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- Aug 29 2018
Canada: Canada has leverage in NAFTA renegotiation
Canada can leverage its unique position in the trade talks to its advantage. Procedural, timing, economic and political circumstances mean that Canada can secure a new trade agreement without bowing d...
- Aug 29 2018
United States: Gauging digital technologies’ benefits to the economy
The digital economy is a key and growing driver of US growth, employment, wages and productivity, and it acts as an important restraint on inflation. As it continues to grow faster than the rest of th...
- Aug 28 2018
The world trade boom looks to be over
A variety of indicators suggest the world trade boom is over and point to downside risks for our trade forecasts. We present two new synthetic indicators that suggest world trade growth is currently r...
- Aug 28 2018
China: Policy adjustment confirms efforts to support the RMB
The re-introduction of the "counter-cyclical factor" in the setting of the fixing rate for the CNY confirms that, as we had argued they would, China's policymakers have taken significant mea...
- Aug 28 2018
Iran, Islamic Rep.: November sanctions will tip Iran back into recession
The next round of US sanctions that will start in November – targeting Iran’s oil industry and crude exports which form the backbone of the economy and the primary source of revenue and foreign curren...
The Fiscal Impact of Immigration on the UK
European migrants living in the UK contribute £2,300 more to public purse each year than the average adult, suggesting a net contribution of £78,000 to the exchequer over their lifespan in the UK.
Data and Digital Platforms | Driving Tourism Growth in Asia Pacific
Destinations and policymakers should embrace digital platforms and data-driven innovation, to drive tourism performance.
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In the media
RT @NKCAfrica: #SouthAfrica Headline CPI surprised to the downside with lower food prices and no sign of secondary price effects the main f…
RT @NKCAfrica: #Kenya review period expires without agreement on new IMF programme. Parliament’s decision to retain caps on interest rates…
The @guardian highlights our analysis of the fortunes of #G20 economies after #Lehman. While some Asia economies were unscathed, it took the US 3 yrs for GDP to return to pre-Lehman levels, the UK 5 years - and Italy has yet to return to the prior peak: bit.ly/2OAnyJP
In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2xx7Mbq
In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2QJktJ9
Extreme house price valuations are concentrated in a group of relatively small economies, though valuations also look high - albeit below 2007 levels - in the UK and France: bit.ly/2NTieUP
In full US-China #tradewar, OE modelling shows US and Chinese exports fall ~30% but three-quarters of China's $100bn export drop offset by rising exports to rest of world while RoW #exports to US rise $50bn with gains for Asian exporters: bit.ly/2QItK3S