Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
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Asia Pacific: Asian FX likely to remain resilient amid EM rout
Many emerging market (EM) currencies have weakened against the US dollar recently, however, the Asian ones have generally remained robust and weakened only modestly. The Indonesian rupiah and Indian ...
United Kingdom: Spending power recovering but tougher times lie ahead
Our Spending Power Index suggests that consumers are beginning to enjoy the fruits of lower inflation and slightly firmer wage growth. We calculate that the average consumer has seen their resources r...
Eurozone: Hidden slack tempers lift-off in wages
We find little evidence to support the notion that the labour market recovery has been ‘low quality’. It has been driven by full-time employment and concentrated in high-paying occupations. Yet wage g...
Mexico: AMLO’s (mostly) pragmatic economic proposals
Mexico’s longstanding trend of having moderate, market-friendly governments is expected to end after the 1 July election. A win by left-wing presidential candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) r...
United States: Inflation outlook: inflated, but not inflamed
While inflation gauges show signs of warming, we do not see evidence of inflation spiralling out of control. What may appear to be unusually elevated inflation in recent months is fairly tame from a h...
Maximizing Mobile Value: Is BYOD holding you back?
Mobile work is a strategic priority for many companies, but the fundamental decisions that enable it are too often based on short-term thinking and ad hoc policies.
To better understand the value o... more
Chatbots are here to stay
Companies must become intelligent enterprises to thrive and grow in the coming years. Conversational bots powered by AI will play an important role in that transition.
The economic impact of lending through Funding Circle
One lasting effect of the global financial crisis has been the emergence and expansion of non-bank sources of finance for small businesses. With banks restricting their lending to SMEs during the ensu... more
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In the media
In @FTAlphaville, OE's Guillermo Tolosa explains our in-depth analysis of global capital flows and risks for bond markets from a prospective liquidity squeeze, triggered by the end of #ECB #QE: bit.ly/2I2cFfP
Political developments in #Italy may mean a bumpy ride for bond markets in months ahead. But market discipline is likely to ensure fears about major fiscal loosening that stoked default concerns don’t materialise. And Italy still has some fiscal headroom: bit.ly/2JXOFjd
Pres Trump upped the ante in the US-China #trade conflict, bringing a full-blown #tradewar closer. If new #tariffs by both sides go ahead it will hv significant econ impact on China, the US and rest of the world at a sensitive time for the #globaleconomy: bit.ly/2JZTipB
RT @GregDaco: Here come the #ChinaTariffs! @OxfordEconomics estimates that 25% tariffs on $50bn imports + retaliation will reduce #GDP by 0…
We rank the #EmergingMarket winners and losers from rising #oil, slowing #trade, and #liquidity pressures #emergingmarkets. #EMs most at risk include #Turkey, #Argentina, #Ukraine and some in Asia: bit.ly/2M19h7u
Our 200 economists have updated our monthly forecasts. Trade tensions and dearer oil may worsen an ongoing global slowdown. But we don't expect sharp momentum loss and maintain our world growth forecasts at 3.1% this yr, 2.9% next. FREE exec summary here: bit.ly/2JVRz85
#Openplanoffices threaten employee wellness and #productivity while failing to deliver on #collaboration, growth and other critical business goals, our new study with Plantronics finds. It shows key benefits are going unrealised. Find out more: bit.ly/2K28iGL