The leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis

LATEST GLOBAL OUTLOOK
September/October 2018

  • Protectionism, tightening global liquidity and emerging market concerns remain key threats to the global economic expansion.
  • But while these factors may trigger slower growth in 2019 and beyond, there is little compelling evidence of significant loss of growth momentum.
  • We continue to expect global GDP growth to ease gently, from 3.1% this year to 2.8% in 2019, with weaker real income growth, household spending and investment in advanced economies.
Download free summary
Forecasts and models

Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.

Learn more

Consulting

Our economists and thought leadership specialists are expert at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.

Learn more

Latest Analysis

Our new Mobile Apps

Available for iOS and Android, our mobile app makes it simple to access our analysis from your handheld device.

Learn more

new service: Sovereign risk tool

A rigorous and transparent framework to measure the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or a sovereign distress.

Learn more

African Forecasting Service

A comprehensive view of national and city economies across Africa

Learn more

IFRS9/CECL Macroeconomic Scenarios

An unbiased and transparent view of the forward-looking distribution for the economy essential to meeting regulatory requirements.

Learn more

See all tweets

Latest tweets

  • RT @NKCAfrica: #SouthAfrica Headline CPI surprised to the downside with lower food prices and no sign of secondary price effects the main f…

  • RT @NKCAfrica: #Kenya review period expires without agreement on new IMF programme. Parliament’s decision to retain caps on interest rates…

  • The @guardian highlights our analysis of the fortunes of #G20 economies after #Lehman. While some Asia economies were unscathed, it took the US 3 yrs for GDP to return to pre-Lehman levels, the UK 5 years - and Italy has yet to return to the prior peak: bit.ly/2OAnyJP

  • In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2xx7Mbq

  • Extreme house price valuations are concentrated in a group of relatively small economies, though valuations also look high - albeit below 2007 levels - in the UK and France: bit.ly/2NTieUP

  • In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2QJktJ9

  • In full US-China #tradewar, OE modelling shows US and Chinese exports fall ~30% but three-quarters of China's $100bn export drop offset by rising exports to rest of world while RoW #exports to US rise $50bn with gains for Asian exporters: bit.ly/2QItK3S