Four scenarios for the South African Election

The ANC, in power since 1994, is set to lose its legislative majority in the May 29 general election, and democratic South Africa will have its first coalition government at national level. Will the liberation movement attain a legislative majority by partnering with small parties? Or will it have to choose between the radical leftists of the EFF and the liberals of the DA? And what does the choice mean for the economy? This webinar sets out the policy implications, macroeconomic consequences, and political-economic risk effects under each of these three scenarios as well as a fourth one, in which the DA’s liberal coalition wins a majority.

Louw Nel

Senior Political Analyst, OE Africa

+27 (0) 21 863 6200

Louw Nel

Senior Political Analyst, OE Africa

Cape Town, South Africa

Louw is the senior political analyst at Oxford Economics Africa. He joined the company in 2020 after five years with South Africa’s official opposition party, serving as its operations director at Parliament. He has an obsessive relationship with African politics and covers South Africa and several other countries.

Jee-A van der Linde

Senior Economist, OE Africa

+27 (0) 82 337 7712

Jee-A van der Linde

Senior Economist, OE Africa

Paarl, South Africa

Jee-A is responsible for the macroeconomic analysis of South Africa. He began his career at COFCO International and also worked for Allan Gray before joining Oxford Economics Africa in 2018.

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