Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
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- Jan 16 2019
United States: The shutdown: a triple threat to the US economy
Now in its fourth week, the government shutdown represents a triple threat to US economy: the direct loss of output from government workers and affiliated parties; increasing system inefficiencies...
- Jan 16 2019
Squeezed profits keeping a lid on eurozone inflation
Core inflation in the eurozone failed to accelerate in 2018 despite wage growth finally starting to rise as increased labour costs have been absorbed by firms’ profit margins, preventing any increase...
- Jan 16 2019
United Kingdom: Parliament rejects Brexit deal – what happens next?
Parliament voted to reject the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement by a massive margin, with 118 Conservative MPs dissenting and the DUP withholding its support. Labour took up the Prime Minister’s challenge...
- Jan 15 2019
Asia Pacific: China to remain top market and source for APAC
Asia-Pacific (APAC) economies export more to China than the rest of the world does, especially those with more developed industrial sectors such as Japan and South Korea. While this has largely been a...
- Jan 14 2019
Latin America: Snakes and ladders for credit ratings in Brazil and Chile
Our in-house indicator of sovereign risk puts two of Latin America’s major economies in the spotlight. Brazil looks like a candidate for at least one positive rating action this year if the government...
The impact of the aluminium sector on the UAE economy
Production of aluminium and of semi-finished aluminium products supports just over 60,000 jobs in the UAE, once supply chain linkages and employee spending impacts are taken into account. This is asso... more
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In the media
#BankofJapan #BoJ left policy unchanged while board members again revised down inflation forecasts. Amid rising concern about global economic momentum and with a consumption tax hike in Oct'r, BoJ has no choice but to hold policy at least 'til Q2 2020: bit.ly/2sFwq7T
RT @GregDaco: Tomorrow will be Day 33 of #GovernmentShutdown — longest ever! NABE @business_econ is hosting a great webinar to highlight e…
In #Canada, key factors that drove gains in house prices and household debt are unwinding. Interest rates are rising, tighter policy is constraining mortgage credit, and growth is slowing. Overstretched households remain a genuine risk: bit.ly/2FFIbDN
RT @Accenture: With so much available data on the workforce, it’s important to remember who’s at the center of it—people. We’re sharing mor…
RT @jortpossel: .@Accenture is at #WEF19. Join us as we talk #ResponsibleAI, #FutureWorkforce and #InternetOfTrust. New blog post: https://…
In #China, weaker external and internal demand saw growth slow in Q4 to 6.4% y/y, from Q3's 6.5% and weakest since 1990. 2018 growth was 6.6%, after revised 6.8% in 2017. But pro-growth policy is gaining momentum. We see activity finding a floor arnd Q2: bit.ly/2MknxcV
Our 250 economists have updated our monthly forecasts - download a FREE EXEC SUMMARY: bit.ly/2DnL89G. Market upsets suggest anxieties over a global slowdown but we see this as over-reaction to soft data. Our 2019 f/cast is little changed at 2.7%, from 3% in 2018.