Lockdown and Vaccines – The ongoing impact of COVID-19 on Australia’s outlook

The emergence of community transmission of the Delta variant of COVID-19 has sent Australian cities into lockdown. This more transmissible strain of the virus has prompted swift action from state governments to restrict trading and travel activity, which will test the resilience of the maturing recovery. In this session, our Chief Economist Sarah Hunter and Principal Economist Sean Langcake will discuss how the current restrictions are shaping our outlook for the economy in 2021, and the risks associated with more protracted lockdowns. They will also discuss the role of the vaccine rollout in potentially normalising conditions, drawing on recent international experiences.

In this panel discussion session, our Chief Economist Sarah Hunter and Principal Economist Sean Langcake will discuss the following:

  • The latest round of lockdowns have clearly impacted household spending and mobility, how long will the recovery take?
  • Is vaccination the only long term solution? And will this be enough?
  • What is the transition to ‘COVID-normal’ likely to look like?

We will be repeating the same webinar to cater for the difference in time zones between the Americas, APAC and EMEA:

  • APAC – Thursday 8th July | 10:30 am AEST
  • EMEA – Friday 9th April | 10:00 am BST
  • Americas – Friday 9th April | 16:00 EDT

Sarah Hunter 

Chief EconomistSarah Hunter is the BIS Oxford Economics Chief Economist, and is responsible for delivering the company’s suite of subscription services. She has extensive experience presenting our regional and global outlook to clients, and previously led the team responsible for providing bespoke macroeconomic analysis to clients across the Asia Pacific region.

Sarah Hunter 

Chief EconomistSarah Hunter is the BIS Oxford Economics Chief Economist, and is responsible for delivering the company’s suite of subscription services. She has extensive experience presenting our regional and global outlook to clients, and previously led the team responsible for providing bespoke macroeconomic analysis to clients across the Asia Pacific region.

Sarah Hunter | Chief Economist

Sarah Hunter is the BIS Oxford Economics Chief Economist, and is responsible for delivering the company’s suite of subscription services. She has extensive experience presenting our regional and global outlook to clients, and previously led the team responsible for providing bespoke macroeconomic analysis to clients across the Asia Pacific region.

Sean Langcake

Principal Economist 

Sean Langcake

Principal Economist 

Sean Langcake | Principal Economist 

Sean Langcake is a Principal Economist in the Economics team at BIS Oxford Economics. He is responsible for contributing to the Australian Macro Service, as well as contributing to macroeconomic-related consultancy projects. Before joining BIS Oxford Economics, Sean worked in a wide variety of roles at the Reserve Bank of Australia, largely focusing on forecasting and macroeconomic modelling.

Back to Events

Related Services

Event

Is sterling in the midst of a sell-off or a full-blown crisis?

Policy announcements are coming thick and fast in the UK at the moment and have been greeted with the most significant sell-off in UK assets in decades. Is this a case of markets overreacting or have the UK public finances been put on an unsustainable footing? Will the Bank of England react to the fall in sterling or are markets setting themselves up to be disappointed? We will set out our views on all these topics and set out the conditions under which we think this volatility will subside.

Find Out More
Egypt when hot money is not so hot

Event

Pre-emptive debt restructuring: a viable scenario for fragile African sovereigns?

The expiry of Covid-19-related support coupled with a surge in the goods import bill has exacerbated pressure on external trade positions for various African sovereigns. We see headwinds intensifying from 2023 onwards in the form of a deepening drought in East Africa, populist-leaning policies aimed at appeasing voter frustrations, large redemptions of external public debt facilities, and moral hazard. The risk profile is fragmented but a common thread can be found across Africa: sovereigns face an uphill battle in meeting the projected external funding requirements. With the risks of disorderly default on the rise and informed by the Zambian blueprint, we investigate the case for pre-emptive debt restructuring for fiscally fragile nations including Egypt, Ghana, and Kenya.

Find Out More