In-depth analysis of a single current issue that is relevant for investors, and provides high-conviction tactical views, both directional and relative value.
To prepare for a future where these factors will be increasingly influential, energy firms need access to reliable data and long-term forecasts for key economic and energy demand drivers.
The convergence of economic shifts, geopolitical uncertainty, regulatory reform and technological progress has transformed the energy economy. Increased production due to the shale revolution has challenged peak theory as a way to forecast energy prices and demand has returned as a key driver of price evolution in the short, medium and long term.
How we support the energy sector
Oxford Economics supports the energy sector with projections and scenarios for the world economy by zones and countries, analysis of future trends in global industrial production with details for key industries such as automotive and construction, detailed local consumer spending forecasts, projections of energy prices, and triggers for economic and political risk.
Our team of economists and industry experts draw on the latest models and analytical tools to provide valuable decision support on some of today’s most critical energy issues:
The world’s most widely used framework for macroenergy simulations, the Global Economic Model covers oil, gas, and coal demand and supply for 80 countries. The model also covers OPEC supply and other key zones, together with global aggregates for price forecasts.
Briefs and forecasts databanks (with data from 1980 to 2050) for energy demand around the world on a country, sector, and consumer level, including the outlook under alternative economic and pricing scenarios. All forecasts are produced within a unified and regularly-updated forecasting system to ensure consistency.
Monthly brief presenting our future market trends and prices for commodities.
Assessments of the likelihood and impact of economic, political, market, and regulatory changes, and how they will affect energy prices, through a dedicated quarterly scenario service.
Analysis and commentary on latest economic events and data releases that might fuel investment speculation and influence
Dedicated risk service on an economic, political, and operational level on more than 180 countries.
How Energy firms use our analysis
Assess drivers of energy demand. As energy prices have become more volatile, it has become increasingly important for energy firms to monitor macro factors that could signal a price rebound.
Apply our global models to run scenarios for oil production on an aggregate and individual country basis, testing assumptions and external shocks that would affect both supply and demand.
Forecast energy prices, with projections that are consistent with the overall global economics forecast assumptions in our economic and industry models.
Monitor the macro environment, using the Global Macro Service which provides insights on triggers that may affect the energy sector, such as conflicts, supply disruptions, and policy changes.
Carry out risk assessments. We can tailor our risk analysis to your specific requirements and the nuances of your business. And our partnership with Control Risks means that we can supply a rounded view of risks, including geopolitical and operational risks, to math your firm's risk profile.
Influence stakeholders through applied economics. Our work on energy has included evaluatin the economic impact of companies to a national economy, custom oil price scenarios, and trends in risk management for the energy and utilities sector.
Select Energy Clients
BG, BP, Cenovus Energy, Centrica, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Cosmo Oil, Drax Group, Eni, EDF, Enel, Exxon Mobil, Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (EIA), Engie, Hess, Iberdrola, Murphy Oil, National Grid, OPEC, Petrobras, Petronas, Phillips 66, Repsol, Royal Dutch Shell, SSE, Schneider Electric, Total.
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