Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- Nov 22 2019
Canada: Extra fiscal stimulus and trade optimism ease recession odds
We have lowered the odds of a Canada recession over the next twelve months by a modest 5ppt to a still high 40% probability. This reflects expected new fiscal stimulus from the re-elected federal Libe...
- Nov 22 2019
United States: FOMC minutes: Fed retains a dovish bias
The minutes from the October 29 – 30 FOMC meeting underscore that after cutting rates a cumulative of 75bps in 2019, the Fed has shifted to a wait-and-see policy stance. Fed officials believe policy i...
- Nov 21 2019
Eurozone: ECB retains easing bias despite “wait-and-see” posture
The minutes of the ECB meeting in October confirm that the council judged the September easing package a success as highly favourable financial conditions were preserved. Moreover, thanks to signs of...
- Nov 21 2019
MENA Weekly: Saudi Arabia kicks off Aramco IPO, Iran protests
Saudi Aramco’s highly anticipated initial public offering (IPO) kicked off earlier this week and will last until 4 December, according to the company prospectus. The government expects to raise around...
- Nov 21 2019
Eurozone: How subdued services prices are keeping inflation low
Tackling the eurozone’s persistently low inflation is high on new ECB President Christine Lagarde’s agenda. Muted price pressures in the services sector have been one factor holding down core inflatio...
Technology and the Future of Australian jobs: What will be the impact of AI on workers in every sector?
Australia is in the midst of a major economic, social and political transition, driven by global competition and technological transformation. Over the next 10 years, the pace of technological change... more
Global Cities: The outlook for the world’s leading urban economies amid the global slowdown
Cities are the new geography of business planning. In the annual flagship Global Cities report from our Cities and Regions team, we examine the impact of the ongoing global economic slowdown on leadin... more
The Impact of Online Content on Portuguese Tourism
The Portuguese tourism industry has benefitted from a greater embrace of online content, driving engagement with travellers and ultimately creating new jobs.
The Drivers of Housing Affordability
Our report reveals the key drivers of increasing house prices and rents and analyzes the role played by short-term rentals with regard to housing affordability.
In the media
The Hays Global #Skills Index 2019/20, produced with OE, analyses the challenges facing organisations in their labour market as they search for the most sought-after talent. Read the full report at: bit.ly/2LHNHHl
In #Asia, we expect growth to stabilise in 2020 though #China will slow further. 2019's synchronized downturn is likely to to give way to more diverse outcomes with economies that push harder on policy levers outperforming others. Our 2020 Asia outlook: bit.ly/38sAls4
Our 250 economists have updated our monthly forecasts - download a FREE SUMMARY: bit.ly/2E7hQvm. We see a further slowdown into 2020 and world growth of 2.5% this yr and next, the weakest since 2009. But despite heightened recession risks, we think this shd be avoided.
As highlighted by AFP, our new 'Global Cities' study shows the #globaleconomy slowdown biting on growth in #cities worldwide. Of the top 900 cities we find just under two-thirds will see slower growth in 2020-21 than in the past 5 years: yhoo.it/2LE4f2L @heatherscottafp
Customer trust is getting harder to earn (and keep). Find out how leading organizations are leveraging #data, #AI, #blockchain and other technologies to win the battle for trust. Our latest #CsuiteStudy with @IBMIBV: ibm.co/2P6o4lE
Latest developments confirm the #USeconomy isn’t about to fall off a cliff. Looking ahead to 2020, we see a good chance of a soft landing ahead. Our top calls for next year: bit.ly/2PwvbCL
More than a year after agreement on the #USMCA trade accord, the deal looks likely to pass the US Congress and be signed by the President. The importance is not modernising #NAFTA but in preventing breakdown of #trade between the US and key trade partners: bit.ly/349QCiv