Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
Our economists and thought leadership specialists are expert at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.
Eurozone: #Euroboom and why the doom loop has not gone away
The eurozone is booming but its financial market architecture is still not robust enough to avert the revival of ‘doom loops’ in a downturn - the toxic link between banks and government debt that almo...
United States: Business inventories up 0.6% to start 2018
Business inventories posted a 0.6% gain in January. The inventories-to-sales ticked up from its three-year low to 1.34 as sales declined 0.2% in the month.
United States: No alarms bells ringing for consumer credit...yet
With total outstanding household debt having reached a record high of $13.1 trillion in 2017, surpassing the decade-old record of $12.7 trillion in 2008, some observers have been ringing alarm bells. ...
Argentina: GDP forecast for 2018 slashed to 2.7% (from 3.6%) on the back of weaker exports and manufacturing as well as higher inflation and a more volatile exchange rate
There have been important changes to the forecast in recent months. Argentina’s apparently strong recovery in H1 2017 lost momentum during H2, with a clear deterioration in the composition of growth. ...
United States: Quick Take: January Business Inventories Up 0.6%
Business inventories were up 0.6% in January, in line with consensus expectations. This follows a 0.5% gain in December.
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The AI Paradox: How robots are making work more human
Over the next decade, a great wave of technological change will wash through the economy, transforming the nature of work and the shape of the labour market. We collaborated with Cisco to study the im... more
Forecasts and analysis for 12 key markets, providing insight into the building and construction industry throughout Asia.
A rigorous and transparent framework to measure the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or a sovereign distress.
A comprehensive view of national and city economies across Africa
An unbiased and transparent view of the forward-looking distribution for the economy essential to meeting regulatory requirements.
In the media
Our 200 economists have updated our monthly forecasts. Our analysis suggests that the global economy remains set for its best 2-yr run of growth since 2010-11, despite the equity market upset and US protectionist moves. Download our free executive summary: https://t.co/H7praKWgoe https://t.co/ygDkuUIKlw
The rising power of #consumers in #China is set to reverberate through the domestic and world economies, and global #retailing. China's consumer market will be bigger than America's by 2034, we find. Find out more about the #megatrend in our latest blog: https://t.co/VEKxr5BBhC
Looking at different economies’ exposure to fixed- and floating-rate private sector #debt reveals vulnerabilities to rising interest rates. #Hong Kong, #Sweden, #China and #Australia potentially most exposed via floating rates to rising debt service costs: https://t.co/EXWHxRNvul https://t.co/YQ4YgBJ0pH
We think the US budget deficit will rise to ~4.5% of GDP by end-2020, leading the US current account deficit to swell further, too. In the past, such twin deficits contributed to global financial instability. But we see little risk in the current context: https://t.co/m1Yc1MQmYt https://t.co/P0dnKc2OUN
The #InternetofThings - #IoT - demands a new look at security. Firms need strategies to mitigate cyber-risks. OE worked with the IBM Institute for Business Value Benchmarking Program to look at the many issues and how they may be tackled: https://t.co/GTilU8Y2KT