South Africa Elections 2024 | The votes are in, but what comes next?

South Africa’s general election has produced a stunning outcome with the long-ruling African National Congress (ANC) surrendering its majority, and then some, and former President Jacob Zuma’s uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) Party earning a staggering 2.3 million votes to become the country’s third largest. Attention now turns to coalition permutations as the ANC and would-be partners face tricky talks and difficult decisions.

Louw Nel

Senior Political Analyst, OE Africa

+27 (0) 21 863 6200

Louw Nel

Senior Political Analyst, OE Africa

Cape Town, South Africa

Louw is the senior political analyst at Oxford Economics Africa. He joined the company in 2020 after five years with South Africa’s official opposition party, serving as its operations director at Parliament. He has an obsessive relationship with African politics and covers South Africa and several other countries.

Jee-A van der Linde

Senior Economist, OE Africa

+27 (0) 82 337 7712

Jee-A van der Linde

Senior Economist, OE Africa

Paarl, South Africa

Jee-A is a senior economist at Oxford Economics Africa. He began his career at COFCO International and also worked at Allan Gray. He is responsible for the macroeconomic analysis of South Africa while his insights extend to the broader Southern Africa region. Jee-A holds a master’s degree in risk management.

Back to Events

Related Services

South Africa: Elections 2024 | Scenarios side by side

This Research Briefing summarises our four scenarios for the general election that will take place in South Africa on May 29, and compares the macroeconomic forecasts associated with them.

Find Out More
CNBC Africa: South Africa’s vote 2024 – Coalition permutation

Louw Nel, Senior Political Analyst at Oxford Economics, joins CNBC Africa to discuss the four permutations for South Africa's upcoming national election, in which the ruling African National Election is expected to lose its majority rule.

Find Out More
South Africa: Elections 2024 | ‘Moonshot’ election scenario

This is the last of the four Research Briefings on scenarios for South Africa's general election on May 29. In this scenario, the centre-right opposition to the ANC, united in a coalition around the DA, secures enough votes to form a majority.

Find Out More
South Africa: Elections 2024 | ‘ANC & EFF’ election scenario

This briefing sets out the second of our four scenarios for South Africa's general election: the ANC wins only 40% of the vote and makes a coalition deal with the radical leftists of the EFF.

Find Out More