Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
Our economists and thought leadership specialists are expert at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.
Eurozone: Watch out – QE exit upcoming
The ECB has clearly signalled that the end of its QE programme is nearing as inflation and wages show increasing signs of normalizing. The details of the exit are more likely to be announced in July t...
Oil one of a trio of EM downside risks
We assess the exposure of major EMs to a trio of downside risks to growth; exposure to oil price rises, slowing world trade growth and external liquidity pressures. Most EM should not be hit too hard...
United States: Macro Musings
A calmer backdrop on the trade front comforted the financial markets this week, although the threat of a trade war continues to lurk in the background.
United States: FOMC preview: On target for four rate hikes
We expect the FOMC to take another gradual step towards normalizing monetary policy with a 25-basis point hike in the fed funds rate target range to 1.75% - 2.0% at the June 12 - 13 meeting. Market p...
United Kingdom: UK-wide ‘backstop’ points to an ever-softer Brexit
The UK Government has confirmed that, in the absence of a final customs deal following the end of the Brexit transition phase in December 2020, it wishes the UK as a whole to form a temporary ‘customs...
Maximizing Mobile Value: Is BYOD holding you back?
Mobile work is a strategic priority for many companies, but the fundamental decisions that enable it are too often based on short-term thinking and ad hoc policies.
To better understand the value o... more
Chatbots are here to stay
Companies must become intelligent enterprises to thrive and grow in the coming years. Conversational bots powered by AI will play an important role in that transition.
The economic impact of lending through Funding Circle
One lasting effect of the global financial crisis has been the emergence and expansion of non-bank sources of finance for small businesses. With banks restricting their lending to SMEs during the ensu... more
Available for iOS and Android, our mobile app makes it simple to access our analysis from your handheld device.
A rigorous and transparent framework to measure the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or a sovereign distress.
A comprehensive view of national and city economies across Africa
An unbiased and transparent view of the forward-looking distribution for the economy essential to meeting regulatory requirements.
In the media
In @FTAlphaville, OE's Guillermo Tolosa explains our in-depth analysis of global capital flows and risks for bond markets from a prospective liquidity squeeze, triggered by the end of #ECB #QE: bit.ly/2I2cFfP
Political developments in #Italy may mean a bumpy ride for bond markets in months ahead. But market discipline is likely to ensure fears about major fiscal loosening that stoked default concerns don’t materialise. And Italy still has some fiscal headroom: bit.ly/2JXOFjd
Pres Trump upped the ante in the US-China #trade conflict, bringing a full-blown #tradewar closer. If new #tariffs by both sides go ahead it will hv significant econ impact on China, the US and rest of the world at a sensitive time for the #globaleconomy: bit.ly/2JZTipB
RT @GregDaco: Here come the #ChinaTariffs! @OxfordEconomics estimates that 25% tariffs on $50bn imports + retaliation will reduce #GDP by 0…
We rank the #EmergingMarket winners and losers from rising #oil, slowing #trade, and #liquidity pressures #emergingmarkets. #EMs most at risk include #Turkey, #Argentina, #Ukraine and some in Asia: bit.ly/2M19h7u
Our 200 economists have updated our monthly forecasts. Trade tensions and dearer oil may worsen an ongoing global slowdown. But we don't expect sharp momentum loss and maintain our world growth forecasts at 3.1% this yr, 2.9% next. FREE exec summary here: bit.ly/2JVRz85
#Openplanoffices threaten employee wellness and #productivity while failing to deliver on #collaboration, growth and other critical business goals, our new study with Plantronics finds. It shows key benefits are going unrealised. Find out more: bit.ly/2K28iGL