Climate scenarios: Oxford Economics’ methodological approach explained

Topic: Following the launch of Oxford Economics’ new Global Climate Service we look forward to walking you through the methodological approach to our climate scenarios in detail. Our bespoke scenarios are modelled using new climate policy levers on the Global Economic Model (GEM). The GEM stimulates a connection across three key factors: the climate, the energy system and the global macroeconomy. The model’s enhanced framework draws on our econometric analysis of the climate damage function – a relationship between temperature and productivity – and our latest research on the economic impact of carbon pricing.

Please note that we will be holding one webinar each for EMEA, Americas and APAC friendly time zones:

  • EMEA – Tuesday 9th November| 10:00 GMT
  • Americas – Tuesday 9th November | 16:00 EST
  • APAC – Tuesday 9th November | 10:00 HKT

Felicity Hannon

Associate Director in the Climate Scenarios and Modelling Team

Felicity Hannon

Associate Director in the Climate Scenarios and Modelling Team

Felicity Hannon | Associate Director in the Climate Scenarios and Modelling Team

Felicity Hannon is an Associate Director in the Stress Testing, Scenarios and Modelling Team. During her time at Oxford Economics, Felicity has focused on macroeconomic modelling and scenario analysis aimed at quantifying the impacts of various exogenous shocks (e.g. Covid-19, trade tariffs). More recently, Felicity has used scenario analysis to quantify the economic impacts of mitigation policy and global warming. She has also overseen the expansion of the climate and electricity set up on the Global Economic Model. Previously, Felicity worked as a senior policy advisor at HM Treasury.

Back to Events

Related Services

Solar panel water heater in South Africa

Event

Key themes for 2024 – another year of price weakness

Energy and metal markets have experienced a sharp reversal in prices this year, as we expected, diminishing the Super cycle thesis of our competitors. In this webinar, we examine the key themes affecting commodity markets in 2024 as the energy transition gathers pace and discuss our leading calls for prices in the year ahead. Overall, we expect another year of price weakness as we forecast the global economy to grow at its slowest pace since the global financial crisis, excluding the pandemic. We also anticipate supply to improve across commodity markets next year, which will further weigh on prices.

Find Out More
air travel

Event

Why tourism will continue to grow in 2024: key themes to watch in the year ahead

There are reasons for continued optimism as we look ahead into 2024 for the travel sector, and we retain a bullish outlook despite several clear risk factors. Within this webinar we will explore the emerging trends that will drive continued growth in demand and travel spending, how this will differ from prior years, as well as discussing some of the key risks to this outlook.

Find Out More