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Colombia: Duque’s riskiest ambitions to be kept in check
Iván Duque comfortably defeated left-wing firebrand Gustavo Petro to win the Colombian presidency in 17 June’s second-round vote, as we expected. Duque inherits an economy surfing on a cyclical upswin...
Europe: Latent private bond demand to soften end of ECB QE
The impact of ECB tapering and balance sheet unwind will be softened by strong demand from European private investors, who will themselves unwind severe portfolio dislocations. These investors may reb...
United Kingdom: Wait and see
Recent economic data and survey evidence has offered a mixed picture as to whether the economy has shaken off its Q1 funk. With little cost to waiting for further evidence on the issue, a majority of ...
United States: Here come the China tariffs
In a widely anticipated move, the US administration announced the implementation of 25% tariffs on $50 billion of imports from China. The tariffs will be split into two tranches with the first tranche...
United States: Macro Musings
The Federal Reserve took center stage this week, implementing a widely expected quarter point rate hike, which elicited little reaction in the financial markets. It also ramped up the number of rate h...
Maximizing Mobile Value: Is BYOD holding you back?
Mobile work is a strategic priority for many companies, but the fundamental decisions that enable it are too often based on short-term thinking and ad hoc policies.
To better understand the value o... more
Chatbots are here to stay
Companies must become intelligent enterprises to thrive and grow in the coming years. Conversational bots powered by AI will play an important role in that transition.
The economic impact of lending through Funding Circle
One lasting effect of the global financial crisis has been the emergence and expansion of non-bank sources of finance for small businesses. With banks restricting their lending to SMEs during the ensu... more
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In the media
RT @GregDaco: As @OxfordEconomics had anticipated, Trump upped the ante by threatening to impose 10% #tariffs on $200bn of imports from Chi…
RT @GregDaco: Impact on US economy could be worse since #tariffs on $250bn would directly impact consumer goods, affect US multinationals i…
RT @GregDaco: An examination of bilateral #tariffs (via @WTO) between the US and its trading partners does not reflect severely unequal tre…
EC gave the go-ahead for #EU #tariffs on €2.8bn of US imports in retaliation for US tariffs on metal imports from the EU. ~1% of all EU goods imports from the US will be hit - but that makes up only 0.02% of EU GDP so the economic impact is close to nil: bit.ly/2yyCiFs
RT @BenMayEconomist: Italian government bonds (2017) v sub prime (2008) https://t.co/BIPaPjlVRI
RT @OliverRakau: Today EU Comm. gave expected green light to retaliatory tariffs on US imports. But they are unlikely to discourage the US…
RT @GregDaco: Perhaps the most obvious point to make is that in a low tariff world there is more to lose from rising trade tensions than to…