http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/OE_Main.asp Oxford Economics Latest News and Reports en-us http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/oerss.jpg http://www.oxfordeconomics.com 334 131 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/bahrain/dailybriefings/bahrdb090310.pdf Small increase in oil output and problems in finance and construction mean slower 2010 growth than in most GCC countries http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/curacao/dailybriefings/nantdb090310.pdf Weaker tourism and financial services cut GDP growth to under 1% in 2009, with only modest pick-up seen this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/norway/dailybriefings/norwdb090310.pdf Private consumption to grow strongly this year, but GDP growth seen at just 1.4% as investment falls again and net exports stay weak http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/poland/dailybriefings/poladb090310.pdf Solid rise in Q4 GDP despite weaker consumer demand and 2.6% growth still seen in 2010, with rates on hold for now http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/guyana/dailybriefings/guyadb080310.pdf GDP growth put at 2.3% in 2009 despite H1 decline, with stronger gold and rice output helping to lift 2010 expansion to about 4% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/israel/dailybriefings/isradb080310.pdf Latest data point to continued recovery after quarterly GDP growth of 1.1% in Q4, with falling unemployment lifting consumer demand http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/romania/dailybriefings/romadb080310.pdf Further gains in exports and consumer demand in Q4 but GDP still fell 1.5% to give full-year 2009 drop of almost 7% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek080310.pdf -36,000, +308,000 -- why don't the employment surveys agree? http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_080310.pdf Uncertainty about China rises but regional recovery to persist. Struggling CEE remains the weakest area http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/czechrepublic/dailybriefings/czecdb050310.pdf Renewed drop in Q4 GDP takes full-year 2009 decline to 4.3%, with exports weak and investment decline continuing http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/qatar/dailybriefings/qatadb050310.pdf Current account surplus to rise to 8.5% of GDP on sharply higher oil and gas revenues, which in turn will drive 17% GDP growth http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/southkorea/dailybriefings/skordb050310.pdf High business confidence and strong exports to China point to 4.5-5% GDP growth this year, but subdued labour market is a headwind for consumers http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek050310.pdf A rapid rebound in manufacturing http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/cambodia/dailybriefings/cambdb040310.pdf Official claims of 2% growth in 2009 at odds with other estimates, but quick rebound in prospect on textile exports and regional tourism http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/kuwait/dailybriefings/kuwad040310.pdf Higher oil revenues, fiscal stimulus and more settled politics enable reforms and project spending to resume, driving 2010 GDP growth of 4.4% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/kazakhstan/dailybriefings/kazadb030310.pdf Surge in Q4 GDP delivered 2009 growth of 1.2%, with pick-up to 4.8% seen this year on higher oil and metals output and prices http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/pakistan/dailybriefings/pakidb030310.pdf Finance minister’s resignation adds to concerns about policy reforms as economy shows few signs of picking up from 2% growth last year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/thailand/dailybriefings/thaidb030310.pdf Strong 5.8% year-on-year GDP growth in Q4 sets scene for 2010 growth of 5.5% if political stability is sustained http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/aruba/dailybriefings/arubdb020310.pdf Lower tourist arrivals and oil refinery closure cut GDP by about 7% in 2009, and further small 1% decline forecast this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/colombia/dailybriefings/colodb020310.pdf Uribe barred from standing again in May presidential election; GDP growth picked up at end 2009 and now seen at 2.8% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/oman/dailybriefings/omandb020310.pdf Strong exports and investment led 4.5% GDP rise in Q4, cutting 2009 decline to 1.7%, with 5.6% growth now forecast for 2010 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/malaysia/dailybriefings/maladb010310.pdf Strong exports and investment led 4.5% GDP rise in Q4, cutting 2009 decline to 1.7%, with 5.6% growth now forecast for 2010 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/malta/dailybriefings/maltdb010310.pdf Fragile recovery under way but reliant on wide fiscal deficit, which is unlikely to fall to EU target for 2011 without deeper spending cuts http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/syria/dailybriefings/syridb010310.pdf Activity slowed modestly in 2009 but continued rise in tourism and higher exports and FDI should lift GDP growth to 4% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_010310.pdf Latin America – edging back towards normality http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek010310.pdf The new credit card law takes effect, altering conditions for users and issuers http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/argentina/dailybriefings/argedb260210.pdf GDP growth forecast for 2010 raised to almost 4% after strong rise in Q4, but concerns mounting over inflation and policy risks http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/hongkong/dailybriefings/hongdb260210.pdf Pick-up in trade, surging mainland economy and fiscal policy drove rapid recovery at end 2009, with 5.5% GDP growth now seen in 2010 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/china/dailybriefings/chindb250210.pdf Monetary policy tightening further as authorities guard against asset bubbles and inflation, but GDP growth still seen rising to 9.6% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/italy/dailybriefings/italdb260210.pdf Q4 GDP fell 0.2%, with industrial output sharply lower, and a weak start to 2010 is likely as rising unemployment restrains consumer demand http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/slovakia/dailybriefings/slovdb260210.pdf GDP rose 2% in Q4 but still fell 4.7% in 2009 overall; gradual pick-up in Eurozone demand should bring growth of 3% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/sweden/dailybriefings/sweddb260210.pdf Falls in output and activity index point to weaker Q4 GDP, and growth in 2010 still forecast at just 1.7% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek260210.pdf Is the economic recovery in Europe and the US sustainable? http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/china/dailybriefings/chindb250210.pdf Monetary policy tightening further as authorities guard against asset bubbles and inflation, but GDP growth still seen rising to 9.6% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/denmark/dailybriefings/denmdb250210.pdf Some signs of modest pick-up in early 2010 but subdued consumer demand to hold GDP growth down to 0.8% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/egypt/dailybriefings/egypdb250210.pdf Upturn in tourism and exports bring lower current account deficit and reinforce hopes of GDP growth of over 5% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/ireland/dailybriefings/ireldb250210.pdf GDP rose in Q3 2009, but very weak domestic demand means it probably fell again in Q4, with decline of 1% in prospect for 2010 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/montenegro/dailybriefings/montdb250210.pdf Lower FDI and exports cut GDP by about 6% in 2009, and return to growth will be patchy until steel and tourism pick up in 2011 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/austria/dailybriefings/oestdb240210.pdf Consumer demand resilient to recession, having risen 0.8% in 2009 and expected to drive GDP growth of 1.4% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/peru/dailybriefings/perudb240210.pdf Economic boom ended last year, but higher oil output and prices to drive 2010 growth of 5.5% as President dos Santos tightens his grip further http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/saudi%20arabia/dailybriefings/sauddb240210.pdf Growth now seen at 5% this year after buoyant Q4 lifted overall 2009 GDP rise to about 1%, with external accounts much stronger http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/taiwan/dailybriefings/taiwdb240210.pdf V-shaped recovery in exports and industrial output, plus strong consumer spending, meant GDP fell just 1.9% in 2009 and could bring growth of nearly 6% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/angola/dailybriefings/angodb230210.pdf Economic boom ended last year, but higher oil output and prices to drive 2010 growth of 5.5% as President dos Santos tightens his grip further http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/lebanon/dailybriefings/lebadb230210.pdf Continued signs of strong growth, put at 6% in 2009, and further moves towards political stability bring credit rating upgrade http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/mexico/dailybriefings/mexidb230210.pdf Strong industry performance at end-2009, autos in particular, reinforce our forecast of 4.5% GDP growth this year despite weak consumer demand http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/serbia/dailybriefings/serbdb230210.pdf Last year’s 2.9% GDP decline conceals much sharper dip in industrial output, and upturn from Q1 2010 is still heavily reliant on IMF funds http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/albania/dailybriefings/albadb220210.pdf Inward investment and fiscal deficit kept growth above 3% last year, but tight monetary rein and stagnant export markets will curb 2010 growth http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/burkina%20faso/dailybriefings/burkdb220210.pdf Higher gold and cotton output, plus IMF aid, to lift GDP growth to 4.3% this year from around 3% in 2009 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/namerica/canada/dailybriefings/canadb220210.pdf Growth still seen at 2.5% in 2010, supported by moderate strength in consumption and recovery in fixed investment http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/greece/dailybriefings/greed220210.pdf Growth still seen at 2.5% in 2010, supported by moderate strength in consumption and recovery in fixed investment http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek220210.pdf The Fed raises the discount rate, one step in retracting extraordinary measures http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_220210.pdf Very wide variation in the pace of industrial recoveries – Asia leading, Emerging Europe far behind and Latin America in-between http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/cyprus/dailybriefings/cyprdb180210.pdf Fiscal stimulus limits GDP decline to 1.5% in 2009 and ensures upturn this year, but growth to stay well below recent trend as tourism struggles http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/germany/dailybriefings/germdb180210.pdf Surprise stagnation in Q4 and bad weather will depress Q1 GDP, but outlook still broadly unchanged, with 1.5% growth seen in 2010 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/indonesia/dailybriefings/indodb180210.pdf Growth up to 5.4% in Q4 2009 as domestic demand remained robust, and set to rise to 5.5% this year as investment recovers http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/japan/dailybriefings/japadb180210.pdf Better than expected 1.1% rise in Q4 GDP on strong exports and consumer demand, but pace unlikely to be sustained in H1 2010 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/ecuador/dailybriefings/ecuadb170210.pdf GDP growth of just 1.8% forecast this year, well below official projection, adding to concerns about funding the budget deficit http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/france/dailybriefings/frandb170210.pdf Growth of 0.6% in Q4 gives full-year GDP fall of just 2.2%, but plans to rein in budget deficit appear cautious so far http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/russia/dailybriefings/russdb170210.pdf Official data put 2009 GDP decline at 8% and, with only modest 4.3% rebound seen this year, rate cuts may resume this month http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/turkey/dailybriefings/turkdb170210.pdf Encouraging signs from bank lending, labour market and business surveys point to solid recovery in 2010, but jump in inflation will dampen pick-up in consumer spending http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/zimbabwe/dailybriefings/zimbdb170210.pdf Economy returned to growth in 2009 at about 4% and inflation has been tamed, but no hope of significant aid or FDI inflows yet http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/chile/dailybriefings/childb160210.pdf Impressive economic record, with domestic demand to drive GDP growth of almost 5% in 2010 and inflation low, brings OECD membership http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/euroxii/dailybriefings/exiidb160210.pdf Weak growth in Q4 2009, partly due to end of car scrappage schemes, will continue in H1 this year and may exacerbate Greek woes http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/mauritius/dailybriefings/maurdb160210.pdf Economy resilient to impact of global recession on tourism and textiles, with growth of 1.7% in 2009 and forecast at 3% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/namerica/us/dailybriefings/usamdb160210.pdf Q4 GDP surge driven by lower pace of destocking and, with recent data more mixed, growth will slow in H1 this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/myanmar/dailybriefings/myandb150210.pdf GDP seen rising almost 4% this year after 1% drop in 2009, but no return to earlier fast growth despite thaw in relations with the west http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/uk/dailybriefings/britdb150210.pdf Continuing signs of modest recovery as exports improve but, with major fiscal squeeze to come, rates likely to remain on hold this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_150210.pdf Greece to follow many emerging EU economies along the hard path of fiscal adjustment http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek150210.pdf The surge in Q4 will give way to slower growth http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/brazil/dailybriefings/brazdb120210.pdf Brazil: Economic momentum continues to build and, with inflation above target at end-January, interest rates are likely to start rising in April http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/central%20african%20republic/dailybriefings/caredb120210.pdf Growth seen rising to 3.5% this year on higher commodity prices, but constrained by politics as April elections approach http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/new%20zealand/dailybriefings/newzdb120210.pdf GDP forecast to grow 1.7% in 2010 after two years of decline, but inflation is under 2% and the current account deficit much reduced http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek120210.pdf Car scrapping – a mixed blessing? http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/bahrain/dailybriefings/bahrdb110210.pdf Growth still seen at about 4% this year despite fall in confidence at end-year, with inflation low and solid current account surplus http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/norway/dailybriefings/norwdb110210.pdf Despite continued fall in investment, GDP forecast to grow 1.8% this year as private consumption rises and net trade adds to growth http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/uganda/dailybriefings/ugandb110210.pdf Favourable outlook as GDP growth holds around 6%, inflation drops into single digits and external deficit falls as FDI picks up http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/algeria/dailybriefings/algedb090210.pdf Rising oil output to deliver 2010 growth of up to 4%, with public spending still high despite last year’s move into large fiscal deficit http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/georgia/dailybriefings/geordb090210.pdf IMF-backed fiscal stimulus to ensure return to growth this year, but medium-term outlook constrained by poor relations with Russia http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/southafrica/dailybriefings/safrdb090210.pdf Weak domestic demand to hold growth down to 2% in 2010, despite lift from lower inflation and last year’s sharp rate cuts http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/iraq/dailybriefings/iraqdb080210.pdf Violence continues ahead of March election, but oil expansion plans and high public spending could deliver growth of 6.4% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/kuwait/dailybriefings/kuwadb080210.pdf Collapse in exports and investment drove last year’s 7.6% GDP plunge, and weak consumer demand will restrict 2010 growth to 1.1% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/kuwait/dailybriefings/kuwadb080210.pdf Collapse in exports and investment drove last year’s 7.6% GDP plunge, and weak consumer demand will restrict 2010 growth to 1.1% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/qatar/dailybriefings/qatadb080210.pdf Rising LNG output, higher oil prices and fiscal stimulus to lift GDP growth to almost 17% this year from close to 10% in 2009 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/vietnam/dailybriefings/vietdb080210.pdf Growth in 2009 below target at 5.3%; return to 7-8% range unlikely until 2011 as inflation and trade deficit keep monetary policy tight http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek080210.pdf Banking regulation - are we on the right track? http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_080210.pdf Strong end to 2009 in Asia, but risks to outlook if China’s exit from huge stimulus is not deftly handled. Signs of recovery broadening out in several key economies http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/finland/dailybriefings/finldb050210.pdf Collapse in exports and investment drove last year’s 7.6% GDP plunge, and weak consumer demand will restrict 2010 growth to 1.1% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/gabon/dailybriefings/gabodb050210.pdf New president hoping for 6.5% growth this year, but expansion of only 3.5% seems likely despite higher oil revenues http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/morocco/dailybriefings/morodb050210.pdf Strong agriculture delivered impressive 5.3% growth last year, but slowdown to 3.5% likely in 2010 despite recovery in tourism http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/southkorea/dailybriefings/skordb050210.pdf Weak Q4 GDP sparks some concern but underlying trend remains fairly robust so 4.5% growth still seen this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek050210.pdf Banking regulation – are we on the right track? http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/burundi/dailybriefings/burudb030210.pdf Growth held up well in 2009 and seen accelerating to 4% this year on higher commodity prices and commitment to IMF reforms http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/dominican%20republic/dailybriefings/domrdb030210.pdf New IMF agreement, pick-up in exports and Haiti reconstruction effort to bolster GDP growth in 2010-11 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/kazakhstan/dailybriefings/kazadb030210.pdf Return to growth in Q4 last year on stronger demand in Russia and China, but banking sector problems may restrain expansion this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/bahamas/dailybriefings/bahadb020210.pdf GDP seen falling again in 2010 after 4.3% slide last year despite slow recovery in tourism and continued government spending http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/hungary/dailybriefings/hungdb020210.pdf Approach of April elections adding to HUF concerns amid talk of above-target budget deficit as GDP fall looks set to continue http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/oman/dailybriefings/omandb020210.pdf Another rise in oil output and continued government spending to lift 2010 GDP growth to 5.7% from 3.7% last year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/belarus/dailybriefings/beladb010210.pdf GDP grew 0.2% in 2009 as IMF loan funded fiscal and external deficits, but faster growth at risk as inflation erodes gains from January devaluation http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/belgium/dailybriefings/belgdb010210.pdf Rising unemployment to hold down recovery in consumer demand; with external trade subdued also, GDP seen growing just 1.5% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/papua%20new%20guinea/dailybriefings/pangd010210.pdf Growth picking up to around 4% this year on high public spending, LNG-related FDI inflows and recovery in main markets http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek010210.pdf Recovery lags previous cycles http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_010210.pdf Strong recovery in Brazil prompting speculation about first interest rate rise; signs that Mexico’s recovery is becoming more broadly based