Events and Webinars

We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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In Person
世界経済見通しとリスク:トランプ2.0が迫る経済パラダイムの転換

In-Person | June 5, 2025

Event 世界経済見通しとリスク:トランプ2.0が迫る経済パラダイムの転換 5th June 2025 – 3:30pm to 5:00pm 東京都千代田区大手町1-4-1 (株式会社国際協力銀行 9F講堂)  世界経済見通しとリスク:トランプ2.0が迫る経済パラダイムの転換 Global Outlook and Risks – How Trump 2.0 is changing the economic paradigm    今次セミナーでは、最初に当社CEOのAdrian Cooperから関税政策を中心にトランプ2.0が世界の貿易活動や投資、成長、基軸通貨ドルの役割へ与える影響について短期と長期の双方の観点からご説明します(同時通訳付き)。 そうした中で金融政策がどう対応していくか、予想される財政政策の変化と政府債務見通しへ与える影響なども議論します。当社モデルを用いた上振れ・下振れシナリオも紹介する予定です。 セミナー後半では、在日代表の長井滋人よりトランプ2.0が日本経済へ与える影響について日銀の金融政策を中心に議論します。関税による景気・物価下振れで金利正常化がどうなるかに止まらず、防衛費拡大による財政悪化や海外発インフレ・ショックの頻発、ドル安誘導圧力が金融政策へ影響するリスクもカバーする予定です。 本セミナーは、どなた様もご参加いただけます。 ◆こんな方におすすめ: In this seminar, our CEO, Adrian Cooper, will discuss the implications of the policy agenda of Trump 2.0 and, in particular, his tariff policies....

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Webinar
Nordics: Growth weighed by international policy uncertainty

with Rory Fennessy, Gustav Hummel and Nico Palesch | Online | April 24, 2025

Economic activity has firmed up recently, but inflation surprised on the upside in early 2025 and the international policy environment is more uncertain. In this webinar, we will unpack the drivers of our near-term macro, industry, and cities outlook for the Nordic economies.

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Webinar
トランプ関税下の世界経済:経済モデルを用いたシナリオ分析

with Norihiro Yamaguchi | Online | April 23, 2025

今次ウェビナーの前半では、トランプ関税下、最新の世界および日本経済見通しを説明します。当社では、一連の関税の発表を受け、米国の2025年の成長率見通しを従来の2.0%から1.2%へと大幅に下方修正、日本経済についても、今後、2026年前半までゼロ成長を強いられるという見通しに変更しました。内外経済・物価の先行き不透明感が増すなか、日銀は利上げサイクルを一時停止し、次回の利上げは2027年にずれ込むと予想します。  後半では、各国の関税政策をめぐる不確実性の高さを踏まえ、当社マクロ経済モデルを用いたシナリオ分析を紹介します。実際にモデル上の「関税レバー」を操作し、「相互関税」の復活や、グローバルな関税の応酬激化を想定した場合の世界経済・金融市場・コモディティ市場への影響を、波及経路を確認しながら検討します。

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Webinar
Can the economy weather the policy storm?

with Ryan Sweet and Michael Pearce | Online | April 3, 2025

The narrative around US policymaking and its growth impacts this year. Tax and spending changes wouldn't take effect until next year, while immigration restrictions would slowly weigh on the economy, as not all recent immigrants immediately participate in the labour market and past immigrant cohorts would support growth in labour supply this year. However, the biggest wild card in our forecast has always been trade policy but DOGE is an emerging risk. Deregulation is an upside risk to the near-term forecast as it could boost productivity growth and business investment. This webinar will discuss how the policy landscape, the near-term economic outlook and what is ahead for the Federal Reserve.

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Webinar
Tariffe e tensioni geopolitiche, quale impatto per l’Europa?

with Nicola Nobile and Paolo Grignani | Online | March 26, 2025

Mentre il mondo si scontra con un’amministrazione Trump molto interventista, l’economia dell’Eurozona rimane sostanzialmente bloccata, in attesa di sviluppi sul fronte dazi e alle prese con la questione Ucraina e le relative implicazioni a livello di spesa per la Difesa.

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Event
Global Economic Outlook Conference 2025

In-Person | February 5, 2025

5th February 2025 – 09.30am to 6pm 155 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3TQ Growth in a time of shifting economic policy. As the pandemic disruption has dissipated, the global economy has settled back into a familiar pattern of weak growth and close to target inflation. But beneath the surface the way the global economy is growing...

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Event
米大統領選後の世界経済の展望 ~産業別需要予測と成長の鍵~

In-Person | November 21, 2024

Event 米大統領選後の世界経済の展望 ~産業別需要予測と成長の鍵~ 21st November 2024 – 3:00pm to 5:00pm 東京都千代田区大手町1-4-1  米大統領選後の世界経済の展望 ~産業別需要予測と成長の鍵~    今次セミナーでは、米国大統領選の結果を踏まえた2025年の世界経済の最新見通しをご説明したうえで、そうしたマクロ経済見通しが各産業の直面する需要にどのような影響を与えるか在日代表の長井滋人とエコノミストの土屋誠人よりご紹介します。 世界的に進む利下げは製造業や建設業を中心に2025年の産業活動を押し上げます。当社のアプローチは産業毎の金利感応度だけでなく、原材料や建材などのサプライチェーンを通じた関連産業への波及効果も勘案しています。 経済モデルを用いた当社の分析アプローチは複雑なマクロ変数間の相互作用を捉えるうえで有効なだけではなく、世界経済を巡る不確実性が高い状況で「中東情勢の悪化」「台湾有事」「高金利の長期化」などのシナリオ分析を行うことで、100超の産業別の売上、生産、投資の見通しについてリスクを定量的に把握でき、ビジネス上のリスク管理と高度な需要予測を行うことを可能にします。 ◆こんな方におすすめ:    開催概要 日時:2024年11月21日(木)15:00-17:00※会場開催のみです。リアルタイム配信・アーカイブ配信はありません。  開催場所:株式会社国際協力銀行9F講堂 住所:東京都千代田区大手町1-4-1 Google Map: https://maps.app.goo.gl/7c9DMHeCH6rgV2ZX8 アクセス: 東京メトロ東西線 竹橋駅下車(大手町寄り) 3b出口直結東京メトロ・都営地下鉄 大手町駅(千代田線、半蔵門線、丸の内線、都営三田線) 徒歩5分東京メトロ・都営地下鉄神保町駅 徒歩5分  参加費:無料 使用言語:日本語定員:120名(定員に達し次第、受付終了となります) 締め切り:2024年11月14日(木)18:00  主催:オックスフォードエコノミクス、一般財団法人海外投融資情報財団後援:株式会社国際協力銀行 Agenda Speakers Register Now セミナーのお申し込みは終了しました。 セミナーに関するお問い合わせはメールにてお願いします。 [email protected] Related Services

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Webinar
What Mexico’s election results means for our outlook

with Joan Domene and Mauricio Monge | Online | June 12, 2024

We examine what Claudia Sheinbaum’s victory in Mexico’s presidential election means for the short- and medium-term outlook. Our outlook already accounted for a continuation of AMLO’s policies under Sheinbaum, but a likely supermajority in Congress has revived concerns of a further deterioration of the country’s macroeconomic fundamentals what will offset optimism around nearshoring benefits. The new administration is unlikely to alter the course of the economy for 2024, but downside risks for 2025 are growing especially due to the uncertain outcome of the US elections.

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Webinar
Can New Zealand build toward a better economy?

with Ben Udy and April Skinner | Online | May 9, 2024

Growth in New Zealand is slumping and the economy continues to teeter on the edge of a technical recession. Challenges in the constructions sector, particularly residential building, are weighing heavily on growth with construction work done still below its September 2022 peak.

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Webinar
Risks to a US soft landing

with Ryan Sweet and Michael Pearce | Online | April 9, 2024

The economy is chugging along, and the outlook continues to turn a little rosier because of the strength of the labor market, easing in financial market conditions, solid household and nonfinancial corporate balance sheets along with disinflation. However, the economy is expected to moderate, leaving it vulnerable to anything that goes wrong.

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Webinar
Winter forecast update: US Industry and Tech Spending outlook

with Victoria Tribone and Ahmed Abdelmeguid | Online | February 14, 2024

Our US Industry economists will provide an update on the latest US industry trends and outlook for 2024. This will include a discussion on key themes for the year, such as private sector spending on Tech Services and how we expect the Service sector to continue to outperform relative to the industrial economy. The more robust growth in manufacturing and service subsectors, like information services and electronics, is driven, in part, by strong end-user demand and a normalization of supply dynamics.

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Webinar
China: Will the ‘New Three’ industries prove an economic game-changer?

with Louise Loo | Online | February 2, 2024

A step-up in decarbonisation efforts has boosted growth in the new industries of electric vehicles, batteries, and renewables in China. To what extent are these proving to be the economy's new growth drivers? What can authorities do about the risk of overcapacity? Can these industries offset the macro drag from a shrinking housing sector?

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Podcast
Canada Economic Podcast – July 2023

with Tony Stillo, Michael Davenport and Cassidy Rheaume | Online | August 10, 2023

The Canadian economy outperformed expectations in early 2023, but it was likely just a temporary reprieve from recession. In this podcast, Tony Stillo, Director of Economics for Canada, and fellow economists, Michael Davenport and Cassidy Rheaume discuss the economy’s recent resilience and the forces that make a moderate downturn unavoidable.

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Webinar
Portugal: revisão em alta à boleia do turismo

with Florent Guillarme and Ricardo Amaro | Online | May 24, 2023

A economia Portuguesa surpreendeu pela positiva no início de 2023, com o PIB a crescer 1.6% em cadeia. Este crescimento foi impulsionado pelo excelente desempenho das exportações e deixa o PIB português bem posicionado para crescer no conjunto de 2023 acima de 2% - muito acima da nossa previsão de 0.8% para a zona euro. Ainda assim, a procura interna continuou a dar sinais de abrandamento e a Oxford Economics espera um crescimento bastante mais moderado para o resto do ano.

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Webinar
Canada Economic Outlook: Recession to follow fleeting Q1 pick-up

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | May 9, 2023

The resilient Canadian economy has only a temporary reprieve from the downturn we believe will be hard to avoid this year. Economic momentum has rapidly faded following a strong start to the year. We expect a recession will get underway this spring that will last through the remainder of 2023 as the full impact of past interest rate hikes and high prices squeeze households, credit conditions tighten in the aftermath of recent financial turmoil, the housing correction continues and the US enters recession.

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Podcast
Canada Economic Podcast – March 2023

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | March 9, 2023

Canada’s housing market is in the midst of an historic correction. Home prices are already down about 15% from early 2022 highs and home sales have plummeted by more than 40%. With mortgage rates now peaking, the question on everyone’s mind is – How much longer will the housing downturn continue? In this podcast, Tony Stillo, Director of Economics for Canada, and fellow Economist, Michael Davenport discuss the outlook for Canada’s housing market and why they believe the correction in housing hasn’t yet run its full course.

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