Historical trends and forecasts of trade flows

The service draws on Oxford Economics' analysis and forecasts of the world economy, analysing trade flows between 180 countries and across five continents. Our global modelling framework ensures full consistency between all economies, in part, driven by trade linkages.

The forecasts take into account factors such as the growth of demand in the destination market and the exporter's competitiveness. Exports, imports and trade balances are identified, with historical estimates and forecasts to 2035 for each country relative to all other nations in the databank. For each pair of exporting and importing countries, the service shows the following data and forecasts: exports, US$, % of total exports and % of GDP; imports (US$, % of total exports and % of GDP), and visible trade balance (US$, % GDP).

Historical data generally goes back to 1980 and forecasts run to 2035. The service comes with full telephone and email support. The figures, which are updated once a quarter, are annual and shown in US dollars.

What the service includes

• Annual data and forecasts on bilateral trade flows and trade balances to 2035 for 180 countries.
• Full country-to-country data for any pair of countries, for example, from the US to the UK or from Brazil to Argentina.
• The data and forecasts cover total exports, imports and trade balances.
• Detailed Excel spreadsheets are available: alternatively, the figures can be interrogated and downloaded from our databank, accessed via the internet.
• Quarterly updates ensure that the data and forecasts are always up to date and consistent with our latest global economic forecasts.