Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- Oct 18 2019
Rising odds, but still no certainty, of global recession
Risks are high that world growth will undershoot our baseline forecast over the next 12 months. Global growth has already slipped by around 1ppt from its Q1 2018 peak. By comparison, seven previous sl...
- Oct 18 2019
Under Morales or not, Bolivia faces a tough outlook
Bolivia will be holding general elections on October 20, and contrary to previous electoral episodes, we expect a very contested vote that could see former President Carlos Mesa frustrating Evo Morale...
- Oct 17 2019
France: A 2020 budget tinged with yellow (vests)
The 2020 draft budget confirms that French fiscal policy now openly supports demand following the "gilets jaunes" crisis. Tax cuts for households in 2020 will be three times larger than plan...
- Oct 17 2019
MENA Weekly: GCC faces slower 2020 than seen by the IMF and WB
The IMF and World Bank have released their revised forecasts for the global economy, including the GCC. The IMF now expects the GCC to grow by 0.7% in 2019 and 2.5% in 2020 (on a PPP basis), whereas t...
- Oct 17 2019
Global warming - a particularly pernicious externality
Rising temperatures from global warming have already resulted in profound alterations to human and natural systems, including increases in drought, flooding, extreme weather, sea level rise and biodiv...
Handling the US Economy: The Economic Impact of the Material Handling Industry
MHI commissioned this report with Oxford Economics to quantify the economic impact that this vital industry has across all industries and regions of the United States. That impact in 2018 amounted to... more
Listed Real Estate in a Multi-Asset Portfolio: A European Perspective
With the European listed real estate market having expanded rapidly in terms of size and diversity in recent years, this study examines the optimal role of this asset class in investment portfolios.
In the media
Thursday's #ECB Council meeting will be the last chaired by Mario #Draghi as he hands over to Christine #Lagarde at the end of the month. We don't expect much else of note after last month’s monetary fireworks that will see the restart of #eurozone QE: bit.ly/2J2ytv3
Establishing the world’s largest free trade area is an investment game changer. So, what are the top #African economies for investment? Get the the 2019 #AfricaRiskRewardIndex from OE and @NKCAfrica with @Control_Risks to find out more: bit.ly/2VUoTQ9 #ARRI2019
The Hays Global #Skills Index 2019/20, produced with OE, analyses the challenges facing organisations in their labour market as they search for the most sought-after talent. Read the full report at: bit.ly/35JAXs4
AR promises to make all the world a stage for immersive experiences. Check out our latest study bit.ly/2J2l0na to see how AR adopters are already capitalizing on AR’s ability to deliver improved business outcomes #AR #RealReality #Augmented #AI
Amid #tradewar, with businesses more reluctant to invest, construction activity in #Asia is at risk of becoming collateral damage. In our latest Asia Construction Service report we map key trends, winners and losers for Asia #construction and #realestate: bit.ly/31s4W4v
In #France 2020 budget plans confirm fiscal policy supports demand following the #giletsjaunes crisis. Tax cuts for households will be 3x larger than planned 1yr ago, before the protests. In contrast, tax cuts for companies are more than halved: bit.ly/2J2RePk
Global growth is ~1ppt down from its Q1 2018 peak. Since the 70s there hv been 7 slowdowns on this scale; 4 morphed into #recession. We find a 30% risk of global recession in the next 12m, but this could change rapidly if there were several more shocks: bit.ly/2oK0kJT