weeks away, he knows resigning now would likely mean the end of the road. What comes next and what are his options? We try to make sense of it all.

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Webinar
Untangling the African political economy patchwork

with Pieter Scribante and Jacques Nel | Online | October 25, 2022

The African policy environment is volatile and difficult to predict due to complex interconnections between politics and economics. By using political economy risk tools, we can better understand where we could see the most severe policy volatility and what direction this policy might take. In this session we explore the findings of our updated political economy framework. These findings include in what way the nature of challenges to government supremacy matter – challenges by civil society (South Africa, Botswana, and Mauritius) have qualitatively different outcomes to challenges by the military or armed groups (Mozambique, Libya, and Ethiopia) – and how elections feed into policy decisions.

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