Africa watchlist for 2021
This year’s overriding macroeconomic theme will be one of uneven recovery. While somewhat synchronised, the rate and extent of recovery will vary considerably, both across and within regions. Our first webinar of the year identifies the key factors that will be driving these divergences across the African continent, also highlighting some potential wildcard developments that should be on every Africa analyst’s watchlist. We look at why Covid-19 will remain a concern throughout 2021, discuss whether the commencement of AfCFTA will have any significance, and show how the continent’s growth hotspot is moving west. We also unpack the likelihood of political upheaval in Nigeria – the continent’s largest economy and most populous nation – and identify a few contenders for Africa’s next major debt default.
Jacques Nel| Head: Africa Macro
Jacques is the Head of Africa Macro at NKC African Economics. He manages the company’s macroeconomic subscription services and has been the lead analyst for a number of African countries.
Africa: What to expect from elections in 2023
Thirteen African countries are scheduled to hold presidential or legislative elections this year. This webinar will focus on the four elections of greatest potential impact: Nigeria, home to the largest population in Africa; Zimbabwe, where the fractious and unloved Zanu-PF has already unleashed violence on its opponents; Gabon, where President Ali Bongo may try (again) to cheat to get a third term; and the DRC, where armed conflict is complicating the already massive task of registering 50 million voters across a territory the size of Western Europe. We will also touch on the elections in Eswatini, Libya, and Madagascar.Find Out More
Global Climate Service: Climate Catastrophe
The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of five climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the trade-offs and implications of climate mitigation. This quarter our new scenario – Climate Catastrophe – underscores the costs of climate inaction. It models a high-emissions pathway by which global warming, temperature volatility and more frequent extreme heat events cause severe physical damages that accelerate over time.Find Out More