Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- Dec 11 2019
Investors beware, equites outrun economic sentiment
Economic sentiment indicators that we build using business and consumer sentiment data point to a divergence between global stock market performances and underlying economic sentiment, which normally...
- Dec 10 2019
United States: Don’t call it Nafta
More than a year after Trump, Trudeau and Peña Nieto signed the USMCA at the G20 Summit in Buenos Aires, the deal looks likely to be passed by Congress and signed by the President. The intrinsic impor...
- Dec 10 2019
Global: Don’t expect a big lift from central bank policy easing
During the current global slowdown, the world’s central banks have delivered a broad-based policy easing that has been larger than during the previous two mini-downturns of the current cycle.
- Dec 10 2019
Africa: Why a demographic dividend is no sure thing
A common assumption is that changes in a country’s age structure that lead to lower dependency ratios—and thus a boost in disposable incomes (the so-called demographic dividend)—can be relied on to li...
- Dec 09 2019
Ukraine: Surprise IMF support on the eve of Normandy talks
Saturday’s surprise announcement of a preliminary IMF agreement to extend a $5.5bn loan to Ukraine was likely politically driven, coming on the eve of peace talks in Paris. The agreement is preliminar...
Technology and the Future of Australian jobs: What will be the impact of AI on workers in every sector?
Australia is in the midst of a major economic, social and political transition, driven by global competition and technological transformation. Over the next 10 years, the pace of technological change... more
Global Cities: The outlook for the world’s leading urban economies amid the global slowdown
Cities are the new geography of business planning. In the annual flagship Global Cities report from our Cities and Regions team, we examine the impact of the ongoing global economic slowdown on leadin... more
The Impact of Online Content on Portuguese Tourism
The Portuguese tourism industry has benefitted from a greater embrace of online content, driving engagement with travellers and ultimately creating new jobs.
The Drivers of Housing Affordability
Our report reveals the key drivers of increasing house prices and rents and analyzes the role played by short-term rentals with regard to housing affordability.
In the media
In #Asia, we expect growth to stabilise in 2020 though #China will slow further. 2019's synchronized downturn is likely to to give way to more diverse outcomes with economies that push harder on policy levers outperforming others. Our 2020 Asia outlook: bit.ly/38sAls4
Our 250 economists have updated our monthly forecasts - download a FREE SUMMARY: bit.ly/2E7hQvm. We see a further slowdown into 2020 and world growth of 2.5% this yr and next, the weakest since 2009. But despite heightened recession risks, we think this shd be avoided.
As highlighted by AFP, our new 'Global Cities' study shows the #globaleconomy slowdown biting on growth in #cities worldwide. Of the top 900 cities we find just under two-thirds will see slower growth in 2020-21 than in the past 5 years: yhoo.it/2LE4f2L @heatherscottafp
Customer trust is getting harder to earn (and keep). Find out how leading organizations are leveraging #data, #AI, #blockchain and other technologies to win the battle for trust. Our latest #CsuiteStudy with @IBMIBV: ibm.co/2P6o4lE
Latest developments confirm the #USeconomy isn’t about to fall off a cliff. Looking ahead to 2020, we see a good chance of a soft landing ahead. Our top calls for next year: bit.ly/2PwvbCL
More than a year after agreement on the #USMCA trade accord, the deal looks likely to pass the US Congress and be signed by the President. The importance is not modernising #NAFTA but in preventing breakdown of #trade between the US and key trade partners: bit.ly/349QCiv
Saturday’s prelim #IMF move to grant a $5.5bn loan to #Ukraine was likely political, on the eve of Paris peace talks. Banning return of nationalised bank assets to previous owners will likely mean full approval and a further rally in Ukraine’s USD bonds: bit.ly/2RKCKIG