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Webinar
UK Macroeconomic Outlook

with Andrew Goodwin and Edward Allenby | Online | April 7, 2025

The extent of the H2 2024 slowdown appears to have been exaggerated by residual seasonality in the GDP data, but 2025 still promises to be a challenging year. In this webinar we’ll analyse the UK outlook in light of the Chancellor’s Spring Statement and March’s MPC meeting.

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Webinar
Heightened tensions – Quantifying the impact of higher tariffs, crisis in the Middle East, and other global scenarios

with Jamie Thompson, Ronan Hegarty and Adam Onoszko | Online | March 18, 2025

What would a period of heightened global tensions mean for the global economy? This webinar explores the potential fall-out from trade war and a period of energy market disruption. We also highlight other key risks quantified in our Q1 2025 Global Scenarios Service, including the potential for a market correction, and review the evidence from our very latest Global Risk Survey.

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Webinar
The evolving risks around tariffs

with Adam Slater and Ben May | Online | March 6, 2025

One of the most talked about uncertainties surrounding the global outlook remains the path for US tariffs. In this webinar we provide an update on what we consider to be the most likely path for tariffs and how the risks around this view are evolving.

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Webinar
Eurozone: tariff threat weighs on the outlook

with Mateusz Urban | Online | March 5, 2025

The eurozone economy remains stuck in a low gear and we have recently cut our growth forecasts as a result of our expectation of US tariffs on European imports being imposed over the coming months. While we still think the Eurozone economy is more likely to continue to grow at weak pace rather than fall into recession, the list of risk factors – ranging from more cautious households and firms to a full-blown trade war – remains long. In this webinar, we will discuss both the recent changes to our baseline and the risks around it, as well as their consequences for the fiscal and monetary policy outlook.

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Webinar
The future of the middle class in emerging markets

with Marcos Casarin | Online | March 3, 2025

We forecast the emerging market middle class will double in size in the next ten years. In this webinar, we will discuss what went wrong with the emerging market middle class in the mid-2010s and what are the best growth opportunities in the next five to ten years.

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Webinar
Emerging markets key economic themes for 2025

with Evghenia Sleptsova, Gabriel Sterne and Sergi Lanau | Online | December 4, 2024

We present our views on the impact on EMs of the Trump presidency, key trends and outlook for sovereign risk, monetary policy outlook and the implications of a prolonged period of hawkishness, and top macro and asset calls for 2025

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Webinar
Nordics: Growing tailwinds to support economic recovery

with Daniel Kral, Rory Fennessy, Lawrence Harper-Scott and Nico Palesch | Online | October 24, 2024

With inflation down significantly across advanced markets, major central banks have started to cut interest rates and households finally enjoy real income gains. But there are also reasons to be cautious, as geopolitical risks remain abundant. In this webinar, we will unpack the drivers of our near-term macro, industry, and cities outlook for the Nordic economies.

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Webinar
Global B2B outlook for 2025: capturing opportunities in a complex year

with Alex Mackle, Martina Bozadzhieva and Marcos Casarin | Online | September 5, 2024

This webinar will provide a global macro perspective B2B leaders can use to confidently inform their 2025 planning process. We'll offer insights on key drivers of B2B demand, outlooks for major markets, industry-level opportunities and risks, as well as insights to inform assumptions on inflation, input costs, and credit costs. We'll also provide an overview of scenarios and risks B2B companies should consider as they pressure-test their assumptions for the next year.

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Webinar
Preparing for 2025 planning: global macro outlook for B2C companies

with Marcos Casarin and Martina Bozadzhieva | Online | June 14, 2024

This webinar will provide baseline assumptions on the macro environment B2C corporate leaders need as they kick off 2025 annual plan previews. We'll cover factors supporting consumer opportunities across the globe, as well as trends around inflation, input costs, and credit costs. We'll also explore macro risks and scenarios companies may need to consider in early drafts of next year's plans.

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Webinar
Preparing for 2025 planning: global macro outlook for B2B companies

with Marcos Casarin and Martina Bozadzhieva | Online | June 4, 2024

This webinar will provide baseline assumptions on the macro environment B2B corporate leaders need as they kick off 2025 annual plan previews. We'll cover global demand dynamics and geographic opportunities, the interest rate, and input cost environment for the next 18 months. We'll also explore macro risks and scenarios companies may need to consider in early drafts of next year's plans.

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Webinar
Central and Eastern Europe: More uneven than ever?

with Mateusz Urban and Tomas Dvorak | Online | April 3, 2024

A wide gap in economic performance has opened in the usually homogenous CEE region. Poland, Romania and, to a lesser extent, Slovakia have been consistently outperforming their Czech and Hungarian peers. We expect this divergence to narrow only partially in the near term. The gap in growth permeates into other economic areas too – the outperformers have to contend with more persistent, demand-driven inflation, halting the plans to loosen historically tight monetary policy. Many of the CEE governments have also been unusually fiscally active. We’ll be exploring the diverging macro outlook for the CEE region and some strategy implications in this EM webinar.

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Webinar
Asia’s medium term growth outlook and its implications for major cities

with Arup Raha and Scott McEwan | Online | February 28, 2024

Over the next five years, economic growth across Asia is likely to diverge especially with two of the giants moving in opposite directions; China slowing and India starting to realise its potential. This has implications for how the cities in these two countries are likely to expand. Major cities in southeast Asia area expected to perform relatively well but there are contrasting fortunes elsewhere. For example, in advanced Asia, the major cities of Australia should exhibit an impressive rate of jobs growth. Our expectations for the likes of Melbourne and Perth contrasts starkly with major East Asian cities in Japan and South Korea, where the pressures of ageing populations is dragging on the potential for growth in output and jobs. We present both a top-down medium-term macro outlook and tie that to how major cities in Asia are likely to develop over the next 5 years.

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Webinar
Australian Key Themes in 2024: Growth to slow as policy bites

with Sean Langcake and Ben Udy | Online | January 31, 2024

Australia's economy outperformed expectations for much of 2023, boosted by a surge in population growth. With this dividend to growth set to wane, and policy settings curbing demand growth, the outlook for 2024 is weaker than 2023. We see three key themes as pivotal to next year's outlook.

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Webinar
Global scenarios – Middle East escalation

with Jamie Thompson | Online | December 12, 2023

This webinar examines the key insights from our latest Global Scenarios Service. We examine the risks posed by an escalation of the Israel-Hamas war, as well as the potential fall-out from increased China-Taiwan tensions and a period of higher for longer interest rates. We also highlight the latest findings from our regular Global Risk Surveys.

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Webinar
China in 2024: What will the Year of the Dragon bring?

with Louise Loo | Online | December 11, 2023

We discuss our outlook and macro themes for China in 2024. Without a reopening boost, the economy amid a multi-year credit clean-up process, and persistent regulatory uncertainties onshore, a more tenuous macro environment is likely to necessitate easier-for-longer policy settings.

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Webinar
Using alternative data in macro forecasting and research

with Innes McFee and Tomas Dvorak | Online | October 26, 2023

Alternative data are a promising area of economic forecasting and analysis. Novel indicators such as mobility, electricity consumption, internet searches, or proprietary sentiment indices allow us to track economic developments and trends with a much shorter lag, at much higher frequency, and often on a much more granular scale than when relying on standard aggregate macro data. In this webinar, we assess the use of alternative data in macroeconomic forecasting and research, including common pitfalls, appropriate methods and best practices based on our continued use of alternative data at Oxford Economics. We also demonstrate the existing uses of alternative data in different lines of work at Oxford Economics.

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