Global industry overview: recovery to rotate towards consumer services
We have raised our global sector forecasts again this quarter and maintain a relatively upbeat outlook about the pace of the economic recovery. While recent Covid-related developments confirm that the pandemic is far from over, the economic data have continued to paint a positive picture. We project that the easing of restrictions across much of the world will prompt growth to rotate away from manufacturing, finance, and tech, and towards hard-hit consumer services such as travel and hospitality from Q2 2021.
Jeremy Leonard
Director of Global Industry Services
Jeremy Leonard
Director of Global Industry Services
Jeremy Leonard |Director of Global Industry Services
Jeremy Leonard is responsible for overseeing the work of the industry forecasting team and managing the operation and output of Oxford Economics’ 74-country, 100-sector Global Industry Model as well as related consultancy work. Jeremy’s knowledge and past experience span a broad range, including competitiveness and offshoring/reshoring, commodity price modelling, and applied economic research on sectors ranging from biotech to heavy manufacturing to telecoms.
Sean Metcalfe
Senior Economist
Sean Metcalfe
Senior Economist
Sean Metcalfe |Senior Economist
Sean is a Lead Economist on the Industry team, where he forecasts the utilities sector, helps shape the team’s views on the Global Industrial outlook and oversees the climate-related enhancements being made to the Global Industry Model.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Sean spent two years working for RBB Economics as a competition economist. At RBB he was involved in the economic assessment of competition cases across a range of industries, including antitrust investigations in the telecommunications sector.
Sean holds an MSc in Economics from the London School of Economics and a BSc in Economics from the University of York.
Tags:
Related Services
Event
Air passenger demand outlook
Air passenger demand has continued to grow robustly throughout 2024 aided by lower inflation. Consequently, interest rates are on their way down which should further support demand in the near-term. However, there are a range of macroeconomic and geopolitical risks - including some degree of uncertainty around the impact of Donald Trump's upcoming second presidency. The baseline outlook and risks to the outlook will be covered in this webinar.
Find Out MoreEvent
The global implications of rising US tariffs
In this webinar we take a closer look at the potential implications of further rises in US tariffs on the global economy, using evidence from the US-China trade war and explore how damaging it would be for the world economy of a further escalation
Find Out More