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Webinar
Navigating Australia’s Property Market: Growth and Affordability Insights

with Maree Kilroy | Online | April 18, 2024

Australian house prices have regained momentum in early 2024, signalling a persistent mismatch between demand and supply across various regions and cities. The pass-through of interest rate cuts from late last year has the potential to further accelerate price growth and turnover. However, amidst these developments, the pressing question remains: which market holds the greatest potential for growth near-term?

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Webinar
Asia’s medium term growth outlook and its implications for major cities

with Arup Raha and Scott McEwan | Online | February 28, 2024

Over the next five years, economic growth across Asia is likely to diverge especially with two of the giants moving in opposite directions; China slowing and India starting to realise its potential. This has implications for how the cities in these two countries are likely to expand. Major cities in southeast Asia area expected to perform relatively well but there are contrasting fortunes elsewhere. For example, in advanced Asia, the major cities of Australia should exhibit an impressive rate of jobs growth. Our expectations for the likes of Melbourne and Perth contrasts starkly with major East Asian cities in Japan and South Korea, where the pressures of ageing populations is dragging on the potential for growth in output and jobs. We present both a top-down medium-term macro outlook and tie that to how major cities in Asia are likely to develop over the next 5 years.

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Webinar
Australian Key Themes in 2024: Growth to slow as policy bites

with Sean Langcake and Ben Udy | Online | January 31, 2024

Australia's economy outperformed expectations for much of 2023, boosted by a surge in population growth. With this dividend to growth set to wane, and policy settings curbing demand growth, the outlook for 2024 is weaker than 2023. We see three key themes as pivotal to next year's outlook.

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Webinar
What can AE central banks learn from EMs?

with Ben May and Kiki Sondh | Online | July 18, 2023

Major advanced economy (AE) central banks have been criticised for the extent to which inflation has overshot target. Indeed, sticky core inflation and strong wage growth have prompted the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada to resume tightening after a pause, while the Bank of England has been forced to increase the rate of tightening once again. In this webinar, we explore the extent to which AEs would be in a stronger position had they followed some of their emerging market (EM) counterparts and hiked earlier.

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Webinar
2021 Australian Census Insights: Lockdowns, Migration, and Household Formation

with Timothy Hibbert and Maree Kilroy | Online | June 30, 2022

The first tranche of data from the Australian 2021 Census is due for release on the 28th of June. Representing the most comprehensive snapshot of the country, the census provides key insights to the economic, social and cultural make-up of Australia. In this webinar we will discuss the topical housing, population, and employment data points, including what they mean for our forecast outlook.

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Webinar
Will the strong run of Australian maintenance activity continue?

with Dr Nicholas Fearnley and Luka Raznatovic | Online | May 16, 2022

Australia’s maintenance market has grown strongly as COVID stimulus coincided with a ramp up in the maintenance needs of the mining sector. While governments are expected to continue to support the industry, growth in activity is set to subside over the next few years. In this webinar, Dr Nicholas Fearnley and Luka Raznatovic will be discussing the outlook for maintenance activity. They will highlight which sectors have the most promising outlook, and discuss the key risks and opportunities facing the maintenance market.

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Webinar
Build-to-rent in Australia: lift-off for a developing investment class

with Michael Dyer and Timothy Hibbert | Online | April 14, 2022

An immature asset class to date, the Australian residential build-to-rent (BTR) sector is currently undergoing a period of rapid growth. A pipeline of around 10,000 units is expected to commence over 2022 and 2023, with most mooted developments located in Victoria. Modest performance and heightened cash flow risks in other property asset classes, alongside supportive state government legislative shifts and a tightening rental market are providing significant tailwinds.

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Webinar
Can the strength in Australian industrial property be sustained?

with Lee Walker | Online | December 2, 2021

Industrial property across Australia’s eastern seaboard markets has been a standout performer over the last few years. In the occupancy markets, demand is strong, supercharged by pandemic related drivers. Industrial property construction is also high, but not enough to prevent a rapid reduction in vacancies, driving rental growth.

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Webinar
Scaling the great wall of trade barriers

with BIS Oxford Economics | Online | November 25, 2021

Australia's trade relationship with China has been rocky over the past year. When trade tensions first emerged, we quantified which products we saw as most vulnerable to trade barriers in China, and the data over 2021 to date have largely borne out these findings. However, Australia's overall export performance has weathered these disruptions reasonably well, with exporters on average able to pivot into alternate markets.

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Webinar
Seeds sown for Australian apartment recovery

Online | October 27, 2021

The outlook for the apartment sector has brightened over 2021. The latest data points suggest the sector has passed the trough. The return of investors, the reopening of the international border and an affordability-based shift toward apartments in some cities will underpin unit prices outpacing houses over the coming years. A strong pipeline of institutional programs, the impending completion of major new public transport links across Australia’s major cities, and an emergent build-to-rent sector further cement this rosy outlook.

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Webinar
What can alternative data tell us about relative economic performance?

Online | September 29, 2021

Topic: The speed with which the COVID-19 pandemic impacted the global economy forced economists to supplement their ‘traditional’ data sources with unconventional indicators. By tracking mobility data, stringency of restrictions indices and health outcomes and their relationship with GDP, employment and other key outcomes, we can now see in near-real time the economic fallout of the pandemic. The emergence of the Delta variant has made this intelligence invaluable. Asian countries with low tolerance levels for COVID are seeing growth momentum soften (and even reverse, in the case of Australia and New Zealand), while high vaccination rates have enabled an easing of restrictions in Europe and North America. In this webinar our Chief Economist, Dr Sarah Hunter and the Regional Manager for Macrobond Ian Hissey will discuss what we’ve learnt about the impact of COVID and restrictions on national economies over the last 18 months, what the alternative indicators tell us about current economic conditions, and how the recovery may evolve from here. Please note that we will be holding one webinar each for Americas, APAC and EMEA friendly time zones: APAC - Wednesday 29th September| 13:00 AEST EMEA - Thursday 30th September | 10:00 BST Americas - Thursday 30th September| 16:00 EST

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Webinar
[Webinar] Remote working one year on and implications for Australian office property markets

Online | August 11, 2021

Australian cities are likely to be facing ongoing or snap lockdowns until the end of year until our vaccination targets are met. But what happens after?There’s still a huge amount of discussion and disagreement about how much remote working will be done in future and what the implications are for CBD office space.In this presentation we discuss the future of remote working in Australia and it’s impact on office markets and answering questions such as: What have we learned about actual change? What can lesson’s can be learned from Melbourne’s experience? If there’s a big negative impact, how is prime property likely to fare vs secondary? Some make the argument that prime assets won’t suffer as much – what does history tell us? And what about the impact of supply?

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Webinar
[Panel Discussion] COVID-19: The demographic winners & losers within Australia

Online |

With the economic recovery well underway, the long term economic impact of COVID-19 is now receiving more attention. The closure of the international border has turned Net Overseas Migration negative – the pace of population growth has fallen to its lowest level in over a century. This shift is having a profound (and in some cases surprising) impact on the domestic economy, the housing market, and construction sector activity. In this panel discussion session, our Chief Economist Sarah Hunter, Principal Economist Sean Langcake, and Principal Building Economist Tim Hibbert will discuss the following: When and how we expect the border to re-open, What the latest visa application and grant data suggests about the recovery in overseas migration over the next five years, How this recovery will feed through to individual states, and what this will mean for economic activity, How internal migration and birth rates have responded to the pandemic, and what this will mean for the local economy. We will be repeating the same webinar to cater for the difference in time zones between the Americas, APAC and EMEA: APAC - Thursday 15th April | 13:00 pm AEST EMEA - Friday 16th April | 10:00 am BST Americas - Friday 16th April | 16:00 EDT

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Webinar
Lockdown and Vaccines – The ongoing impact of COVID-19 on Australia’s outlook

Online |

The emergence of community transmission of the Delta variant of COVID-19 has sent Australian cities into lockdown. This more transmissible strain of the virus has prompted swift action from state governments to restrict trading and travel activity, which will test the resilience of the maturing recovery. In this session, our Chief Economist Sarah Hunter and Principal Economist Sean Langcake will discuss how the current restrictions are shaping our outlook for the economy in 2021, and the risks associated with more protracted lockdowns. They will also discuss the role of the vaccine rollout in potentially normalising conditions, drawing on recent international experiences. In this panel discussion session, our Chief Economist Sarah Hunter and Principal Economist Sean Langcake will discuss the following: The latest round of lockdowns have clearly impacted household spending and mobility, how long will the recovery take? Is vaccination the only long term solution? And will this be enough? What is the transition to ‘COVID-normal’ likely to look like? We will be repeating the same webinar to cater for the difference in time zones between the Americas, APAC and EMEA: APAC - Thursday 8th July | 10:30 am AEST EMEA - Friday 9th April | 10:00 am BST Americas - Friday 9th April | 16:00 EDT

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