Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
Our economists and thought leadership specialists are expert at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.
- Jan 23 2019
Japan: BoJ on hold while revising down inflation forecast again
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) today announced that it will leave monetary policy unchanged while board members have again revised down their inflation forecasts. Amid rising concern about the pace of global...
- Jan 23 2019
Concerns about China’s consumers are largely overdone
A rash of headline stories on Chinese consumers downgrading their consumption by cutting discretionary spending (cars in particular) and turning to cheaper substitutes has led to concerns about China’...
- Jan 22 2019
United States: Fed to achieve balance sheet normalization in mid-2020
We forecast that the Fed’s balance sheet normalization will continue to proceed gradually until June 2020. The System Open Market Account (SOMA) balance should decline to $3.2trn, down from $4.26trn a...
- Jan 21 2019
Remember 2001? Global debt risks for 2019
In the context of rising policy rates and slowing growth, we identify a number of areas of credit risk globally, considering factors such as concentrations of highly-indebted borrowers, declining over...
- Jan 21 2019
Eurozone: Taking a stand on risks
The ECB council’s view on the balance of risk to the growth outlook will be the focus at its first meeting of the year. At the margin, we see the ECB finally giving in and acknowledging that risks to...
The impact of the aluminium sector on the UAE economy
Production of aluminium and of semi-finished aluminium products supports just over 60,000 jobs in the UAE, once supply chain linkages and employee spending impacts are taken into account. This is asso... more
We now offer comprehensive forecasts and analysis for more than 3,500 sub-national economies in the US, spanning all 50 states, 382 metro areas and 3,142 counties.
A rigorous and transparent framework to measure the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or a sovereign distress.
Comprehensive analysis of national and urban economics in Africa.
We run an extensive, worldwide programme of illuminating forums and roundtables with presentations from our economic experts.
In the media
#BankofJapan #BoJ left policy unchanged while board members again revised down inflation forecasts. Amid rising concern about global economic momentum and with a consumption tax hike in Oct'r, BoJ has no choice but to hold policy at least 'til Q2 2020: bit.ly/2sFwq7T
RT @GregDaco: Tomorrow will be Day 33 of #GovernmentShutdown — longest ever! NABE @business_econ is hosting a great webinar to highlight e…
In #Canada, key factors that drove gains in house prices and household debt are unwinding. Interest rates are rising, tighter policy is constraining mortgage credit, and growth is slowing. Overstretched households remain a genuine risk: bit.ly/2FFIbDN
RT @Accenture: With so much available data on the workforce, it’s important to remember who’s at the center of it—people. We’re sharing mor…
RT @jortpossel: .@Accenture is at #WEF19. Join us as we talk #ResponsibleAI, #FutureWorkforce and #InternetOfTrust. New blog post: https://…
In #China, weaker external and internal demand saw growth slow in Q4 to 6.4% y/y, from Q3's 6.5% and weakest since 1990. 2018 growth was 6.6%, after revised 6.8% in 2017. But pro-growth policy is gaining momentum. We see activity finding a floor arnd Q2: bit.ly/2MknxcV
Our 250 economists have updated our monthly forecasts - download a FREE EXEC SUMMARY: bit.ly/2DnL89G. Market upsets suggest anxieties over a global slowdown but we see this as over-reaction to soft data. Our 2019 f/cast is little changed at 2.7%, from 3% in 2018.