http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/OE_Main.asp Oxford Economics Latest News and Reports en-us http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/oerss.jpg http://www.oxfordeconomics.com 334 131 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/norway/dailybriefings/norwdb300710.pdf Downward revision to Q2 GDP growth forecast and exports are vulnerable to a marked slowing in the Eurozone caused by the debt crisis. And with inflation falling, interest rates are likely to stay unchanged in August http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/uae/dailybriefings/uaemdb300710.pdf Indebted Dubai still a problem but UAE expected to record 2.4% GDP growth this year, boosted by government spending and widening current account surplus http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/vietnam/dailybriefings/vietdb300710.pdf Growth up to 6.4% and inflation below 9% in Q2, as revived capital inflows permit interest rate reduction despite wider external deficit; but short-term risks of renewed inflation and currency weakness likely to delay further GDP acceleration until 2011 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_300710.pdf Monetary tightening to continue in Brazil despite Q2 “soft patch” of activity and inflation data http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek300710.pdf Eurozone banks: stress still ahead http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/israel/dailybriefings/isradb290710.pdf Though interest rates were hiked in July, relatively low inflation and concerns over the pace of recovery are likely to mean that any further tightening this year will be modestIMF US$118m standby underpins monetary stability, but required spending cuts mean another small GDP decline this year and slow growth in 2011 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/mexico/dailybriefings/mexidb290710.pdf Economic activity rose 9% year-on-year in May but foreign demand likely to cool in Q3. However, retail sales and remittance data in May point to a pick up in private consumption http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/russia/dailybriefings/russdb290710.pdf Q2 data on output and imports point to accelerating growth. However, increased uncertainty about global economic prospects and financial conditions may constrain GDP growth to 5% in 2010 as a whole http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/spain/dailybriefings/spaidb290710.pdf Though 5 regional banks failed the EU wide stress test, the overall result was better than had been expected. However, weak domestic demand and an expected slowing in the Eurozone will lead to GDP shrinking 0.6% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/taiwan/dailybriefings/taiwdb290710.pdf Exports and output data show that the pace of recovery is now moderating, dampened by the tightening on the mainland. But the outlook still looks reasonable enough to expect further modest rises in interest rates during H2 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/austria/dailybriefings/oestdb280710.pdf Q2 growth expected to have been 0.7%, but weakening export demand will hold overall 2010 GDP growth to 1.2% despite relatively strong consumer demand http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/brazil/dailybriefings/brazdb280710.pdf Recent data suggest pace of GDP growth slowed, prompting more modest rate rise in July, but with domestic demand strong 2010 growth still seen at 7% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/iraq/dailybriefings/iraqdb280710.pdf Failure to agree on a new government is undermining security and growth prospects, although higher oil output and prices should mean GDP growth of 5.5% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/saudi%20arabia/dailybriefings/sauddb280710.pdf State spending seen driving GDP growth of 4.2% this year, but private sector activity is now recovering, and inflation may have peaked at 5.5% in June http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/anguilla/dailybriefings/angudb270710.pdf GDP seen falling 2% this year after slump of about 25% in 2009, as new government cuts budget deficit; pick-up in prospect for 2011-12 but reliant on tourism recovery http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/argentina/dailybriefings/argedb270710.pdf Industrial activity grew 10% on the year in Q2 and, with external demand strong, GDP growth now forecast at almost 6.5% this year, but inflation concerns persist http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/italy/dailybriefings/italdb270710.pdf Strong output data in Q2, but very weak consumer demand and faltering Eurozone growth to lead to H2 slowdown, with 2010 GDP growth forecast at just 0.8% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/singapore/dailybriefings/singdb270710.pdf Surge in activity and exports lifted annual GDP growth to 19.3% in Q2, with 2010 expansion of about 14% now forecast, but monetary policy now tightening as inflation rises http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/sweden/dailybriefings/sweddb270710.pdf Strong activity continued in Q2, with 2.8% GDP growth forecast for 2010, but interest rates raised in July as lower output gap points to more inflation pressure http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/denmark/dailybriefings/denmdb260710.pdf Moderate growth expected in Q2, but Eurozone weakness to dampen exports and output in H2, so overall GDP growth of 1% now seen for 2010 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/peru/dailybriefings/perudb260710.pdf GDP growth above 9% in both April and May, confirming strong recovery from 2009 slowdown, but bringing more rate rises and rising current account deficit http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/poland/dailybriefings/poladb260710.pdf Rising industrial output and construction to lift GDP quite strongly again in Q2, but slowing EU demand to weigh in H2, holding 2010 GDP growth to 3% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/southafrica/dailybriefings/safrdb260710.pdf Boost to growth in Q2 and Q3 from World Cup and exports, but overall 2010 GDP growth forecast nudged down to 3.2% as global demand falters http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek260710.pdf Will the Bush tax cuts be allowed to expire? http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/belgium/dailybriefings/belgdb230710.pdf High consumer confidence suggests strong Q2, but fiscal tightening and weaker trade prospects will hold down H2, with 1.4% full-year growth seen http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/namerica/canada/dailybriefings/canadb230710.pdf Growth set to slow from 6.1% annualised pace in Q1 as boost from stockbuilding fades and exports falter, but interest rates again raised modestly in July http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/croatia/dailybriefings/croadb230710.pdf Renewed weakness in Q2, with industrial output down nearly 4% and tourism faltering, means GDP will fall 0.5% this year, adding to fiscal concerns http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/fiji/dailybriefings/fijidb230710.pdf GDP forecast to grow 1.5% this year after 2009 2.5% decline as tourism and exports recover, with inflation slowing as impact of earlier 20% devaluation fades http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_230710.pdf More emergers now starting to tighten monetary policy – but the pace and necessity of adjustment varies widely http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek230710.pdf Deflation more a concern than inflation http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/chile/dailybriefings/childb220710.pdf Strong investment-driven recovery saw June output back above 2008 pre-global crisis peak, with GDP now seen growing 4.5% this year but interest rates rising http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/hungary/dailybriefings/hungdb220710.pdf Suspension of IMF funding, with little progress likely before October elections, to halt rate cuts but stronger Q2 data lift 2010 growth forecast to 1.3% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/portugal/dailybriefings/portdb220710.pdf Fiscal austerity to cut consumption and investment, with help from exports limited as 60% go the Eurozone, so GDP still seen contracting over 1% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/qatar/dailybriefings/qatadb220710.pdf Sharply higher oil revenues driving large fiscal stimulus and, together with big rise in LNG output, will lift GDP growth to 17% this year and 13% in 2011 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/euroxii/dailybriefings/exiidb160710.pdf Despite strong output data pointing to 0.6% rise in Q2 GDP, tax rises and spending cuts in June budget now expected to hold 2010 growth down to just 1.1% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/uk/dailybriefings/britdb150710.pdf Problems in peripheral economies and banking sector concerns continue to hold down GDP growth, forecast at 0.8% this year and just 1.3% in 2011 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/euroxii/dailybriefings/exiidb160710.pdf Despite strong output data pointing to 0.6% rise in Q2 GDP, tax rises and spending cuts in June budget now expected to hold 2010 growth down to just 1.1% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/jordan/dailybriefings/jorddb160710.pdf Stronger exports and tourism seen lifting GDP growth to 3.2% this year from 2.3% in 2009, despite fiscal tightening and rise in inflation to over 5% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/southkorea/dailybriefings/skordb160710.pdf Unexpected first rise in rates in July suggests central bank remains fairly confident about recovery – even if growth is more modest in H2 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek160710.pdf Growth slows amid financial tensions http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_160710.pdf After a very strong Q1 in East Asia and Brazil, growth is now moderating but the outlook still looks solid http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/angola/dailybriefings/angodb150710.pdf Higher oil output and prices to drive rebound in GDP growth to 7% this year, as B+ sovereign credit rating may attract investment despite lack of transparency http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/belize/dailybriefings/belidb150710.pdf Growth quickened to 3.5% in Q1 on stronger tourism and extraction, but will be kept down in 2010-11 as fiscal and monetary policy tightens under IMF pressure http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/uk/dailybriefings/britdb150710.pdf Despite strong output data pointing to 0.6% rise in Q2 GDP, tax rises and spending cuts in June budget now expected to hold 2010 growth down to just 1.1% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/india/dailybriefings/indidb140710.pdf Interest rates hiked again in early July and further increases very likely in H2 given inflation threat, but business surveys remained resilient during Q2 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/kenya/dailybriefings/kenydb140710.pdf Economy reviving as better rainfall boosts agriculture, with GDP growth up to 4.4% in Q1 this year and inflation down to 3.2% ahead of August referendum on new constitution http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/comoros/dailybriefings/comodb130710.pdf GDP rose 0.8% in Q1, stronger than regional peers as pick-up in investment and exports offset weak consumer demand, and full-year growth of 3% seen http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/comoros/dailybriefings/comodb130710.pdf GDP growth picking up slowly to 2% this year as exports and tourism recover only gradually, but debt relief and FDI inflows will help medium-term prospects http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/estonia/dailybriefings/estodb130710.pdf Euro adoption next January will help investment and growth revival in 2011-12, but GDP seen rising just 0.5% this year as slow Eurozone hits exports http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/uruguay/dailybriefings/urugdb130710.pdf Strong 1.7% rise in Q1 GDP lifts 2010 growth forecast to 6% as domestic demand recovers, with inflation seen edging down to 5% next year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/germany/dailybriefings/germdb120710.pdf GDP seen rising 0.8% in Q2 as output and orders rise, but deficit reduction moves and weaker Eurozone demand mean growth of only 1.7% both this year and next http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/nigeria/dailybriefings/nigedb120710.pdf GDP rose 7.2% year-on-year in Q1, reinforcing hopes of full-year growth of at least 7%, but double-digit inflation keeping interest rates on hold http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/zambia/dailybriefings/zambdb120710.pdf Higher copper prices and output expected to lift GDP growth to 8% this year from 6.4% in 2009, with prudent policy bringing inflation down into single digits http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek120710.pdf The personal saving rate has risen, a change that may persist http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/oman/dailybriefings/omandb080710.pdf Rising oil and gas output and prices expected to drive GDP growth of 5.2% this year and return both fiscal and current accounts to surplus http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/tunisia/dailybriefings/tunidb080710.pdf Growth seen rising to about 4.5% this year, with industrial output up strongly in Q1, but impact of weaker EU on exports and tourism leading to wider external deficit http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/turkey/dailybriefings/turkdb080710.pdf Slower than expected growth in Q1 but latest data still point to solid outlook, while lower inflation and EU woes may mean monetary policy stays loose for some months yet http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/kuwait/dailybriefings/kuwadb070710.pdf Sharply higher oil revenues allow large rise in government spending, lifting 2010 growth to 4.2% and restoring hefty current account surplus equal to 45% of GDP http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/laos/dailybriefings/laosdb070710.pdf Economy little affected by global crisis, with strong rises in mineral output and prices, plus high government spending, keeping GDP growth around 7% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/cyprus/dailybriefings/cyprdb050710.pdf Credit squeeze and loss of export momentum delay investment and growth revival into 2011, pushing deficit up against IMF-agreed targets as elections approach http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/cyprus/dailybriefings/cyprdb050710.pdf Economy returned to modest growth in Q1 but, with tourism hit by aviation disruption, recovery will be slow, with GDP seen declining 0.3% in 2010 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/ghana/dailybriefings/ghandb050710.pdf Weakness in Q1 expected to hold GDP growth to 5% this year, ahead of oil boost in 2011, and inflation down close to 10% may bring another rate cut soon http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/kazakhstan/dailybriefings/kazadb050710.pdf GDP growth accelerated to 8.3% in January-May, driven by high oil and metal prices and continued fiscal stimulus, but inflation staying close to 7% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/romania/dailybriefings/romadb050710.pdf Sharp 5% hike in VAT, to replace blocked pension cuts, will hit consumers hard and lead to GDP decline of 2.5% this year, with higher inflation halting rate cuts http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek050710.pdf The European sovereign debt crisis poses risks to the US economy http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/czechrepublic/dailybriefings/czecdb300610.pdf Q1 GDP increase revised up to 0.5%, but more sluggish Eurozone seen holding 2010 growth to 1.4%, adding to fiscal problems facing new government http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/israel/dailybriefings/isradb300610.pdf Mounting EU problems to weigh on exports and tourism, holding GDP growth just below 4% this year but keeping interest rate rises modest http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/mexico/dailybriefings/mexidb300610.pdf GDP growth still seen at about 4.5% this year despite mixed signals for Q2, and drop in inflation to under 4% in May means interest rates will stay on hold http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/uae/dailybriefings/uaemdb300610.pdf Dubai’s debt problems still weighing on overall UAE growth, despite rising oil output and prices that are boosting public spending and external accounts http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/vietnam/dailybriefings/vietdb300610.pdf Officials now think GDP growth could be above 6.5% target this year, but high inflation and current account deficit may still act as constraints http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/argentina/dailybriefings/argedb290610.pdf GDP growth forecast for 2010 raised to 5% after strong Q1 result and solid activity data in Q2, but inflation seen staying in double digits http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/belarus/dailybriefings/beladb290610.pdf Slow recovery under way, curbed by rising energy costs that Russia customs union has failed to prevent and difficulty in boosting exports despite weak BYR http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/chile/dailybriefings/childb290610.pdf Strong post-quake pick-up in consumption and investment seen leading to 2010 GDP growth of 4.2%, but interest rates now rising as inflation moves higher http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/netherlands/dailybriefings/nethdb290610.pdf Q1 GDP rise now put at 0.3% and latest data point to solid growth in Q2, with lower risk of contagion from debt crisis than other countries http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/serbia/dailybriefings/serbdb290610.pdf Growth of just 1.5% seen this year as weak EU leaves industrial upturn dependent on fiscal deficit, as IMF support continues and EU agrees association talks http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/sweden/dailybriefings/sweddb290610.pdf Revised 2009 data and strong 1.4% rise in Q1 GDP lead to big upward revision in 2010 growth forecast to 2.8%, but will bring early interest rate rises http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/syria/dailybriefings/syridb290610.pdf Growth seen picking up to 4.3% this year as improving foreign relations lead to further rise in tourism, remittances and as rising oil revenues boost external accounts http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/georgia/dailybriefings/geordb280610.pdf Public spending rises and official growth forecast raised to 4.5%, but export-led recovery set to slow as FDI falls and weaker currency raises inflation http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/haiti/dailybriefings/haitdb280610.pdf Donor response to earthquake points to strong GDP and export growth in 2011-13 after declines this year, but political concerns rising ahead of November presidential election http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/iraq/dailybriefings/iraqdb280610.pdf Still no government despite parliament convening and Maliki broadening his alliance; doubts about political inclusivity and speed of US troop and fund withdrawal may threaten FDI http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/malaysia/dailybriefings/maladb280610.pdf GDP growth forecast lifted to almost 7% this year after double-digit surge in Q1, but interest rates raised again in June and more hikes expected http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/peru/dailybriefings/perudb280610.pdf Strong activity in early 2010 triggers rise in full-year GDP growth forecast to over 6%, but interest rates raised again in June despite below-target inflation http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek280610.pdf Oil price outlook to 2030 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/australia/dailybriefings/austdb250610.pdf Q1 GDP rose 0.5%, with consumer and government spending boosting activity, and 2010 growth now seen at 2.9% despite likely further rate rises http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/greece/dailybriefings/greedb250610.pdf EU/IMF €110bn rescue package has averted threat of default, but deep recession in 2010-12 implied by austerity measures will bring massive challenges http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/saudi%20arabia/dailybriefings/sauddb250610.pdf Lower oil price forecast and less favourable survey and banking data now point to 2010 GDP growth of 4.2%, with inflation above 5% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/seychelles/dailybriefings/seycdb250610.pdf Pick-up in tourism, exports and FDI inflows, plus adherence to IMF programme, seen lifting GDP by about 4% this year, with inflation sharply lower http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/spain/dailybriefings/spaidb250610.pdf Banking sector concerns weighing on prospects and, with consumer spending and investment very weak, GDP still seen falling in both 2010 and 2011 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/switzerland/dailybriefings/switdb250610.pdf Solid Q1 GDP rise of 0.4% helped by rising private consumption and external trade, with 2010 growth forecast raised to 1.7% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek250610.pdf Oil price outlook to 2030 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_250610.pdf Danger of overheating likely to lead to 12% interest rates in Brazil by end-year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/china/dailybriefings/chindb240610.pdf CNY appreciation set to resume given inflation pressures and rising trade surplus, but GDP growth still seen at over 9% this year and next http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/egypt/dailybriefings/egypdb240610.pdf Strong 5.7% rise in Q1 GDP leaves growth on track for 5.4% in full-year 2009/10 as domestic demand remains strong and tourism holds up well http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/norway/dailybriefings/norwdb240610.pdf Sharp fall in investment in Q1 led to weak Q1 GDP, with 2010 growth forecast cut to just 0.7% despite strong private consumption http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/tonga/dailybriefings/tongdb240610.pdf GDP likely to have been broadly flat in 2009/10, with tourism and remittances still depressed, but pick-up in growth to close to 2% seen for 2010/11 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/algeria/dailybriefings/algedb220610.pdf Higher energy exports and infrastructure spending to lift growth to 4% this year, after 2009 slowdown sent budget into deficit and slashed current account surplus http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/japan/dailybriefings/japadb220610.pdf Strong 1.2% rise in Q1 GDP seen leading to 2.8% growth this year despite likely slowdown in coming quarters as deflation persists http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/qatar/dailybriefings/qatadb210610.pdf Buoyant industrial output and car sales point to 2% rise in Q2 GDP, with full-year growth seen at 5% as contagion from EU woes remains limited http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/qatar/dailybriefings/qatadb210610.pdf Growth still seen at almost 17% this year, driven by rising LNG output and higher oil output and prices, with current account surplus rising strongly http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/southafrica/dailybriefings/safrdb210610.pdf Strong Q1 GDP growth of 4.6% pa, plus impact of World Cup on tourism and consumer spending, expected to lift 2010 growth to 3.3% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek210610.pdf The outlook for global industry http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/bahrain/dailybriefings/bahrdb180610.pdf GDP growth still seen close to 4% this year, boosted by rising oil and aluminium prices, but with current account surplus lower than previously expected at 4% of GDP http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/ecuador/dailybriefings/ecuadb180610.pdf Growth still forecast at just 2.4%, well below official projection, and toughening stance towards oil companies may deter future investment and growth http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/singapore/dailybriefings/singdb180610.pdf Record jump in Q1 GDP driven by manufacturing and investment unlikely to be sustained, but 2010 growth now seen at 9.2% although inflation is rising http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_180610.pdf Middle East economic outlook – prospects still relatively upbeat despite some headwinds http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek180610.pdf Financial tensions now, and slow growth ahead http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/finland/dailybriefings/finldb170610.pdf Growth forecast for 2010 cut to just 0.4% after unexpected fall in Q1, but relatively sound public finances and rising exports still seen driving 3% growth in 2011 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/madagascar/dailybriefings/madadb170610.pdf Ongoing political crisis, high inflation and widening current account deficit to result in small GDP decline this year after 4.5% drop in 2009 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/moldova/dailybriefings/molddb170610.pdf Growth resuming in H1 after 6.5% GDP fall in 2009, helped by IMF and EU support, but rising inflation and approach of elections may deter investment http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/portugal/dailybriefings/portdb170610.pdf Economy now seen contracting 1.1% this year and 1.5% in 2011 as sharp fiscal tightening hits private and public consumption and deters investment http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/euroxii/dailybriefings/exiidb150610.pdf Growth of just 0.8% forecast for 2010 as market sentiment worsens and more member countries impose austerity measures to cut deficits and debt http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/hungary/dailybriefings/hungdb150610.pdf Markets plunge on fears of another Greek-style crisis, but panic seems overdone as Q1 data and revisions mean 2010 GDP growth now seen close to 1% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/italy/dailybriefings/italdb150610.pdf GDP growth forecast lowered to just 0.5% this year and 0.7% in 2011 as export prospects to other Eurozone members worsen and fiscal austerity bites http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/namerica/canada/dailybriefings/canadb140610.pdf Strong 6.1% annualised GDP growth in Q1 expected to lead to full-year expansion of 3.5%, as central bank starts to tighten with 25bp rate rise in June http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/east%20timor/dailybriefings/etimdb140610.pdf GDP growth slowed to 5% in 2009, focused on oil and gas as public spending fell below target, but project disputes with Australia may threaten investment inflows http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/namerica/us/dailybriefings/usamdb140610.pdf Q2 growth expected to pick up from 3% pace in Q1 despite some weakness in latest consumer spending data, with full-year growth still seen close to 3.5% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek140610.pdf Recent indicators suggest strength, but there is also cause for concern http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/kuwait/dailybriefings/kuwadb100610.pdf GDP growth seen at 4.4% this year and 7% in 2011, driven by rising oil output and prices, plus larger fiscal policy stimulus http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/pakistan/dailybriefings/pakidb100610.pdf Growth now put at 4.1% in 2009/10, but recovery is fragile given high inflation, reduced FDI inflows and potential for policy differences with IMF http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/philippines/dailybriefings/phildb100610.pdf Very strong 3% rise in Q1 GDP prompts hike in 2010 growth forecast to 6.5%, but inflation still contained so no rate rise yet http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/austria/dailybriefings/oestdb090610.pdf GDP to start growing again in Q2 after stagnating in Q1, with exports accounting for nearly all of expected 1.2% growth this year as domestic demand remains flat http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/brunei/dailybriefings/brundb090610.pdf Growth of just over 1% still forecast this year, but oil and gas revenues expected to lift current account surplus to 40% of GDP and fiscal surplus to 16% of GDP http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/southkorea/dailybriefings/skordb090610.pdf Buoyant Q1 activity but latest data and surveys point to slower growth in rest of 2010; turbulence in financial markets likely to delay first hike in interest rates http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/estonia/dailybriefings/estodb080610.pdf Exports lift industrial growth to 18% in April, but weak EU will keep GDP growth subdued in 2010-11 before faster growth in 2012 helped by euro adoption http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/poland/dailybriefings/poladb080610.pdf Activity better than expected in Q1 but 2010 GDP growth still seen at 3%, with stronger FDI offsetting rising imports and current account de http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/new%20zealand/dailybriefings/newzdb070610.pdf Recovery continuing steadily, with rising consumer demand and trade seen delivering 2.2% GDP growth this year, but rates to start rising this month http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/thailand/dailybriefings/thaidb070610.pdf GDP rose 3.8% in Q1 for 12% annual increase; political crisis will result in declines in Q2 and Q3 yet full-year 2010 growth could still be close to 6% http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek070610.pdf Temporary census jobs will continue to skew labor market data http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/bulgaria/dailybriefings/bulgdb280510.pdf Further GDP decline in Q1 as consumer spending remains weak, with full-year decline of 1% now forecast and fiscal deficit rising to 4.7% of GDP http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/finland/dailybriefings/finldb280510.pdf GDP growth to outpace Eurozone average, rising 1.5% this year and 3% in 2011, with fiscal problems less severe and exports to Russia buoyant http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/peru/dailybriefings/perudb280510.pdf Strong Q1 GDP growth of 6% prompts upgrade to 2010 forecast despite surprise rate rise in May and mounting political tensions ahead of 2011 elections http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/westerneurope/spain/dailybriefings/spaidb280510.pdf GDP grew 0.1% in Q1, but renewed decline seen for 2010 and 2011 as consumer demand remains very weak and public sector cutbacks bite harder http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/uae/dailybriefings/uaemdb280510.pdf Growth forecast for 2010 lowered to 2.4% as debt concerns in Dubai mount, despite DW deal, and construction and banking sector problems continue http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek280510.pdf The ECB sovereign bond purchase - benefits and risks http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/argentina/dailybriefings/argedb250510.pdf Strong industrial activity in Q1 points to GDP growth above 4% this year, rising to around 5% in 2011 despite inflation above official estimates http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/guatemala/dailybriefings/guatdb250510.pdf Slow recovery in tourism and remittances to lift growth to over 2% after last year’s near-stagnation, but fiscal tightening will restrain expansion until 2011 http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/solomon%20islands/dailybriefings/solodb250510.pdf Higher commodity prices and government spending to lift GDP by 2.8% this year and 4% in 2011, after 1% decline last year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/vietnam/dailybriefings/vietdb250510.pdf Growth may stay below 6.5% target this year, as trade gap widens and inflation above 9% delays monetary relaxation, but target of 7.5% in 2011-15 within reach http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/easterneurope/bosnia/dailybriefings/bosndb240510.pdf IMF support limits 2009 downturn to 3.5% but budget cuts and political divisions ahead of October elections will curb 2010 growth prospects despite Q1 industrial recovery http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/namerica/canada/dailybriefings/canadb240510.pdf Further signs of solid growth in Q1, with GDP seen rising 3% or more this year, but strong C$ will contain inflation so timing of first rate rise still unclear http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/st%20kitts%20and%20nevis/dailybriefings/stkndb240510.pdf High oil prices lifting current account back into surplus this year, but political tensions and policy failings will keep GDP growth well below official 6.8% target http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/tanzania/dailybriefings/tanzdb240510.pdf Growth held above 6% last year, and rising gold and tourism revenues should lift GDP by 6.4% this year despite wider current account deficit http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/usweekly/usweek240510.pdf Deflation risk is still present, but low http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/emweekly/em_weekly_240510.pdf Surging growth and rising inflation trend point to another sizeable rate hike in Brazil in June http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/ecuador/dailybriefings/ecuadb200510.pdf High oil prices lifting current account back into surplus this year, but political tensions and policy failings will keep GDP growth well below official 6.8% target http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/egypt/dailybriefings/egypdb210510.pdf GDP growth up to 5.8% in Q1 2010, pointing to full-year growth of close to 5.5% as tourism, Canal revenues and workers’ remittances all improve http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/asia_pacific/hongkong/dailybriefings/hongdb210510.pdf Strong Q1, led by surging exports of services, investment and inventories, could see GDP growth of over 6% this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/st%20lucia/dailybriefings/stludb210510.pdf GDP forecast to grow just 1.5% this year, after 5.2% drop in 2009, as tourism and construction recover slowly, but debt financing concerns mounting http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/on-line%20services/general/euroweekly/ezweek210510.pdf Debt crisis to put Eurozone convergence on hold http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/ecuador/dailybriefings/ecuadb200510.pdf High oil prices lifting current account back into surplus this year, but political tensions and policy failings will keep GDP growth well below official 6.8% target http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/qatar/dailybriefings/qatadb200510.pdf Rising LNG output drove GDP growth of 8.6% in 2009 and, together with a 32% rise in oil prices, will see return to double-digit growth this year http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/africa_middleeast/turkey/dailybriefings/turkdb200510.pdf Solid rise in industrial output, rising confidence and strong bank lending mean GDP growth could top 6% this year, but buoyant domestic demand likely to prompt higher interest rates soon http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/hilfe/latinamerica/venezuela/dailybriefings/venedb200510.pdf Energy shortages and exchange rate doubts to prolong recession, with GDP now seen falling 1.5% in 2010 and surge in inflation to over 30% adding to woes