Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- Nov 29 2019
Germany: Labour constraints a barrier for infrastructure spending
Raising public investment – particularly into the country’s aging infrastructure – is at the core of most recommendations to Germany’s fiscal policy setters. But in our view supply shortages in the co...
- Nov 28 2019
World trade stabilising but fragile and limited
World trade continued to contract in Q3 2019, falling at the fastest pace in a decade. Our in-house indicators suggest it may be starting to stabilise, in line with our baseline forecasts, but risks r...
- Nov 28 2019
China’s labour market holding up well
Recent indicators suggest that China’s labour market is holding up well so far on the back of continued urban job creation in the service sector. Policymakers are therefore likely to continue to hold...
- Nov 28 2019
MENA Weekly: GDP growth in Dubai at 2.1% in H1 2019
Growth in Dubai remained solid at 2.1% y/y in H1, supported by transportation and tourism. The economy may feel a slight squeeze in H2 given the ongoing global economic weakness, but growth is expecte...
- Nov 27 2019
Canada: Top calls for 2020: Testing the economy’s stall speed
The economy has ratcheted down from a 3.7% annualized surge in Q2 to a below-potential pace that we believe will continue through 2020. Growth next year will be supported by expected extra federal fis...
Technology and the Future of Australian jobs: What will be the impact of AI on workers in every sector?
Australia is in the midst of a major economic, social and political transition, driven by global competition and technological transformation. Over the next 10 years, the pace of technological change... more
Global Cities: The outlook for the world’s leading urban economies amid the global slowdown
Cities are the new geography of business planning. In the annual flagship Global Cities report from our Cities and Regions team, we examine the impact of the ongoing global economic slowdown on leadin... more
The Impact of Online Content on Portuguese Tourism
The Portuguese tourism industry has benefitted from a greater embrace of online content, driving engagement with travellers and ultimately creating new jobs.
The Drivers of Housing Affordability
Our report reveals the key drivers of increasing house prices and rents and analyzes the role played by short-term rentals with regard to housing affordability.
In the media
In #Asia, we expect growth to stabilise in 2020 though #China will slow further. 2019's synchronized downturn is likely to to give way to more diverse outcomes with economies that push harder on policy levers outperforming others. Our 2020 Asia outlook: bit.ly/38sAls4
Our 250 economists have updated our monthly forecasts - download a FREE SUMMARY: bit.ly/2E7hQvm. We see a further slowdown into 2020 and world growth of 2.5% this yr and next, the weakest since 2009. But despite heightened recession risks, we think this shd be avoided.
As highlighted by AFP, our new 'Global Cities' study shows the #globaleconomy slowdown biting on growth in #cities worldwide. Of the top 900 cities we find just under two-thirds will see slower growth in 2020-21 than in the past 5 years: yhoo.it/2LE4f2L @heatherscottafp
Customer trust is getting harder to earn (and keep). Find out how leading organizations are leveraging #data, #AI, #blockchain and other technologies to win the battle for trust. Our latest #CsuiteStudy with @IBMIBV: ibm.co/2P6o4lE
Latest developments confirm the #USeconomy isn’t about to fall off a cliff. Looking ahead to 2020, we see a good chance of a soft landing ahead. Our top calls for next year: bit.ly/2PwvbCL
More than a year after agreement on the #USMCA trade accord, the deal looks likely to pass the US Congress and be signed by the President. The importance is not modernising #NAFTA but in preventing breakdown of #trade between the US and key trade partners: bit.ly/349QCiv
Saturday’s prelim #IMF move to grant a $5.5bn loan to #Ukraine was likely political, on the eve of Paris peace talks. Banning return of nationalised bank assets to previous owners will likely mean full approval and a further rally in Ukraine’s USD bonds: bit.ly/2RKCKIG