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- Sep 06 2018
United Kingdom: Tighter labour market is doing little to boost pay growth
A wide range of indicators suggest that the labour market has become tighter in recent years, but the existence of some degree of ‘underemployment’ and structural factors have meant that the pickup in...
- Sep 05 2018
Sweden: Election uncertainty will not shake the strong economy
The outcome of the upcoming election in Sweden remains in the balance as the surge of the populist Sweden Democrats look set to reduce the share of the vote of the mainstream parties. However, a minor...
- Sep 05 2018
Global housing – prices still rising but risks lurking
Global house price growth is slowing but remains relatively solid and therefore supportive of the global upturn. There are rising risks, however: prices are stagnating or falling in some highly va...
- Sep 04 2018
United States: Policy Brief: All government shutdowns aren’t created equal
Over the summer, President Trump has more than once threatened a government shutdown if Congress doesn’t appropriate enough funds for construction of a Mexican border wall. We think the odds of at ...
- Sep 04 2018
Japan: Abe and BoJ’s policy will stay until at least 2020
We expect Prime Minister Abe to win the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership contest in mid-September. The only other contender, former LDP Secretary-General Ishiba, criticizes Abe’s reflation po...
The Fiscal Impact of Immigration on the UK
European migrants living in the UK contribute £2,300 more to public purse each year than the average adult, suggesting a net contribution of £78,000 to the exchequer over their lifespan in the UK.
Data and Digital Platforms | Driving Tourism Growth in Asia Pacific
Destinations and policymakers should embrace digital platforms and data-driven innovation, to drive tourism performance.
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In the media
RT @NKCAfrica: #SouthAfrica Headline CPI surprised to the downside with lower food prices and no sign of secondary price effects the main f…
RT @NKCAfrica: #Kenya review period expires without agreement on new IMF programme. Parliament’s decision to retain caps on interest rates…
The @guardian highlights our analysis of the fortunes of #G20 economies after #Lehman. While some Asia economies were unscathed, it took the US 3 yrs for GDP to return to pre-Lehman levels, the UK 5 years - and Italy has yet to return to the prior peak: bit.ly/2OAnyJP
In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2xx7Mbq
Extreme house price valuations are concentrated in a group of relatively small economies, though valuations also look high - albeit below 2007 levels - in the UK and France: bit.ly/2NTieUP
In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2QJktJ9
In full US-China #tradewar, OE modelling shows US and Chinese exports fall ~30% but three-quarters of China's $100bn export drop offset by rising exports to rest of world while RoW #exports to US rise $50bn with gains for Asian exporters: bit.ly/2QItK3S