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Webinar
What 2025 and a second Trump presidency holds for Latin America

with Tim Hunter and Mauricio Monge | Online | September 27, 2024

Growth dynamics next year will differ across Latin America's six largest economies – Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru – but most economies will experience an acceleration in growth. However, this contrasts with a consumer outlook which is losing steam, and instead we see investment and trade as driving higher growth in 2025. This will come with support from US and domestic monetary policy easing, as inflation will broadly be at target. We will explore the stories affecting individual economies, such as the risk of judicial reform in Mexico to investment and the impact of President Milei’s radical reforms in Argentina. November will bring the US presidential election, and we will examine the impacts on Latin America of a new trade war under a second Trump presidency.

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Webinar
Industrial recovery struggles to gain momentum

with Abby Samp and Dominic Dobryniewski | Online | September 23, 2024

Industrial production growth has improved relative to last year, but still trails the broader economy. The cycle has bottomed out and remains on course for a gradual recovery, but the lagged impact of past monetary policy tightening and continued central bank caution around inflation, particularly in Europe, means momentum will take time to build. Join us for a full summary of the outlook across key sectors.

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Webinar
Global outlook: Ignore the doomsayers, but don’t expect 2025 fireworks either

with Ben May | Online | September 9, 2024

In this webinar we look at global growth prospects for 2025. We believe that recent jitters about US growth prospects are overdone, while US GDP growth will slow a bit, this will not lead to substantive deceleration in global growth. In fact, our baseline forecast is for the world economy to expand by 2.7% for the third year running next year.

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Webinar
US Outlook: Tech, services will continue to drive US output

with Victoria Tribone and Ahmed Abdelmeguid | Online | August 13, 2024

In this webinar the US industrial outlook, and emerging trends in the tech sector will be presented. While industrial growth will further slow, service sectors production will drive growth in 2025. These sectors' spending on technology remains elevated, boosted by increased revenue and demand for their products.

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Webinar
Global Construction Futures – global construction up US$4.2 trillion by 2037

with Graham Robinson, Jeremy Leonard, James (Aon), Tariq (Aon) and Bob (Aon) | Online | March 16, 2023

As China pivots from its Zero Covid policy and with growth in the US and most European markets expected to be negative or flatlining this year – what are the medium- and longer-term futures for the global construction industry? We expect growth engines to drive global construction up US$4.1 trillion by 2037. Global Construction Futures is the next in a series of global forecasts for construction to be published by Oxford Economics with the support of the global Construction and Infrastructure leadership team at Aon. Global Construction Futures will be launched on 16 March 2023 to a global construction industry audience. Oxford Economics will present the key highlights from the forecasts for construction and a panel of industry leaders will give their perspectives on the global construction market.

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Webinar
European travel – the rising importance of long-haul travel – ETC Q4 trends and prospects

with Dave Goodger, Jennifer Iduh and Chloe Parkins | Online | January 25, 2023

The strong travel rebound in 2022 is expected to continue into 2023, albeit at a slower pace and with a shift in the importance of source markets. Advanced economy recession will dent recovery, but pent-up demand remains evident for major markets and there remains some continuing normalisation of travel patterns. Growth in transatlantic travel has been a recent area of success for European destinations, while we can now look forward to returning visitors from Asia Pacific with some more clarity.

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Webinar
Middle East 2023 outlook: The shine comes off GCC recovery

with Maya Senussi and Scott Livermore | Online | January 24, 2023

The 2023 outlook for the GCC region will not compare to last year's spectacular expansion. OPEC+ policy has weakened prospects for the oil sector, while rise in domestic financing costs will contribute to the slowdown in non-oil recovery. That said, growth will remain firmly positive, underpinned by diversification efforts, in contrast to many advanced and emerging markets.

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Webinar
Key Themes for Cities in 2023: Asia Pacific, Europe, North America

with Aedan McCotter and Richard Holt | Online | January 12, 2023

As the world economy faces economic slowdown, with many advanced nations experiencing recession, one key theme for cities in 2023 is bound to be the existence of safe havens: cities whose growth will be less damaged than most, or which may prove to be more resilient than their national economies. Possible factors include their industrial structures, the resilience of their consumer sectors and of their housing markets, and likely trends in their visitor economies. In this webinar we will explore these issues, and identify from a city perspective what to look out for as 2023 unfolds.

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Webinar
Air travel recovery – the sky’s the limit

with Dave Goodger, Stephen Rooney and Andrew Matters | Online | December 7, 2022

Air travel has continued to grow throughout 2022 as recovery from the pandemic has continued, including improvement in both domestic and international air travel. Growth to date has been largely fuelled by pent-up demand and accumulated savings but fundamental drivers of demand and affordability will become more important. In this session we will explore the growth outlook, opportunities and potential headwinds.

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Webinar
The future of the valve and actuator market

with Alexandra Hermann and Jeremy Leonard | Online | December 2, 2022

With the world economy facing a potential recession, doubts are mounting over the outlook for the industrial sector. What does this backdrop mean for valve and actuator consumption, this year, next year, and over the medium term? Which markets have the largest growth potential? Our annual Global Valve and Actuator Market Outlook, produced in partnership with the British Valve and Actuator Association, answers these questions.

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Webinar
Les économies européenne et mondiale face à l’hiver et aux banques centrales

with Riccardo Marcelli Fabiani and Pierre Delage | Online | November 22, 2022

L’économie française et européenne font face à la double menace des pressions inflationnistes et de la crise énergétique, avec des perspectives globales négatives aux US et en Chine. Le scénario global d’une croissance prise entre stagflation et resserrement monétaire font crainde une récession dans les pays avancés.

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Webinar
EMs vulnerable but far from the epicentre of the global storm

with Lucila Bonilla and Maya Senussi | Online | October 21, 2022

Growth in EMs faces intensifying headwinds but to a lesser extent than in advanced economies. Although the medium-term outlook looks weaker compared to last month, we expect pace of growth to slow only slightly in 2023 – backstopped by Asia’s protracted recovery. Several other factors will help mitigate risks: monetary policies having been ahead of the curve, overall resilience in the terms of trade, and a less sharp depreciation against the US dollar compared to other advanced economies.

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Webinar
Eurozone outlook: Between recession risks and a booming summer

with Angel Talavera and Tomas Dvorak | Online | June 22, 2022

The list of risks facing the eurozone economy continues to grow. With inflation being stronger and more entrenched that previously expected, the ECB will be forced to implement a stronger monetary tightening. Meanwhile, the industrial sector continues to reel from persistent supply chain issues while consumers are suffering a massive hit to real incomes as a result of the inflation surge. Simultaneously, some sectors of the economy continue to outperform, with services, and in particular the outlook for the tourism sector looking bright ahead of the summer season.

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