Untangling the African political economy patchwork

The African policy environment is volatile and difficult to predict due to complex interconnections between politics and economics. By using political economy risk tools, we can better understand where we could see the most severe policy volatility and what direction this policy might take. In this session we explore the findings of our updated political economy framework. These findings include in what way the nature of challenges to government supremacy matter – challenges by civil society (South Africa, Botswana, and Mauritius) have qualitatively different outcomes to challenges by the military or armed groups (Mozambique, Libya, and Ethiopia) – and how elections feed into policy decisions.

Pieter Scribante

Political Economist, Oxford Economics Africa

+27 (0) 21 863 6200

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Pieter Scribante

Political Economist, Oxford Economics Africa

Paarl, South Africa

Pieter is a political economist at Oxford Economics Africa, first joining the firm in 2019. He holds an MSc in Political Science and Political Economy from the London School of Economics (LSE) and is the principal analyst for Nigeria and Mauritius. Pieter specialises in macroeconomics and political-economic risk analysis.

Jacques Nel

Head of Africa Macro

+27 (0) 8271 303 33

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Jacques Nel

Head of Africa Macro

Cape Town, South Africa

Jacques is the head of Africa Macro at Oxford Economics Africa. He manages the company’s macroeconomic subscription services. Jacques joined the company in 2013 and his research interests include risk assessment and the drivers behind development.