This unparalleled forecasting service, covering a combined population of 1.3 billion people, measures, tracks, benchmarks, and forecasts economic performance and change in key city locations across the Middle East and Africa. It provides deep insights into evolving income and consumer spending patterns. The databank offers an annual time series and long-term forecasts to 2030 for key demographic, economic, labour market and industry variables, as well as detailed household income distribution and consumer spending, and aggregate retail sales.
The service is available for all of Africa and the Middle East, or can be split by region:
- 102 cities in 49 countries for Africa as a continent,
- 32 cities in 12 Middle Eastern countries, or
- 18 countries and 56 urban centres in North Africa and the Middle East.
What the service includes
- Comparable forecasts for 134 key cities across Africa and the Middle East. The business centers in the databank represent the largest cities, chosen because of their size, growth potential and market value, and other capital cities in order to cover the majority of countries.
- Deep analysis by location. Consistent annual historic data and forecasts for total GDP and employment, as well as for industries, population, income distribution, consumer spending, and retail sales. Data is produced in both local currency and US dollars terms for comparative analysis of market size and growth.
- Thirty years of data historical and forecast. The annual data generally refers back to 2000, and the forecast horizon is to 2030.
- Methodology report to explain data sources, urban definitions, forecast methods and approaches to estimate and fill missing data, as well as to outline the linkages to Oxford Economics’ Global Economic Model.
- Regular updates. To ensure you have the latest information for these dynamic and rapidly changing markets, we update our forecasts once a year. This involves bringing in the latest data, such as Nigeria’s rebased GDP, new developments such as shocks to world commodity prices, and latest outlooks for the world economy, which have knock-on impacts to the projections for countries and cities in the service.
- Advanced analytical functions. Our web-based databank allows users to quickly build custom queries with complete flexibility and view the data in tables, charts, and maps. Numbers may be represented as absolutes, percentages, and even differences between time periods. All data are annotated by source, date of update, and analyst. Searches can be saved for later reference and downloaded to Excel
- Telephone support. We offer the full telephone support to clients of our regional economics experts and economists responsible for developing and updating the service to answer questions about our data, method or forecasts.
What is new to the service
- Linked to latest world and regional economic outlooks and developments.
- Addition of the Middle East region and its 12 countries and 32 cities.
- Addition of extra African countries and cities such as Liberia/Monrovia.
- Detailed population by 5-year age band.
- Retail sales indicators.
- Improved data sources, estimation approach and forecast methods.
- Methodology report.
Cities and regions included
Algeria: Algiers, Constantine, Oran
Angola: Huambo, Luanda
Burkina Faso: Ouagadougou
Cameroon: Douala, Yaoundé
Cape Verde: Praia
Central African Republic: Bangui
Congo: Brazzaville, Pointe-Noire
Côte d'Ivoire: Abidjan, Yamoussoukro
Democratic Republic of Congo: Kinshasa
Egypt: Alexandria, Al-Mansura, Cairo, Luxor, Mahalla el-Kubra, Port Said, Suez
Equatorial Guinea: Malabo
Ethiopia: Addis Ababa
Ghana: Accra, Kumasi
Kenya: Mombasa, Nairobi
Malawi: Blantyre City, Lilongwe
Mauritius: Port Louis
Morocco: Agadir, Casablanca, Fès, Marrakech, Meknès, Rabat, Tanger
Mozambique: Beira, Maputo
Nigeria: Aba, Abeokuta, Abuja, Benin City, Enugu, Ibadan, Ilorin, Jos, Kaduna, Kano, Lagos, Maiduguri, Ogbomosho, Onitsha, Port Harcourt, Zaria
Sierra Leone: Freetown
South Africa: Bloemfontein, Cape Town, Durban, Johannesburg, Port Elizabeth, Pretoria, Kimberley, Nelspruit, Polokwane
Tanzania: Arusha, Dar Es Salaam, Dodoma, Mwanza
Tunisia: Sfax, Tunis, Sousse
Zambia: Kitwe, Lusaka, Ndola
Zimbabwe: Bulawayo, Harare
Iran: Ahvaz, Esfahan, Kerman, Kermanshah, Mashhad, Orumiyeh, Qom, Rasht, Shiraz, Tabriz, Tehran, Zahedan
Iraq: Baghdad, Mosul
Israel: Haifa, Jerusalem, Tel Aviv
Kuwait: Kuwait City
Saudi Arabia: Jeddah, Mecca, Medina, Riyadh
UAE: Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Sharjah
Yemen: Aden, Sana'a'
Consumer spending by goods and services (COICOP classification):
Food and non-alcoholic beverages: Food; Non-alcoholic beverages
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco: Alcoholic beverages; Tobacco
Clothing and footwear: Clothing, Footwear (including repair of footwear)
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels: Housing rent; Imputed housing rent; Housing maintenance and repairs; Housing water charges; Housing electricity, gas and other fuels
Household furnishings, equipment and routine maintenance of the house: Furniture and furnishings, carpets and other floor coverings; Household textiles; Household appliances; Household glassware, tableware and household utensils; Household and garden tools and equipment; Routine household maintenance goods and services
Health: Medical products, appliances and equipment; Out-patient services; Hospital services
Transport Vehicle purchases: Personal transport running costs; Non-personal transport services
Communications: Postal services; Telephone equipment; Telephone services
Recreation and culture: Audio-visual, photographic and information processing equipment; Other recreational and cultural durable goods; Other recreational items and equipment; Recreational and cultural services; Newspapers, books and stationery; Package holidays
Restaurants and hotels: Catering Services; Accommodation services
Miscellaneous goods and services: Personal care goods and services; Personal effects not elsewhere classified; Social protection; Insurance; Financial services not elsewhere classified; Other services not elsewhere classified
Income levels and distribution
Total personal household disposable income; average personal household disposable income ; household numbers by the following income bands: Up to $1,000; $1,000 to $2,000; $2,000 to $5,000; $5,000 to $7,500; $7,500 to $10,000; $10,000 to $20,000; $20,000 to $35,000; $35,000 to $70,000; $70,000 to $100,000; $100,000 to $150,000; $150,000 to $200,000; $200,000 to $250,000; over $250,000.
Economic series covered:
GDP; gross value added and employment by sector; population (total, 0-14, 15-64 and 65+); births and deaths;); household incomes (total, average and distribution by income band); consumer spending.
Primary (Agriculture, forestry and fishing)
Secondary (Mining & quarrying; Manufacturing; Utilities; Construction)
Transport, storage, information & communications
Financial & business services
Consumer services (Wholesale & retail trade; Accommodation & food service activities; Arts, entertainment & recreational services; Other services)
Public services (Public administration & defence; Education; Health & social work)