Air passenger recovery to begin in earnest in 2022
New quarterly forecasts for major flows will be described in this look at the extent of the recovery in air passenger flows. Growth over the northern hemisphere summer months will be compared as well as the expected trends into 2022 and beyond. The implications of vaccination rates and associated policies will be described for a range of countries as we look ahead to continued recovery in international and domestic demand. Long-run demand and pricing effects will also be considered, including possible carbon price impacts.
Dave Goodger
Director of Tourism Economics, EMEA
Dave Goodger
Director of Tourism Economics, EMEA
Dave Goodger | Director of Tourism Economics, EMEA
Dave Goodger is Director of Tourism Economics, Europe. He has been instrumental in developing the global model of tourism flows and spending, which covers 185 origins and destinations, and he continues to manage the regular forecast updates. He also maintains an active role in new product development and consultancy work.
Stephen Rooney
Senior Economist
Stephen Rooney
Senior Economist
Stephen Rooney | Senior Economist
Since joining Tourism Economics in 2014, Stephen has contributed to the production of the company’s full complement of travel and tourism subscription services as well as a range of consultancy pieces. His remit currently includes the Air Passenger Forecasts service, which provides long-term forecasts of air passenger flows for almost 4,000 routes and total flows for 191 countries, as well as various other modelling to predict performance based on economic fundamentals and industry dynamics.
Ezgi Gulbas
Senior Economist, Airline Performance & Market Analysis at IATA
Ezgi Gulbas
Senior Economist, Airline Performance & Market Analysis at IATA
Ezgi Gulbas | Senior Economist, Airline Performance & Market Analysis at IATA
In her role as a senior economist, Ezgi is responsible for financial and market analysis of the airline industry to support IATA’s members and its advocacy. Her areas of expertise include financial modelling, macroeconomic analysis and forecasting.
Prior to joining IATA, she had a range of expertise within the financial sector. She worked as a senior economist in Sberbank and ING Bank. She also had an experience as an equity analyst covering multiple sectors, including oil & gas, retail, automotive in QNB Bank.
Arnaud Vanolli
Economist, Industry and Market Analysis at IATA
Arnaud Vanolli
Economist, Industry and Market Analysis at IATA
Arnaud Vanolli | Economist, Industry and Market Analysis at IATA
Arnaud’s key responsibilities as an economist specialized in Market Analysis include following the macroeconomic trends and drivers impacting the air passenger and cargo transport industry. Arnaud delivers economic briefings and passenger traffic forecasts which inform IATA’s stakeholders on the economic state of the industry. He also supports the Communication department at IATA for external queries and press releases related to Economics.
Related Services
Event
マクロ経済から見る産業へのトランプ関税インパクト
今次セミナーでは、トランプ関税が経済に及ぼす影響について、マクロ経済学を用いた産業分析の観点から紐解いていきます。急速に変化する経済・政策環境の中では、目先の動きにとらわれるのではなく、経済構造に基づいた分析を通じて大局的な視点を持ちリスク管理を行うことが重要となります。マクロ経済調査会社である弊社の強みを活かしたトップダウンで一貫性のある分析手法により、ボトムアップ型の分析では捉えきれない要因まで包括的にカバーすることが可能になります。関税からくる直接的な影響だけではなく、複雑に絡み合う国際的なサプライチェーンを通じた間接的なインパクトを含め、様々な産業の中から脆弱性の高い産業からそうでない産業まで、波及経路も含めて仔細に説明します。
Find Out More
Event
LatAm shows resilience to U.S. Tariffs
Economic growth across most of the region has been mostly undisturbed by the start of US tariffs. Resilient domestic demand and high commodity prices suggest economic stability will continue in most countries, except in Mexico, where the impact of trade uncertainty and fiscal consolidation have temporarily stalled the economy. Inflation shows relatively different dynamics due to domestic idiosyncrasies, but most countries are exposed to the same international shocks, which could justify greater caution in the monetary normalization process by central banks.
Find Out More