In the media | 24 Nov 2022

Alex Holmes: Parts of Asian economies have a way to go to recover

Alex Holmes

Alex Holmes

Lead Economist

Asia map

“Still, parts of Asian economies have a way to go to recover, particularly on the investment side, on the construction side. Labour flows within the region have only just started to get back to normal. So the sort of labour shortages that have been holding back construction and industry are now easing and there’s plenty of scope for that to ease more. But, there is an issue. Asia is facing lots of headwinds and those headwinds to growth are mounting and the recovery is entering a much more difficult phase.”

“The biggest one is the external environment. Now, Asia is a very exported-dependent region. And so if there is a shallow recession in the US, the Eurozone, and in the UK as we and many others expect early next year, that’s going to weigh on demand for the goods that are produced in Asia. But it’s not just this usual relationship between growth in the advanced world and exports from Asia. There are some added factors. That means that we think that exports are going to slow over and above that usual relationship.” Alex Holmes, Senior Economics at Oxford Economics, answered during the interview with Pamela Ambler from IC Markets.

Watch the full interview to learn more:

The interview is also available on Apple Podcasts and Spotify to listen.

To download our latest report on APAC’s 2023 outlook, please visit Unprecedented mix of challenges hurts APAC’s 2023 outlook


For media enquiries on Asia, please contact:
Yu Sato
[email protected]

You may be interested in

Post

BoJ to raise its policy rate cautiously to 1% by 2028

We now project that the Bank of Japan will start to raise its policy rate next spring assuming another robust wage settlement at the Spring Negotiation. If inflation remains on a path towards 2%, the BoJ will likely raise rates cautiously to a terminal rate of around 1% in 2028.

Find Out More

Post

Japan inflation to rise to 1.8%, but downside risks are high

Reflecting a surprisingly strong Spring Negotiation result and weaker yen assumption, we have upgraded our baseline wage and inflation forecasts. We now project higher wage settlements will push inflation towards 1.8% by 2027. Uncertainty is high, however.

Find Out More

Post

Australian office sustainability outcomes underpin asset performance

The focus on green office buildings and sustainability is being driven by both government targets to achieve net zero and increasing corporate and investor focus on environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG) considerations and compliance.

Find Out More