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Italy: A (populist) government...but for how long?
Italy’s populist government will be sworn in today, averting snap elections in the summer that would have been a de facto referendum on the euro. The best that can be said for now is that country will...
Spain: Sanchez victory promises political paralysis
Socialist Pedro Sánchez will replace Mariano Rajoy as prime minister after a successful no-confidence vote. The Socialists’ minority position in congress means it will be extremely difficult to pass a...
Major liquidity drain may fuel bond market vulnerabilities
It is plausible that cross-border bond purchases will average $0.5 trn in 2018 and 2019, a dramatic fall from $1.2 trn in 2017, driven mainly by reductions in European and US purchases. This will exac...
United States: Trump scraps the metal tariff exemptions, what’s next?
The Trump administration will allow the temporary steel and aluminum tariff exemptions for the European Union, Mexico and Canada to expire at midnight. We don’t believe the economic fallout will be si...
Mexico: Trade tensions ahead of election may cloud Nafta talks
The US decision to impose tariffs on metals imports from Mexico and the latter's move to apply retaliatory measures on goods from its northern neighbor reveal how far apart the countries remain on ke...
Maximizing Mobile Value: Is BYOD holding you back?
Mobile work is a strategic priority for many companies, but the fundamental decisions that enable it are too often based on short-term thinking and ad hoc policies.
To better understand the value o... more
Chatbots are here to stay
Companies must become intelligent enterprises to thrive and grow in the coming years. Conversational bots powered by AI will play an important role in that transition.
The economic impact of lending through Funding Circle
One lasting effect of the global financial crisis has been the emergence and expansion of non-bank sources of finance for small businesses. With banks restricting their lending to SMEs during the ensu... more
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In the media
RT @GregDaco: As @OxfordEconomics had anticipated, Trump upped the ante by threatening to impose 10% #tariffs on $200bn of imports from Chi…
RT @GregDaco: Impact on US economy could be worse since #tariffs on $250bn would directly impact consumer goods, affect US multinationals i…
RT @GregDaco: An examination of bilateral #tariffs (via @WTO) between the US and its trading partners does not reflect severely unequal tre…
EC gave the go-ahead for #EU #tariffs on €2.8bn of US imports in retaliation for US tariffs on metal imports from the EU. ~1% of all EU goods imports from the US will be hit - but that makes up only 0.02% of EU GDP so the economic impact is close to nil: bit.ly/2yyCiFs
RT @BenMayEconomist: Italian government bonds (2017) v sub prime (2008) https://t.co/BIPaPjlVRI
RT @OliverRakau: Today EU Comm. gave expected green light to retaliatory tariffs on US imports. But they are unlikely to discourage the US…
RT @GregDaco: Perhaps the most obvious point to make is that in a low tariff world there is more to lose from rising trade tensions than to…