Five themes shaping the US economy in 2025

We remain more optimistic than the consensus on the US and expect its period of growth exceptionalism to continue. Policy uncertainty will remain high but this isn’t the first, nor the last, the economy has dealt with elevated uncertainty. Businesses can quickly adapt and the prospects for expansionary fiscal policy on top of an already solid backdrop for US consumer spending and investment, the US economy will likely further distance itself from the rest of the pack.   

Ryan Sweet

Chief US Economist

+1 (646) 668 5790

Ryan Sweet

Chief US Economist

New York, United States

Ryan Sweet is the Chief US Economist at Oxford Economics. He is responsible for forecasting and assessing the US macroeconomic outlook and how it will influence monetary policy and financial markets. Ryan is among the most accurate high-frequency forecasters of the U.S. economy, according to MarketWatch and Bloomberg LP.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Ryan led real-time economics at Moody’s Analytics and was a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team. He was also head of the firm’s monetary policy research, following actions by the Federal Reserve and examining its potential impact on the U.S. economy.

Ryan is an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania. He received a master’s degree in finance from John’s Hopkins University, a master’s degree in economics from the University of Delaware, and a bachelor’s degree in economics from Washington College.

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