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Event
Global Economic Outlook Conference 2025

In-Person | February 5, 2025

5th February 2025 – 09.30am to 6pm 155 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3TQ Growth in a time of shifting economic policy. As the pandemic disruption has dissipated, the global economy has settled back into a familiar pattern of weak growth and close to target inflation. But beneath the surface the way the global economy is growing...

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Event
米大統領選後の世界経済の展望 ～産業別需要予測と成長の鍵～

In-Person | November 21, 2024

Event 米大統領選後の世界経済の展望 ～産業別需要予測と成長の鍵～ 21st November 2024 – 3:00pm to 5:00pm 東京都千代田区大手町1-4-1　 米大統領選後の世界経済の展望 ～産業別需要予測と成長の鍵～    今次セミナーでは、米国大統領選の結果を踏まえた2025年の世界経済の最新見通しをご説明したうえで、そうしたマクロ経済見通しが各産業の直面する需要にどのような影響を与えるか在日代表の長井滋人とエコノミストの土屋誠人よりご紹介します。 世界的に進む利下げは製造業や建設業を中心に2025年の産業活動を押し上げます。当社のアプローチは産業毎の金利感応度だけでなく、原材料や建材などのサプライチェーンを通じた関連産業への波及効果も勘案しています。 経済モデルを用いた当社の分析アプローチは複雑なマクロ変数間の相互作用を捉えるうえで有効なだけではなく、世界経済を巡る不確実性が高い状況で「中東情勢の悪化」「台湾有事」「高金利の長期化」などのシナリオ分析を行うことで、100超の産業別の売上、生産、投資の見通しについてリスクを定量的に把握でき、ビジネス上のリスク管理と高度な需要予測を行うことを可能にします。 ◆こんな方におすすめ： 　　 開催概要 日時：2024年11月21日（木）15:00-17:00※会場開催のみです。リアルタイム配信・アーカイブ配信はありません。  開催場所：株式会社国際協力銀行9F講堂 住所：東京都千代田区大手町1-4-1　Google Map: https://maps.app.goo.gl/7c9DMHeCH6rgV2ZX8 アクセス： 東京メトロ東西線 竹橋駅下車（大手町寄り） 3b出口直結東京メトロ・都営地下鉄 大手町駅（千代田線、半蔵門線、丸の内線、都営三田線）　徒歩5分東京メトロ・都営地下鉄神保町駅　徒歩5分  参加費：無料 使用言語：日本語定員：120名（定員に達し次第、受付終了となります） 締め切り：2024年11月14日（木）18:00  主催：オックスフォードエコノミクス、一般財団法人海外投融資情報財団後援：株式会社国際協力銀行 Agenda Speakers Register Now セミナーのお申し込みは終了しました。 セミナーに関するお問い合わせはメールにてお願いします。 [email protected] Related Services

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Webinar
Five key themes that will affect industry in 2024 — and beyond

with Nico Palesch and Sean Metcalfe | Online | December 13, 2023

2024 is shaping up to be a pivotal year for global industry: on the one hand, we expect some of the weakness of the past years to continue and broadly set a disappointing pace of growth, but on the other hand we expect that momentum will turn a corner towards the end of the year. Join us to hear about how we think key themes including higher interest rates, geopolitics, technology, the energy transition, and demographics, will will shape developments in industry both next year and in the years to come.

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Webinar
Quarterly City Overview Webinar

with Richard Holt and Barbara Byrne Denham | Online | July 13, 2023

Office-based employment growth is vital to cities across the world. But high interest rates are creating challenges for many, and new technologies pose uncertainties going forward. In this webinar our New York and London based city economists will outline our medium term forecasts for office-based jobs growth in North America, Europe and Asia Pacific, and take questions about our city forecasts, generally.

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Webinar
Euro area outlook: shifting from energy risks to financial risks

with Angel Talavera and Tomas Dvorak | Online | May 10, 2023

The euro area defied expectations of a winter downturn, and economic activity has proven remarkably resilient. But the economic outlook is now facing increasing risks from the impact of the sharp tightening in credit conditions. We’ll explore the outlook for the eurozone and have an in-depth look at the ways in which higher interest rates will impact the European economy.

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Webinar
Eurozone dodges winter bullet but outlook will remain challenging

with Angel Talavera and Tomas Dvorak | Online | February 14, 2023

European sentiment is improving quickly, as a warm winter and a remarkable effort in reducing gas consumption has erased the prospects of energy rationing during the winter. The improved prospects for the industrial sector means the euro area economy may avoid a recession, but beyond the outlook for energy, prospects will continue to be dominated by two other factors: the evolution of inflation and the impact of the interest rate hike cycle carried out by the ECB.

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Webinar
UK Macro – Where now for the MPC?

with Andrew Goodwin and Edward Allenby | Online | February 6, 2023

With inflation having past its peak and growing evidence that the labour market is beginning to loosen, the BoE is getting close to the end of its hiking cycle. In this webinar we react to the February MPC meeting and discuss how it has impacted on our interest rate forecasts.

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Webinar
US: 2023 Key Themes – Will the landing be hard or soft?

with Ryan Sweet and Oren Klachkin | Online | January 11, 2023

The US economy will need a lot of luck to avoid a mild recession this year because the headwinds are about to intensify. Historically, in bouts of high inflation and a weakening economy, the Fed has been slow to ease monetary policy. Therefore, we don’t anticipate the Fed cutting interest rates anytime soon and though there is a path to a soft landing, it’s narrow.

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Webinar
Commodities 2023 key themes: Political uncertainty to keep markets volatile

with Kiran Ahmed, Stephen Hare, Toby Whittington and Diego Cacciapuoti | Online | December 16, 2022

Uncertainties around both supply and demand, driven to a large extent by politics rather than economics have been a key feature of commodity markets this year – sanctions on Russia, Moscow’s response and China’s Covid policy, to name but a few. At the same time, central banks are ratcheting up interest rates, depressing demand. We explore the outlook for commodity prices amid this high level of uncertainty and discuss the risks to our baseline.

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Webinar
Raw materials, wages, and the US construction outlook

with Abby Samp, Barbara Denham and Stephen Hare | Online | December 5, 2022

Rising commodity prices, wages, and interest rates are all expected to weigh on the US construction outlook through the course of 2023. Join Stephen Hare, Barbara Denham, and Abby Samp as they discuss these factors impacting US construction, including a look at the sub-national outlook.

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Webinar
Key themes for 2023 in Latin America

with Marcos Casarin, Felipe Camargo, Joan Domene and Debora Reyna | Online | November 28, 2022

We expect Latin American economies will be among the first to cut interest rates next year, but we also see the region falling into a shallow recession early in 2023. These, alongside the expectation that fiscal policy will feature more prominently in the debate, are amongst the key themes we believe will shape next year's economic outlook for Latin America.

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Webinar
UK Outlook: Where does the MPC go from here?

with Andrew Goodwin | Online | June 21, 2022

Inflation is on course to top 10% in October when the energy price cap rises again, and consumers face the biggest fall in real incomes for 80 years. Despite strong pushback from the MPC, markets expect the Committee to ultimately prove more concerned about high inflation than potential recession, and price a series of rate hikes through the rest of this year. In this webinar we will look at the main messages from June’s MPC meeting and assess what they mean for the future path of interest rates.

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