Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- Dec 09 2019
United States: FOMC to hold policy steady for now
After reducing the fed funds target range by a cumulative 75 basis points in 2019 to 1.5% - 1.75%, the FOMC has shifted to a wait-and-see policy stance. Policymakers believe the economy and monet...
- Dec 09 2019
Global: Asset price valuations pose a risk to the economy
Asset prices have become so detached from macroeconomic fundamentals that we now think they present a material risk to the global economy.
- Dec 06 2019
United States: Macro Musings: A joyful jobs report, but hold the champagne
A robust jobs report indicates that the record sales volume over Black Friday and Cyber Monday was no fluke. Flush with 266 thousand more paychecks in November, households are in good shape to spend f...
- Dec 06 2019
Ukraine: Taming of the shrew – IMF deal hangs on one man
We see risks of a significant reversal in Ukrainian assets in the coming months. Much depends on the IMF deal, which is highly dependent on the government ensuring the stability of the financial syste...
- Dec 06 2019
United States: Reintroducing steel tariffs will drive US prices higher
President Trump’s tweeted threat to reimpose 25% steel tariffs on Brazil and Argentina’s steel exports has so far had a muted response on US hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices. But Brazil is the second-lar...
Technology and the Future of Australian jobs: What will be the impact of AI on workers in every sector?
Australia is in the midst of a major economic, social and political transition, driven by global competition and technological transformation. Over the next 10 years, the pace of technological change... more
Global Cities: The outlook for the world’s leading urban economies amid the global slowdown
Cities are the new geography of business planning. In the annual flagship Global Cities report from our Cities and Regions team, we examine the impact of the ongoing global economic slowdown on leadin... more
The Impact of Online Content on Portuguese Tourism
The Portuguese tourism industry has benefitted from a greater embrace of online content, driving engagement with travellers and ultimately creating new jobs.
The Drivers of Housing Affordability
Our report reveals the key drivers of increasing house prices and rents and analyzes the role played by short-term rentals with regard to housing affordability.
In the media
The Hays Global #Skills Index 2019/20, produced with OE, analyses the challenges facing organisations in their labour market as they search for the most sought-after talent. Read the full report at: bit.ly/2LHNHHl
In #Asia, we expect growth to stabilise in 2020 though #China will slow further. 2019's synchronized downturn is likely to to give way to more diverse outcomes with economies that push harder on policy levers outperforming others. Our 2020 Asia outlook: bit.ly/38sAls4
Our 250 economists have updated our monthly forecasts - download a FREE SUMMARY: bit.ly/2E7hQvm. We see a further slowdown into 2020 and world growth of 2.5% this yr and next, the weakest since 2009. But despite heightened recession risks, we think this shd be avoided.
As highlighted by AFP, our new 'Global Cities' study shows the #globaleconomy slowdown biting on growth in #cities worldwide. Of the top 900 cities we find just under two-thirds will see slower growth in 2020-21 than in the past 5 years: yhoo.it/2LE4f2L @heatherscottafp
Customer trust is getting harder to earn (and keep). Find out how leading organizations are leveraging #data, #AI, #blockchain and other technologies to win the battle for trust. Our latest #CsuiteStudy with @IBMIBV: ibm.co/2P6o4lE
Latest developments confirm the #USeconomy isn’t about to fall off a cliff. Looking ahead to 2020, we see a good chance of a soft landing ahead. Our top calls for next year: bit.ly/2PwvbCL
More than a year after agreement on the #USMCA trade accord, the deal looks likely to pass the US Congress and be signed by the President. The importance is not modernising #NAFTA but in preventing breakdown of #trade between the US and key trade partners: bit.ly/349QCiv