Boosting returns on EM bonds through term-premia
During this webinar, we highlight a simple trading rule we have developed internally based on the size of term-premia across 15 EMs, which can boost hedged and unhedged returns on local currency bonds without suffering much increase in volatility. Our main innovation comes in using a unique proprietary data set of vintages of Oxford Economics short-term interest rate forecasts for each of the last 45 quarters.
Please note that we will be repeating the same webinar to cater for the difference in time zones between EMEA, the Americas and APAC:
- APAC – Tuesday 5th October | 10:00 HKT
- EMEA – Tuesday 5th October | 10:00 BST
- Americas – Tuesday 5th October | 16:00 EDT
Gabriel Sterne
Head of Global Strategy Services and EM Macro Research
Gabriel Sterne
Head of Global Strategy Services and EM Macro Research
Gabriel Sterne | Head of Global Strategy Services and EM Macro Research
Gabriel delivers macro-economic products tailored for the financial markets, as Head of a team that integrates global strategy and EM macro views. Recently he has published most on populism, demographics and other drivers of low global yields, and the evolution of global fragilities as expansions mature. On the EM side he is a global expert on sovereign crisis and debt restructuring issues.
Regis Chatellier
Director EM Strategy
Regis Chatellier
Director EM Strategy
Regis Chatellier | Director EM Strategy
Regis is a senior strategist in charge of global emerging markets. He covers the sovereign hard currency debt, FX and local rates markets, combining top-down macro research with bottom-up/quant modelling approaches. Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Regis worked for more than 20 years in investment banks. He did his studies at Sciences Po. Paris (Economics & Finance) and he holds a Master’s degree in Economics from the University of Nantes.”
Related Services
Event
Frontier market turmoil: Argentina’s value, Sri Lanka’s crisis, Egyptian FX worries
Frontier markets will continue to be volatile in the near term, but bond valuations are attractive with plenty of arbitrage opportunities. We see value in Argentine bonds, as the country should benefit from higher commodity prices and liquidity risks are contained; we focus on the light at the end of Sri Lanka’s tunnel, with markets failing to price in the possibility of a successful IMF program; and also our concerns that further depreciation may be consistent with Egyptian stabilisation efforts.
Find Out More
Event
Latin America’s winners and losers from the war in Ukraine
As a relevant commodity exporter, Latin America stands to benefit from the generalized increase in prices for raw materials. But the gains will not be uniform across all countries or across all sector of the economy, as the renewed rise in inflation will squeeze consumers' incomes and savings.
Find Out More