Events, Webinars and Podcasts

We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
Unlocking the potential of Africa’s most valuable resource

with Shani Smit | Online | July 5, 2022

The story of youth unemployment in Africa is often told alongside the tale of fast and steady economic growth on the continent. With more than 200 million people aged between 15 and 24, Africa has the largest population of young people in the world, and current trends indicate a doubling of the numbers by 2045. Therefore, investing in their education, health, and protection will be key to unlocking a demographic dividend in the 21st century. This webinar will look at the different options that governments and other sectors have to unleash this potential.

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Webinar
Global Economic Outlook Webinar: Will high inflation halt the recovery?

with Ben May | Online | June 16, 2022

The global economy has started 2022 on a distinctly soft note and uncertainties over the economic fallout from the Ukraine war, high inflation and activity restrictions continue to cloud the nearer-term outlook. While recession risks have certainly grown over recent months, we continue to remain cautiously optimistic about the economic recovery. In this webinar, we provide an overview of our latest assessment of the global economic outlook.

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Webinar
Africa’s ability to adapt in a changing landscape

with Jacques Nel and Greg Struyweg | Online | May 31, 2022

Relations between Russia and the West have changed irreversibly. This will have a lasting impact on the global economy. The outlook for a number of commodities has changed fundamentally. Economic structure may be destiny: Algeria received an unexpected reprieve at a moment that otherwise looked threatening, whereas the picture for energy-importing Tunisia is suddenly bleaker than ever. This webinar looks at which African countries have the economic structures to make the best of the situation. We also look at where institutional factors will play either a positive or negative role in this transition - highly centralised and personalised systems, in which popular anger can be focussed narrowly, are more fragile than democratic and liberal ones in which hardship is experienced as impersonal.

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Webinar
Frontier market turmoil: Argentina’s value, Sri Lanka’s crisis, Egyptian FX worries

with Gabriel Sterne, Regis Chatellier and Maya Senussi | Online | May 24, 2022

Frontier markets will continue to be volatile in the near term, but bond valuations are attractive with plenty of arbitrage opportunities. We see value in Argentine bonds, as the country should benefit from higher commodity prices and liquidity risks are contained; we focus on the light at the end of Sri Lanka’s tunnel, with markets failing to price in the possibility of a successful IMF program; and also our concerns that further depreciation may be consistent with Egyptian stabilisation efforts.

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Webinar
Food price inflation could hit Africa the hardest

with Jacques Nel and Petro van Eck | Online | April 26, 2022

Food accounts for a large share of the consumer price basket in a number of African countries. This means that the impact of surging global food prices will be marked. Higher food prices will filter through to consumers and undermine purchasing power. But the impact will extend far beyond headline CPI: calls for subsidies will either be heeded, putting pressure on the fiscus, or disregarded, resulting in social discontent. In this webinar we look at which African countries look set to be hit the hardest and what this means for the fiscus, monetary policy, and political stability.

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Webinar
Filling the void: Africa’s role in European energy security

with Callee Davis and Zaynab Mohamed | Online | March 29, 2022

As Western Europe accelerates a structural transition away from Russian energy dependence, Africa will play a salient role in filling this void. In this webinar we explore how a more pressing shift towards renewable energy and a reduction on Russian hydrocarbon dependence will increase demand for African renewable and non-renewable resources. We also look at where political, institutional and governance risks might hinder this transition.

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Webinar
When the taps run dry: Egypt’s susceptibility to capital outflows

with Callee Davis | Online | January 25, 2022

Portfolio inflows have become central in funding Egypt’s external position – a sudden reversal spells trouble for the North African nation. In this webinar we show how Egypt’s foreign reserve buffer would be impacted by a sudden deterioration in emerging market sentiment, what this would mean for the Egyptian pound, and how this might impede some of the economic reform progress made so far.

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Webinar
Zambia’s national elections, a pivotal moment for the country’s economy and democracy

Online | July 27, 2021

The August 12 national elections could mark a key turning point for Zambia’s future. Under President Edgar Lungu’s rule, the business environment has become increasingly hostile, especially for foreign companies seeking to benefit from the country’s copper resources. Additionally, Zambia defaulted on its debt during the coronavirus pandemic and a deal with the IMF would certainly be useful – the election outcome will determine the conditions of any potential deal. Deteriorating economic conditions have left Mr Lungu struggling for political survival ahead of the polls, while his main rival, successful businessman Hakainde Hichilema, has positioned himself as a potential saviour of the economy. Questions about whether the two-horse race will be fair are raising concerns about the future of democracy in Zambia.

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Webinar
The drive towards a greener future: Where does Africa fit in?

Online | June 29, 2021

The recent spike in commodity prices is largely attributable to supply constraints and supply-chain disruptions. Yet, some commodities will be key in the green transition and may thus experience sustained demand growth in the long term. This webinar will focus on these commodities in an African context by showing where they are currently being mined, and we investigate the potential role that the continent may play in the green revolution. We also look at how South Africa has been one of the world’s biggest beneficiaries of the commodity boom, but suggest that its current mineral profile isn’t particularly future-proof.

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Webinar
Workforce composition and economic productivity in Africa

Online | May 25, 2021

Much has been said about the ‘demographic dividend’: how disposable income increases as the dependency ratio in a country goes down. Less work has been done on the influence of demographic changes – specifically, a maturing workforce – on economic productivity. This webinar will summarise a simplified analysis of how, in developed countries, the maturing of the demographic profile has been associated with increased economic productivity. Next, we will go over the demographic forecasts for Africa and consider what they may mean for future economic output on the

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Webinar
Shining a spotlight on key African economic sectors in the post-Covid-19 world

Online | April 20, 2021

The Covid-19 shock upended the African growth model, with the short-term drivers of growth shifting towards government consumption as supply-chain severance disrupted industry. However, did the pandemic change the face of the growth model over the longer term, too? Covid-19 served as a catalyst to lower the barriers to financial inclusivity, cashless transactions, and technological advancement, but the ripple effects of the pandemic extend beyond the services sector. Delving into the more granular details of the sectoral outlook, we investigate which subsectors may emerge as long-term winners and which ones might be left behind in the post-Covid world.

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Webinar
Mapping Africa’s consumer spending landscape

Online | March 30, 2021

Urbanisation and pockets of increased socio-economic development have resulted in African cities becoming hotspots from a consumer spending perspective. The concentration of individuals increasingly enjoying a rise in discretionary income provides market potential far exceeding that seen outside of these geographies. In this webinar we map Africa’s consumer spending landscape by showing in which cities the most spending is taking place and exploring where we can expect to see the strongest growth in consumer spending over the next decade.

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