Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- Oct 14 2019
Ecuador: The government can appease protestors and the IMF
On Sunday, Ecuador’s president agreed to revoke the controversial elimination of fuel subsidies that had sparked violent protests over the last 10 days. But this doesn’t mean fuel subsidies – and thei...
- Oct 14 2019
Poland: Ruling nationalists maintain absolute majority
After four years in government, Poland’s ruling Law and Justice party (PiS) maintained its absolute majority in yesterday’s parliamentary elections. But having missed a constitutional majority of 2/3...
- Oct 14 2019
Malaysia: Mildly stimulatory budget but fiscal slippage risks high
As expected, the government presented a mildly expansionary budget for 2020, with counter-cyclical measures aimed at supporting the domestic economy amounting to an estimated 0.2% of GDP. As such, the...
- Oct 14 2019
China: Phase One deal positive, but no big concessions made
The ‘phase one’ trade deal between the US and China will delay additional US tariffs planned to be implemented on 15th October, with China promising to increase purchases of US agricultural products,...
- Oct 12 2019
United States: Macro Musings: Positive trade news cheers investors but should not derail the Fed's rate-cutting plans.
Spurred by positive signs on the trade front, the stock market staged a strong rally this week, more than offsetting three consecutive weeks of losses. Interest rates also rose across the board, refle...
Handling the US Economy: The Economic Impact of the Material Handling Industry
MHI commissioned this report with Oxford Economics to quantify the economic impact that this vital industry has across all industries and regions of the United States. That impact in 2018 amounted to... more
Listed Real Estate in a Multi-Asset Portfolio: A European Perspective
With the European listed real estate market having expanded rapidly in terms of size and diversity in recent years, this study examines the optimal role of this asset class in investment portfolios.
In the media
Thursday's #ECB Council meeting will be the last chaired by Mario #Draghi as he hands over to Christine #Lagarde at the end of the month. We don't expect much else of note after last month’s monetary fireworks that will see the restart of #eurozone QE: bit.ly/2J2ytv3
Establishing the world’s largest free trade area is an investment game changer. So, what are the top #African economies for investment? Get the the 2019 #AfricaRiskRewardIndex from OE and @NKCAfrica with @Control_Risks to find out more: bit.ly/2VUoTQ9 #ARRI2019
The Hays Global #Skills Index 2019/20, produced with OE, analyses the challenges facing organisations in their labour market as they search for the most sought-after talent. Read the full report at: bit.ly/35JAXs4
AR promises to make all the world a stage for immersive experiences. Check out our latest study bit.ly/2J2l0na to see how AR adopters are already capitalizing on AR’s ability to deliver improved business outcomes #AR #RealReality #Augmented #AI
Amid #tradewar, with businesses more reluctant to invest, construction activity in #Asia is at risk of becoming collateral damage. In our latest Asia Construction Service report we map key trends, winners and losers for Asia #construction and #realestate: bit.ly/31s4W4v
In #France 2020 budget plans confirm fiscal policy supports demand following the #giletsjaunes crisis. Tax cuts for households will be 3x larger than planned 1yr ago, before the protests. In contrast, tax cuts for companies are more than halved: bit.ly/2J2RePk
Global growth is ~1ppt down from its Q1 2018 peak. Since the 70s there hv been 7 slowdowns on this scale; 4 morphed into #recession. We find a 30% risk of global recession in the next 12m, but this could change rapidly if there were several more shocks: bit.ly/2oK0kJT