Events and Webinars

Webinar

Trump 2.0: Global Trade, Tariffs & Economic Shifts

with Innes McFee, Ben May, Geoffroy Dolphin, Jeremy Leonard, Scott McEwan and Tony Stillo | Online | May 7, 2025

In part two, of our Trump 2.0 webinar series, we explore the international consequences of President Trump’s return to power. With initial tariffs far exceeding expectations, we will discuss renewed tariff tensions, shifting alliances, supply chain disruptions and global market uncertainty. We will examine how the first 100 days have shaped the global economic landscape — and what the ripple effects may be in the months to come. We’ll focus on cross-border trade, sector-level impact, climate and the evolving role of the US to its neighbours and globally.

Webinar

Heightened tensions – Quantifying the impact of higher tariffs, crisis in the Middle East, and other global scenarios

with Jamie Thompson, Ronan Hegarty and Adam Onoszko | Online | March 18, 2025

What would a period of heightened global tensions mean for the global economy? This webinar explores the potential fall-out from trade war and a period of energy market disruption. We also highlight other key risks quantified in our Q1 2025 Global Scenarios Service, including the potential for a market correction, and review the evidence from our very latest Global Risk Survey.

Webinar

Unveiling Megatrends Scenarios: Navigating a Fractured World

with Daniel Moseley and Benjamin Trevis | Online | February 19, 2025

Discover how geopolitical tensions and populism impact future growth prospects and why this matters for your business and the global economy. Join us for an exclusive webinar unveiling our new Megatrends Scenarios service, exploring the economic implications of a 'Fractured World' scenario.

Webinar

Initial market reactions to US election results

with Gabriel Sterne and Javier Corominas | Online | November 6, 2024

Webinar

Why Global Macroeconomic Climate Scenarios are key to understanding risks across countries, sectors and regions.

with Felicity Hannon, Sean Metcalfe and Daniel Parker | Online | October 29, 2024

comprehensive view of both transition risks (e.g., policy changes, market shifts) and chronic physical risks (e.g., long-term climate effects like rising sea levels or temperature changes). Understanding these risks is essential for informed investment decision-making as global economies adapt to climate challenges. You’ll gain insights on: How transition risks and physical risks affect different countries, sectors and regions. The role of climate policies and carbon pricing in shaping asset performance. Why consistent macroeconomic modelling is critical for assessing impacts. High level comparison to NGFS.

Webinar

Key Findings from the 2024 Global Cities Index

with Anthony Bernard-Sasges and George Bowen | Online | June 24, 2024

Cities are the drivers of the global economy. But each city is different and understanding their unique characteristics is crucial for businesses, academics, and policymakers alike to be able to make informed decisions. Join this webinar to discover the key findings of our new Global Cities Index, which provides a consistent and comprehensive framework for assessing the strengths and weaknesses of the largest 1,000 cities across the world.

Webinar

Investor exuberance has driven commodity price volatility; will it continue?

with Ben May | Online | June 19, 2024

In this webinar we look at global economic prospects in the final stages of this year and into 2025 and look at the likely implications for policy pivots by central banks in the advanced economies.

Webinar

Global outlook: Central banks become more forward looking

with Ben May | Online | June 19, 2024

In this webinar we look at global economic prospects in the final stages of this year and into 2025 and look at the likely implications for policy pivots by central banks in the advanced economies.

Webinar

Global scenarios – Trump 2.0

with Jamie Thompson, Daniel Moseley and Morgan Ansell | Online | June 10, 2024

This webinar examines the key insights from our latest Global Scenarios Service, focusing in particular on the implications of a Trump presidency for the global economy.

Webinar

How a global soft landing is (almost) in view

with Ben May and Adam Slater | Online | March 19, 2024

We examine how the global economy has confounded most expectations over the last year with inflation falling back towards target without large output losses. We consider key factors behind this including developments in labour markets, financial stresses, energy prices and fiscal policies. We also look at lingering ‘hard landing’ risks and in which geographies they are most prominent.

Webinar

L’anno che verrà: prospettive economiche per il 2024

with Nicola Nobile and Paolo Grignani | Online | January 23, 2024

Quali prospettive per l’economia globale ed europea in questo nuovo anno? La disinflazione proseguirà innescando rapidamente un allentamento monetario, o la solidità dei mercati del lavoro continuerà a mettere pressioni sui salari spingendo le banche centrali a mantenere i tassi elevati? Il deterioramento delle dinamiche di crescita in corso anticipa una recessione più marcata o si tratta solamente di un soft landing?

Webinar

Key themes for cities in 2024: Cities that will be driving growth in 2024

with Anthony Light and Mark Britton | Online | January 18, 2024

In what will likely be another challenging year for the global economy, attention will increasingly focus on identifying the most resilient cities, and those that will be leading the way forward for their national economies. In this webinar we will present our short-term forecasts for major cities in North America, Asia and Europe, and discuss the key themes that underpin our projections.

Webinar

Key themes for 2024 – another year of price weakness

with Diego Cacciapuoti, Stephen Hare and Toby Whittington | Online | December 15, 2023

Energy and metal markets have experienced a sharp reversal in prices this year, as we expected, diminishing the Super cycle thesis of our competitors. In this webinar, we examine the key themes affecting commodity markets in 2024 as the energy transition gathers pace and discuss our leading calls for prices in the year ahead. Overall, we expect another year of price weakness as we forecast the global economy to grow at its slowest pace since the global financial crisis, excluding the pandemic. We also anticipate supply to improve across commodity markets next year, which will further weigh on prices.

Webinar

Global scenarios: Policy peril

with Jamie Thompson and Manuela Kiehl | Online | March 13, 2023

This webinar examines the key insights from our latest Global Scenarios Service, including the sensitivity of monetary policy and economic activity to near-term price developments. We highlight in particular the potential implications for the global economy of a stronger Chinese recovery and higher-than-expected inflation.

Webinar

2023年の世界経済：軽微な景気後退と金融引締め長期化リスク

with Shigeto Nagai | Online | December 21, 2022

当社は主要国について浅く短い景気後退局面入りとそれに続く冴えない回復を予測しています。こうしたコンセンサス対比弱めの見通しに対する大きなリスクは、インフレは低下傾向を辿る下でも米国FEDによる引締めが市場の想定より長期化することです。世界的な住宅市場の調整やドル高長期化など様々なルートで影響が拡がります。加えて、欧州におけるガス需給の見通しや中国のゼロ・コロナ政策転換の展開などのリスクに関する分析もご紹介します。

Webinar

Africa in 2023

with Callee Davis and Jacques Nel | Online | November 15, 2022

The global economy is on the cusp of a recession. A number of African economies have historically been able to shrug off an unfavourable external backdrop, but a marked tightening in global financial conditions will make this time more challenging. In this session we will give our view on how 2023 will unfold on the continent and what we should, and shouldn’t, expect.

Webinar

What do we want? Sovereign crisis resolution. When do we want it? Now!

with Gabriel Sterne and Evghenia Sleptsova | Online | September 19, 2022

The biggest wave of sovereign defaults since the 1980s is upon us. Global institutional challenges – in particular the IMFs’ delicate relations with China – may prove to be an obstacle to efficient crisis resolution. We unpick the issues, focusing on our detailed analysis of debt composition in the most stressed economies.

Webinar

Global scenarios: Gas rationing and stagflation

with Jamie Thompson and Alex Mackle | Online | September 7, 2022

In recent months the risk that the global economy will slip into recession next year has risen and so has the risk of a protracted period of stagflation. We explore these risks, drawing on key insights from our latest global scenarios. Our focus is the potential fall-out from rationing of natural gas in Europe, as well as the implications of persistently elevated inflation expectations and policy rates.

Webinar

世界経済の展望：FED大幅利上げとスタグフレーション・リスク

Online | July 28, 2022

ウェビナーでは、6月に米国FEDが景気後退も辞さない覚悟でインフレを抑制する姿勢を示したことを受けての世界経済の展望とリスクをご説明します。Oxford Economics見通しの特徴は、比較的早いインフレ率の戻りと利上げ停止・利下げ展開を展望し、米国のリセッション入りもかろうじて回避することを見込む点です。その成否の鍵を握る長期金利や資産価格の動き、マクロ的なインフレ決定メカニズムの構造変化の有無などについての分析をご紹介します。

Webinar

Global scenarios – War Disruption

with Jamie Thompson and Alex Mackle | Online | June 13, 2022

This webinar examines the key insights from our Q2 Global Scenarios Service. Our latest scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy, including from severe war disruption and the pandemic.