Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
Our economists and thought leadership specialists are expert at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.
- Sep 14 2018
History lessons show recession warning lights on amber
Global recessions are unusual events and the current global expansion has not been excessively long. But some features of past expansions in their later stages, such as a period of low macro volatilit...
- Sep 14 2018
Mapping the global economy’s Bermuda Triangle
We respond to growing client concerns that the global economy is navigating towards recession. Our baseline view of no significant loss of momentum could indeed succumb to a Bermuda triangle cornered ...
- Sep 14 2018
China: Growth held up, but headwinds linger
Overall growth in industry edged up in August, underpinned by somewhat stronger investment and consumption. However, credit growth has yet to respond to the monetary policy easing started in Q2, under...
- Sep 13 2018
Eurozone: ECB takes next step to normality amid rising external risks
This month’s ECB meeting resulted in the decision to cut its bond purchases in half from next month, in line with the central bank’s forward guidance,and it continues to anticipate a QE exit in 2018.I...
- Sep 13 2018
United Kingdom: The MPC reverts to a holding pattern
After last month’s rate hike, the September MPC meeting was low key with unanimous votes to maintain the current policy and the existing guidance over the future path of interest rates repeated. Thoug...
The Fiscal Impact of Immigration on the UK
European migrants living in the UK contribute £2,300 more to public purse each year than the average adult, suggesting a net contribution of £78,000 to the exchequer over their lifespan in the UK.
Data and Digital Platforms | Driving Tourism Growth in Asia Pacific
Destinations and policymakers should embrace digital platforms and data-driven innovation, to drive tourism performance.
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In the media
RT @NKCAfrica: #SouthAfrica Headline CPI surprised to the downside with lower food prices and no sign of secondary price effects the main f…
RT @NKCAfrica: #Kenya review period expires without agreement on new IMF programme. Parliament’s decision to retain caps on interest rates…
The @guardian highlights our analysis of the fortunes of #G20 economies after #Lehman. While some Asia economies were unscathed, it took the US 3 yrs for GDP to return to pre-Lehman levels, the UK 5 years - and Italy has yet to return to the prior peak: bit.ly/2OAnyJP
In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2xx7Mbq
Extreme house price valuations are concentrated in a group of relatively small economies, though valuations also look high - albeit below 2007 levels - in the UK and France: bit.ly/2NTieUP
In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2QJktJ9
In full US-China #tradewar, OE modelling shows US and Chinese exports fall ~30% but three-quarters of China's $100bn export drop offset by rising exports to rest of world while RoW #exports to US rise $50bn with gains for Asian exporters: bit.ly/2QItK3S