Oxford Economics’ Quarterly UK Conference: Nov 2021

Adrian Cooper is responsible for coordinating and managing Oxford Economics’ global economic analysis, forecasting and consultancy activities, and overseeing its global team of 400 professionals including over 250 economists. He has led Oxford Economics’ work on a wide array of consultancy projects, ranging from policy advice to government departments in Europe, the US, Africa, and Asia to detailed analysis of the economic impact of particular industries and investment proposals.

Adrian spent the first seven years of his career with HM Treasury, England. During this time, he worked on the analysis of tax and other economic policy changes as part of the preparations for the UK Budget. He was also the coordinator of the government’s macroeconomic forecast for two years.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics in 1994, Adrian was UK economist for James Capel & Company, responsible for analysing and forecasting the UK economy for institutional investors, as well as briefing Capel’s own traders. Adrian was educated at the University of Bristol, England, where he gained a first-class degree in Economics; and at the London School of Economics and Political Science, England, where he achieved a distinction in the MSc in Economics and won the Ely Devons prize for outstanding performance in the degree examinations.

Innes McFee is Managing Director of Macro and Investor Services, based in London. Innes oversees the activities of the Macro & Investor Services teams globally, including the Global Macro Forecast and Global Macro Service. Innes joined Oxford Economics in 2017 after 6 years at Lloyds Banking Group as a Senior Economist. At Lloyds Innes was responsible for the economic scenarios underpinning the Group’s internal planning and stress testing; analysis of key risks; and developing Lloyds’ approach to multiple economic scenarios for IFRS9.

“Andrew has been with Oxford Economics since August 2008. Prior to joining Oxford Economics, he spent three years working for Experian, where he managed the Regional Planning Service and was responsible for producing UK macroeconomic forecasts from the national level down to local authorities.

Before joining Experian, Andrew spent four years as a senior economist at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), where he was responsible for producing the UK forecast, in addition to providing analysis for the CBI Industrial Trends Survey and CBI Distributive Trades Survey.

Andrew was educated at the University of Surrey, where he gained an upper second class degree in Business Economics with Computing.”

“Felicity Hannon is an Associate Director in the Stress Testing, Scenarios and Financial Modelling Team based in London and Oxford. She is specialised in bespoke scenario analysis, regulatory stress testing and macro-modelling.

During her time at Oxford Economics, Felicity has specialised in scenario analysis aimed at quantifying the impacts of exogenous policy shocks such as sanctions. She has worked on a number of model development projects which involved building bespoke and integrated financial models for international clients and she has been involved in regulatory stress tests, including the BoE’s Annual Cyclical Scenario and the IFRS9 service.

Felicity previously worked as the Head of Monetary Policy at HM Treasury (HMT), analysing developments in UK monetary policy and advising Ministers on the effectiveness of the UK monetary policy framework. In this role, she was also the secretariat for the Treasury’s Economic Risks Group, coordinating the monitoring and analysis of UK macroeconomic and financial risks. Her other roles at HMT included forecasting UK GDP and analysing the productivity puzzle. She was also a Model Developer, responsible for the creation and development of HMT’s distributional analysis model. Felicity has a first class undergraduate degree in Economics from the University of York and a MPhil in Economics from the University of Cambridge.”

James is Head of Thematic Research at Oxford Economics and is responsible for delivering in-depth analysis to inform OE’s long-term economic forecasts

He brings to Oxford Economics extensive experience having worked both in the private and public sector. James oversaw the international forecast at the Bank of England and was forecast coordinator at the European Central Bank, presenting the respective staff forecasts to the policy making committees of both institutions. He was for seven years Chief European Economist at Société Générale and was most recently Chief Economist at TheCityUK, where he undertook extensive work on the economic impact of Brexit. He holds a PhD in applied macro-econometric modelling from the University of London and a degree in Natural Science. James has a keen interest in resource constraints and the limits they imply for growth. His current research interests include the economic impact of climate change and the clean energy transition. Previously James was Chief European Economist at OE where his European team won the Focus Economics’ award for most accurate European forecasts for three consecutive years.