FOMC outlook: Prepping to Taper
Topic: The rapid spread of the Delta variant and lingering supply chain concerns have led to a visible softening in economic activity, visible in the soft August payroll report. We believe the FOMC will continue discussing QE tapering at its September policy meeting, but an announcement of its tapering plans is unlikely before the November policy meeting. We foresee actual tapering of asset purchases starting in December or January depending on employment and inflation progress over the fall. However, the challenge for Fed officials will be to separate the timing of tapering from eventual rate lift-off amid splintering views within the FOMC.
Kathy Bostjancic | Chief US Financial Economist
Kathy Bostjancic is Head of U.S. Macro Investor Services. She is responsible for assessing the impact of macroeconomic forecasts and analyses on the financial markets. She will present the economic outlook and market implications to U.S. asset managers and other clients, and she will be a media spokesperson. Kathy will also lead and collaborate on multiple consulting projects for U.S. clients.
Gregory Daco | Chief US Economist
Gregory Daco is Head of US Macroeconomics at Oxford Economics. He is responsible for producing the US economic outlook using Oxford Economics’ proprietary Global Economic Model. Greg tracks and forecasts high-frequency indicators, and oversees the production of thematic research pieces on the US economy, the Federal Reserve, financial markets and fiscal policy. He is also responsible for presenting the global outlook to clients and partners, and liaising with the media.
Key themes for 2024 – another year of price weakness
Energy and metal markets have experienced a sharp reversal in prices this year, as we expected, diminishing the Super cycle thesis of our competitors. In this webinar, we examine the key themes affecting commodity markets in 2024 as the energy transition gathers pace and discuss our leading calls for prices in the year ahead. Overall, we expect another year of price weakness as we forecast the global economy to grow at its slowest pace since the global financial crisis, excluding the pandemic. We also anticipate supply to improve across commodity markets next year, which will further weigh on prices.Find Out More
Why tourism will continue to grow in 2024: key themes to watch in the year ahead
There are reasons for continued optimism as we look ahead into 2024 for the travel sector, and we retain a bullish outlook despite several clear risk factors. Within this webinar we will explore the emerging trends that will drive continued growth in demand and travel spending, how this will differ from prior years, as well as discussing some of the key risks to this outlook.Find Out More