The leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis

March / April 2020

The coronavirus pandemic will inflict a deep recession on the world economy, and many major national economies, during the first half of 2020. Over the full year, we now expect global growth to drop to zero, the second weakest in 50 years aside from 2009.

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CORONAVIRUS - LATEST UPDATES AND ANALYSIS: The economic cost of coronavirus lockdowns...

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Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.

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We now offer comprehensive forecasts and analysis for more than 3,500 sub-national economies in the US, spanning all 50 states, 382 metro areas and 3,142 counties.

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New Sovereign & FX risk tools

Following the recent release of our Sovereign Risk Tool, we have introduced a complementary tool measuring currency risk.

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One-stop solution for African insights. Comprehensive analysis of short & long-term economic prospects to inform investment strategies, expansion plans & operations.

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  • Our recent study in collaboration with @PhRMA examining challenges in cell and gene therapy manufacturing finds that important learning curve effects will improve efficiency: #celltherapy #genetherapy #PhRMA #lifescience

  • Find out how leading organizations are leveraging #data, #AI, #blockchain and other emerging technologies. 54% of surveyed business leaders say they expect high ROI from such emerging technologies – our latest #CsuiteStudy with @IBMIBV:

  • Watch Innes McFee, OE's head of macro research, discuss the economic impact of the #coronavirus #pandemic and our analysis of future developments in an on-demand webinar from our partners @Control_Risks available here now:

  • We worked with the IBM Institute for Business Value to survey 1,250 global executives. Representing 20 industries and over 26 countries on 6 continents. We set out to answer three questions with our research, addressed in this report #AIEthics

  • As the #oilprice plummets who is most exposed? Many #EM energy-producers are ill-prepared for lower #crude prices. Last year, 75% ran fiscal deficits and 67% current account deficits. Our scorecard looks at which economies are most and least vulnerable:

  • The #pandemic will badly hit #emergingmarket economies. Limitations in health care, fiscal buffers, economic structure make #EMs vulnerable. Our scorecard ranks EMs exposure: LatAm and Africa worst affected:
    Coronavirus latest:

  • With international #travel restrictions in 150 countries, our Tourism Economics team project that the #coronavirus #pandemic will result in a 39% fall in global inbound arrivals this year, with all regions hit by a big drop in travel and #tourism.